April 14, 2020

Please Don't Feed the Spammers

Dear readers,

(This post will remain on top for a long while.)

The Aviary is under attack from a blizzard of spammers. We ask all readers in the strongest terms not to click on any suspicious link in the comments section, or any commercial link therein. Links in posts themselves are fine. The Aviary staff and management are in no way responsible for these ads and encourage everyone to avoid them in the strongest terms.

These people are despicable weasels. Please do not feed the animals.

BTW we are going to report have reported spammers to the DOJ, especially those trying to illegally sell narcotics. We are working with the authorities to stamp out this behavior.

Tim, Dana, Jack and the Aviary team.

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July 04, 2020

Iowa Legalizes Restaurant Liquor Sales

Timothy Birdnow

In potables and pourables. Iowa is the first state in the country to permanently allow restaurants to sell packaged liquor.

From Iowa Capital Dispatch:

Iowa has officially legalized the sale of to-go cocktails, making the COVID-19 fad a permanent fixture in the state.

Gov. Kim Reynolds signed House File 2540into law on Monday, legalizing the sale of sealed alcohol for consumption "off-premises.” In the past, drinks sold by bars and restaurants had to be consumed on-site.

While other states have implemented temporary measures allowing for the sale of to-go cocktails, Iowa is the first one to make it a permanent fixture, said Jessica Dunker, president of the Iowa Restaurant Association.

The new law will help Iowa restaurants and bars as more consumers order their meals to-go during the pandemic.

Good for them! I have a restaurant just three houses away from mine and I would love to be able to buy a bottle of booze from them if I wanted. Can't do it here in Missouri. Or if you are celebrating and go out to eat and want a bottle of this or that to take home for a nightcap. Yeah; it costs more but the convenience is worth it some times. I never did understand why the law wouldn't allow that anyway.liquor laws have been stuck in the immediate post-prohibition era for a long time.

Cheers!

Hat tip: Ginny Birdnow

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Trump May Overturn Obama Suburban HUD Rules

Warner Todd Huston

Donald Trump May End Obama Attack on Suburbia via Activist Housing Rules

The AFFH rule, proposed in 2015 when he was Obama’s secretary of Housing and Urban Development, was met with stiff resistance the moment it was unveiled.

National Review’s Stanley Kurtz was shocked by the rule and called it "massive government overreach.” He added that it:

gives the federal government a lever to re-engineer nearly every American neighborhood — imposing a preferred racial and ethnic composition, densifying housing, transportation, and business development in suburb and city alike, and weakening or casting aside the authority of local governments over core responsibilities, from zoning to transportation to education.

Kurtz continued saying that the rule would give the federal government the power to force racial quotas on every community in America.

"AFFH obligates any local jurisdiction that receives HUD funding to conduct a detailed analysis of its housing occupancy by race, ethnicity, national origin, English proficiency, and class (among other categories),” he wrote, adding:

Grantees must identify factors (such as zoning laws, public-housing admissions criteria, and "lack of regional collaboration”) that account for any imbalance in living patterns. Localities must also list "community assets” (such as quality schools, transportation hubs, parks, and jobs) and explain any disparities in access to such assets by race, ethnicity, national origin, English proficiency, class, and more. Localities must then develop a plan to remedy these imbalances, subject to approval by HUD.

By using its power to approve banking and funding, the federal government would necessarily have the ability to tell suburban areas who will be allowed to live in their neighborhoods and what kind of homes they can build to force immigrant and low income residents into every neighborhood. In the end, the rule would destroy wealth and lower property values.

A word from Tim:

Good news! I imagine the courts will try to stop him, though.

BTW I argued at the time that this is intended to overturn the power of redistricting.

Republicans had taken control of so many statehouses and governorships that they could redistrict in a way that made it impossible for Democrats to get elected. So Obama decided if Muhammad won't go to the mountain then the mountain would go to Muhammad, and he hatched up this scheme to colonize Republican districts. Cute trick.

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Beat a Cop; It Could Be a Freebie in Va.

Timothy Birdnow

Democrats in the newly minted People's Republic of Virginia are considering reducing assaulting a police officer from a felony to a misdemeanor.

This would reduce sentencing from a minimum of 6 months in jail to possibly no jail time at all.

Maybe we can decriminalize assassinations next? I mean, Democrats would love to see President Trump take a bullet anyway, so why not make it legal in Virginia?

My God, these people have lost their minds.

Now, if they were not hypocrites they would include legislators in this law. I know quite a few people who would love to throw bricks at some of these creepy lawmakers...

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"White People Deserve to Die"

This from Anthony Watts:

How much do you have to hate yourself to say this: "Whites are lucky Blacks don’t just wipe us out and we would deserve it."

Wow. No words.

Letter: Trump's Behavior is More Scary Than Looting

A word from Tim:

This idiot can't do basic math, either; WHITES are lucky blacks don't just "wipe them out"??? Doesn't this dimwit know that there are five whites for every black person, and if white America were half as racist as she claims it would be the white people doing the genocide? But I've encountered a lot of Justice Warrior wokies who seem to think that black people took everything they have by force from an unwilling white majority. How do you fix that kind of stupidity? I once pointed out that it was White America that changed the laws and customs during the Civil Rights movement and they just sneered at that. How do you deal with people so monumentally ignorant and full of malice?

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Fool's Gold

Timothy Birdnow

China is absolutely crooked. Indian just kicked Chinese app makers out, refusing to do business with a number of Chinese firms and thinking about kicking out Huawei. This should teach everyone to refuse to do business with the Chicoms.

They used gold-plated copper bricks to scam a huge loan.

Gold Industry Shaken as 83 Tons of Fake Gold Bars Used to Secure $2 Billion Loans in China/Bitcoin News

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With "Friends" Like These

Joe Bastardi observes:

Hypocrisy is prejudice with a halo. No better example: 10 years ago today, Pelosi called former KKK leader, Democrat Senator Robert Byrd a "friend" and "great person."

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In Congress, July 4, 1776

Timothy Birdnow

Here is the Declaration of Independence as signed by Congress:

"In Congress, July 4, 1776.

The unanimous Declaration of the thirteen united States of America,When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.--That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, --That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.

Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.--Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government.

The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.

He has forbidden his Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to attend to them.

He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.

He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.

He has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.

He has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the Legislative powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.

He has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands.

He has obstructed the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary powers.

He has made Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.

He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harrass our people, and eat out their substance.

He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.

He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power.

He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:

For Quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:

For protecting them, by a mock Trial, from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States:

For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world:

For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent:

For depriving us in many cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:

For transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences

For abolishing the free System of English Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule into these Colonies:

For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:

For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.

He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.

He has plundered our seas, ravaged our Coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.

He is at this time transporting large Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the Head of a civilized nation.

He has constrained our fellow Citizens taken Captive on the high Seas to bear Arms against their Country, to become the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to fall themselves by their Hands.

He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our British brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity.

We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.

We, therefore, the Representatives of the United States of America, in General Congress, Assembled, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these Colonies, solemnly publish and declare, That these United Colonies are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent States; that they are Absolved from all Allegiance to the British Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of Great Britain, is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as Free and Independent States, they have full Power to levy War, conclude Peace, contract Alliances, establish Commerce, and to do all other Acts and Things which Independent States may of right do. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor."

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Original Draft of the Declaration of Independence

Timothy Birdnow

Here is Thomas Jefferson's original draft of the Declaration of Independence. It would be somewhat modified before Congress would sign it:

A Declaration by the Representatives of United States of America, in General Congress Assembled

When, in the course of human events, it becomes necessary for a people to advance from that subordination in which they have hitherto remained, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the equal and independent station to which the laws of nature and of nature's god entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the change

We hold these truths to be [sacred and undeniable] selfevident, that all men are created equal and independent; that from that equal creation they derive in rights inherent and inalienables, among which are the preservation of life, and liberty and the pursuit of happiness; that to secure these ends, governments are instituted among men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed; that whenever any form of government shall become destructive of these ends, it is the right of the people to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing it's powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their safety and happiness. prudence, indeed, will dictate that governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes: and accordingly all experience hath shewn that mankind are more disposed to suffer while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. but when a long train of abuses and usurpations, begun at a distinguished period, and pursuing invariably the same object evinces a design to [subject] reduce them to arbitrary power, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such government, and to provide new guards for their future security. --

Such has been the patient sufferance of these colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to expunge their former systems of government. the history of his present majesty is a history of unremitting injuries and usurpations, among which no fact stands single or solitary to contradict the uniform tenor of the rest, all of which have in direct object the establishment of an absolute tyranny over these states. to prove this, let facts be submitted to a candid world, for the truth of which we pledge a faith yet unsullied by falsehood.

He has refused his assent to laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good:

He has forbidden his governors to pass laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has neglected utterly to attend to them.

He has refused to pass other laws for the accommodation of large districts of people unless those people would relinquish the right of representation [in the legislature], a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only:

He has dissolved representative houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.

[he has dissolved]he has refused for a long space of time, to cause others to be elected, whereby the legislative powers, incapable of annihilation, have returned to the people at large for their exercise, the state remaining in the meantime exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within:

he has endeavored to prevent the population of these states; for that purpose obstructing the laws for naturalization of foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migration hither, and raising the conditions of new appropriations of lands:

he has suffered the administration of justice totally to cease in some of these colonies, refusing his assent to laws for establishing judiciary powers:

he has made our judges dependent on his will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount of their salaries.

he has erected a multitude of new offices by a self-assumed power, and sent hither swarms of officers to harrass our people, and eat out their substance.

he has kept among us, in times of peace, standing armies and ships of war:

he has affected to render the military, independent of and superior to civil power:

he has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitutions, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his assent to their pretended acts of legislation, for quartering large bodies of armed troops among us;

for protecting them, by mock trial, from punishment for any murders [which] they should commit on the inhabitants of these states; for cutting off our trade with all parts of the world;

for imposing taxes on us without our consent;

for depriving us of the benefits of trial by jury;

for transporting us beyond seas to be tried for pretended offenses;

for taking away our charters, and altering fundamentally the forms of our governments;

for suspending our own legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever;

he has abdicated government here, withdrawing his governors, and declaring us out of his alegiance and protection;

he has plundered our seas, ravaged our coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people:

he is at this time transporting large armies of foreign mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of cruelty and perfidy unworthy the head of a civilized nation:

he has endeavored to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers the merciless Indian savages, whose known rule of warfare is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions of existence:

he has incited treasonable insurrections of our fellow citizens with the allurements of forfeiture and confiscation of our property:

he has waged cruel war against human nature itself, violating it's most sacred rights of life and liberty in the persons of a distant people who never offended him, captivating and carrying them into slavery in another hemispere, or to incure miserable death in their transportation hither. this piratical warfare, the opprobium ofinfidel powers, is the warfare of the Christian king of Great Britain. [determined to keep open a market where MEN should be bought and sold,] he has prostituted his negative for suppressing every legislative attempt to prohibit or to restrain this execrable commerce [determining to keep open a market where MEN should be bought and sold]: and that this assemblage of horrors might want no fact of distinguished die, he is now exciting those very people to rise in arms among us, and to purchase that liberty of which hehad deprived them, by murdering the people upon whom he also obtruded them: thus paying off former crimes committed against theliberties of one people, with crimes which he urges them to commit against the lives of another.

in every stage of these oppressions we have petitioned for redress in the most humble terms: our repeated petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. a prince, whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a people who mean to be free. future ages will scarce believe that the hardiness of one man, adventured within the short compass of twelve years only, on so many acts of tyranny without a mask, over a people fostered and fixed in principles of liberty.

Nor have we been wanting in attention to our British brethren. we have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over these our states. we have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here, no one of which could warrant so strange a pretension: that these were effected at the expence of our own blood and treasure, unassisted by the wealth or the strength of Great Britain: that in constituing indeed our several forms of government, we had adopted one common king, thereby laying a foundation for perpetual league and amity with them: but that submission to their parliament was no part of our constitution, nor ever in idea, if history may be credited: and we appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, as well as to the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which were likely to interrupt our correspondence and connections. they too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity, and when occasions have been given them, by the regular course of their laws, of removing from their councils the disturbers of our harmony, they have by their free election re-established them in power. at this very time too they are permitting their chief magistrate to send over not only soldiers of our common blood, but Scotch and foreign mercenaries to invade and deluge us in blood. these facts have given the last stab to agonizing affection, and manly spirit bids us to renounce forever these unfeeling brethren. We must endeavor to forget our former love for them, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, enemies in war, in peace friends. we might have been a free and a great people together; but a communication of grandeur and of freedom it seems is below their dignity. be it so, since they will have it: the road to [glory and] happiness [and to glory] is open to us too; we will climb it apart from them [in a seperate state] and acquiesce in the necessity which denounces [pronounces][ our [everlasting Adieu!] eternal separation!

We, therefore, the representatives of the United States of America, in General Congress, assembled do , in the name, and by the authority of the good people of these states, reject and renounce the allegiance and subjection to the kinds of Great Britain and all others whe may herafter claim by, through, or under them; we utterly dissolve and break off all political connection which may have heretofore subsisted between us and the people or parliament of Great Britain; and finally we do assert and declare these colonies to be free and independent states, and that as free and independent states they shall herafter have [full] power to levy war, conclude peace, contract alliances, establish commerce, and to do all other acts and things which independent states may of right do. And for the support of this declaration we mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.

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Happy Aphelion Day!

Timothy Birdnow

Happy Aphelion Day!  Today marks the day the Earth is farthest from the Sun. As it is falling on July 4 this year, and given the kind of year America is having, I think it fitting; we are clearly reaching a nadir of sorts and even the Sun is getting as far away from us as possible.

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July 03, 2020

Hot Summer Epic Fail

This from Roy Spencer:

Hot summer epic fail: Newest climate models exaggerate 50 years of Midwest summer warming by a factor of 6.

From the article:

For the last 10 years I have consulted for grain growing interests, providing information about past and potential future trends in growing season weather that might impact crop yields. Their primary interest is the U.S. corn belt, particularly the 12 Midwest states (Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, Oklahoma, the Dakotas, Minnesota, and Michigan) which produce most of the U.S. corn and soybean crop.

Contrary to popular perception, the U.S. Midwest has seen little long-term summer warming. For precipitation, the slight drying predicted by climate models in response to human greenhouse gas emissions has not occurred; if anything, precipitation has increased. Corn yield trends continue on a technologically-driven upward trajectory, totally obscuring any potential negative impact of "climate change”.

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Arguing with idiots Global Warming Addition Yet Again

Timothy Birdnow

I'm forced into arguing with Gangreenous idiots again. I stated on a Facebook post:

So, I suppose we now have proof that sea level rise has accellerated? We've now found the hot spot in the tropical troposphere? We've founb the "missing heat" hiding in the deep oceans? Oh wait...

Dan Bailey smirks:

Yes, yes and yes.

And yes, I can cite the research.

If you promise to actually read it, I'll cite it.

Oh, wait...

I reply:

Sorry Dan Bailey but Skeptical Science and Mad Magazine don't qualify...

Kray Van Kirk argues:

Timothy Birdnow I've never seen a single peer-reviewed, published scientific paper written by someone named Skeptical Science.

Nerem, R.S., Beckley, B.D., Fasulla, J.T., Hamlington, B.D., Masters, D., and G.T. Mitchum. 2018. Climate-change-

driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (9)

Dangendorf, S, Hay, C., Calafat, F.M., Marcos, M., Piecuch, C.G., Berk, K., and J. Jensen. 2019. Persistent acceleration in global sea-level rise sicne the 1960s. Nature Climate Change, (9) 705-710

Zanna, L., Khatiwala, S., Gergory, J.M., Ison, J., and P. Heimbach, 2019. Global reconstruction of historical ocean heat storage and transport. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (4)


Dan Bailey says:

"proof that sea level rise has accellerated?"

Currently, global sea levels are rising 3.3 mm/year, with an acceleration observed in recent years due to accelerating land-based ice sheet mass losses.

https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2017GL073308
https://meetings.aviso.altimetry.fr/fileadmin/user_upload/tx_ausyclsseminar/files/Poster_OSTST17_GMSL_Drift_TOPEX-A.pdf
https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3325
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10712-015-9332-4
https://www.pnas.org/content/115/9/2022
https://www.earth-syst-sci-data-discuss.net/essd-2018-53/
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117718305799
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/2017GL076129

#StrikeOne
Edited · 1 · Like · React · More · Yesterday at 4:37 PM
Dan Bailey
"We've now found the hot spot in the tropical troposphere?"

This just in:

Tropospheric Hotspot found:

Sherwood and Nishant 2015 - Atmospheric changes through 2012 as shown by iteratively homogenized radiosonde temperature and wind data

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054007

#StrikeTwo

"We've founb the "missing heat" hiding in the deep oceans?"

It never was missing.

From Cheng et al 2020:

"The world’s oceans (especially the upper 2000 m) in 2019 were the warmest in recorded human history.

Specifically, the ocean heat anomaly (0−2000 m) in 2019 was 228 Zetta Joules (ZJ, 1 ZJ=1021 Joules) above the 1981−2010 average and 25 ZJ above 2018.

The past five years are the top five warmest years in the ocean historically with modern instruments, and the past ten years are also the top ten years on record. The same ranking also applies to NOAA/NCEI data (Table 1).

[Comparing 1955-1986 to 1987-2019] the more recent warming was ~450% that of the earlier warming (9.4 ± 0.2 ZJ yr−1, equal to 0.58 W m−2 averaged over the Earth’s surface), reflecting a major increase in the rate of global climate change.

The new results indicate a total full-depth ocean warming of 370 ± 81 ZJ (equal to a net heating of 0.38 ± 0.08 W m−2 over the global surface) from 1960 to 2019, with contributions of 41.0%, 21.5%, 28.6% and 8.9% from the 0–300-m, 300–700-m, 700–2000-m, and below-2000-m layers, respectively. The uncertainty in the OHC record has been greatly reduced in recent decades through improvements in the ocean observation system. Furthermore, the penetration of heat into the deep oceans is evident, primarily through the Atlantic Ocean and Southern Ocean.

It is well-establishe
d that the Southern Ocean has taken up most of the global warming heat since 1970: multiple observations show that the ocean south of 30°S at 0–2000 m was responsible for 35%–43% of the increase in global OHC within 1970–2017. Also, this is associated with a net northward heat transport by the oceans across the equator. Such meridional oceanic heat transport has influenced recent marine heatwaves in the Tasman Sea, which imparts a profound influence on marine fisheries and ecosystems. Interestingly, many of the major marine heatwave events in recent years have been located near the strong ocean heating regions, such as the Mediterranean Sea, North Pacific (nicknamed "The Blob”), equatorial central Pacific, Tasman Sea, and North Atlantic (> 40°N). Marine heatwaves and other stresses caused by ocean environmental changes clearly pose high risks to biodiversity and fisheries, and cause economic losses.

The ocean heating is irrefutable, and a key measure of the Earth’s energy imbalance: the excess GHGs in the air trap more heat inside the climate system and drives global warming. More than 90% of the heat accumulates in the ocean because of its large heat capacity, and the remaining heating manifests as atmospheric warming, a drying and warming landmass, and melting of land and sea ice. There are no reasonable alternatives aside from anthropogenic emissions of heat-trapping gases.

Increased ocean temperatures lead to rising sea levels (thermal expansion of the ocean and added mass from melting land ice). According to the altimetry satellite record, the past 10 years are also the highest in global mean sea level since 1900.

It is important to note that ocean warming will continue even if the global mean surface air temperature can be stabilized at or below 2°C in the 21st century, due to the long-term commitment of ocean changes driven by GHGs. Here, the term "commitment” means that the ocean (and some other components in the Earth system, such as the large ice sheets) are slow to respond and equilibrate, and will continue to change even after radiative forcing stabilizes.

However, the rates and magnitudes of ocean warming and the associated risks will be smaller with lower GHG emissions. Hence, the rate of increase can be reduced by appropriate human actions that lead to rapid reductions in GHG emissions, thereby reducing the risks to humans and other life on Earth."

Cheng et al 2020 - Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019

https:// link.springer.co m/article/ 10.1007/ s00376-020-9283- 7

Other resources:

https:// www.climate.gov/ news-features/ understanding-cl imate/ climate-change-o cean-heat-conte nt
https:// www.carbonbrief. org/ state-of-the-cli mate-new-record -ocean-heat-con tent-and-growin g-a-el-nino
http:// www.realclimate. org/index.php/ archives/2018/ 11/ the-long-story-o f-constraining- ocean-heat-cont ent/
http:// www.realclimate. org/index.php/ archives/2019/ 01/ new-ocean-heat-c ontent-historie s/
https:// advances.science mag.org/ content/3/3/ e1601545
https:// science.sciencem ag.org/content/ 363/6423/128
https:// www.frontiersin. org/articles/ 10.3389/ fmars.2019.00432 /full

#StrikeThreeYouA reOUT!


(-drops mic, saunters out-) more...

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On Claims of White Privilege

Tim McNabb

Racial bias exists in our country. I have friends who have been held at a disadvantage for no other reason than the color of their skin. Even so, "White Privilege” is a misnomer - and even as it has some validity, it is not anywhere near a factor as it’s commonly understood.

Taking the argument seriously, I would look at Jim Crow laws which codified segregation would indeed privilege whites who were not barred from public and private facilities. White people who were not excluded from civic and social opportunities certainly enjoyed a privilege.

However these laws have been long ago overturned, and quite a bit of work has been done by whites to change civic and social behavior so that minorities are at least not held to a disadvantage. I do think, though, despite this progress, our black friends and neighbors are not thriving like we would hope.

For instance, on average black families have as much as one-twentieth the net worth of white families. I lack the resources to gainsay this statistic, so I take it at face value that there is a huge difference. To what then can we attribute the difference?

I am not convinced such disparities can be attributed exclusively to racism. I do think that it is a factor, especially inasmuch as racist policies generations ago set into motion the circumstances today. Still, the much greater effect rests with generations of choices and values. Successful people of all races have an enormous amount of overlap in what is valued and what is despised. It is these cultural values and choices made that are both the greatest reason for disparity, and wonderfully, something individuals have the ability to manage.

I know whites who are successful, I know whites who are not. The same for blacks, and asians/

southeast asians and hispanic folk.

I have not known personally any Jews who were not successful. L'chaim!

In my experience, effort, education, good judgement and intellect are the most critical factors in success, not race.

Cribbing Piaget by way of Jordan Peterson, life is a game of games. You need not be Roger Maris to enjoy playing a nice game of baseball. It is not possible that all races will be as successful as all the others any more than all baseball teams will have the same record season over season. I further think that accusations of bias are legitimate - just as I think umpires can be part of gameplay despite supposedly being impartial. There are inevitably going to be important games lost or one because of a blown call.

What matters is not so much the final score of any given game, but that one is able to play a career of games with satisfaction. I have a satisfying life, but I could quickly lose my satisfaction if I spent too much time looking enviously into another man’s wallet or lamenting the leg-up another man had by dint of his birth. I have had advantages, and have experienced setbacks. It does seem unfair that a black man (or an asian man or a Jew or a fat guy) would be at a disadvantage because of animus, but once this animus is below a certain threshold it ought to be tossed upon the heap of obstacles to overcome, because joy is to be found when overcoming an obstacle.

The advantages successful people both generate themselves and pass along to their families are not even remotely exclusive to any given racial group. I think it is inescapable that, if you observe a group, you can identify things that are held in high esteem and things that are despised. It’s pretty easy to trace the outcomes of diligence, education, thrift, punctuality, agreeableness, sobriety and enterprise. It is also easy to trace the outcomes of sloth, avarice, violence, drunkenness and ignorance.

The habits of success can be discovered and applied - I have seen young men figure out how to manage their lives despite having few if any role models, but transferring these habits is best done by way of role models. I had some awesome role models that allowed me to overcome some serious gaps in my database of successful habits. Success, or more accurately, satisfaction, is much more likely to grow from a game well played. A dearth of role models, or worse, a plethora of bad role models is far more likely to result in widespread failure and misery, and I think the greater villain.

Those who claim that the game is rigged against a minority population are right often enough to warrant attention. Try being an Asian American with a high SAT score trying to get into an ivy league school. Education was understood to be the great equalizer, and it could be. Alas, the education opportunities are radically different among jurisdictions - at least for now. Despite enormous increases in funding, the incompetence and mendacity of the public school system is becoming uniform, and I think secondary education is already doomed to produce generations of non-thinkers.

Even so, the simple "do as they did, get what they got” is powerful and effective. Whatever advantages white people have is largely transferable to any and all who practice the same cultural norms. Lawful civic conduct, self-control, delaying gratification and a willingness to cooperate with and serve your fellow man with your labor in exchange for a fair wage works far more reliably than any redistribution scheme imagined by an academic who never generated a callus on their hands.

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July 02, 2020

Desperate Joe Biden Attempting To Silence Trump On Facebook

Dana Mathewson

Does any of this surprise you? Since the left has no coherent message for voters, they just want to stop any messaging from the right from getting through.

It looks like Uncle Joe is pulling out all the stops to prevent President Donald Trump from defeating him in November. Recently, it was revealed that the former vice president’s campaign sent a letter to Facebook imploring them to censor posts from the Trump campaign.

The letter, which was addressed to Nick Clegg, Facebook’s Vice President for Global Affairs, argued that President Trump’s Facebook posts should be suppressed because of his claims about the risk of voter fraud related to mail-in voting and his supposed tendency to post "hateful content.”

Biden campaign manager Jen O’ Malley Dillon, who penned the letter, urged the social media company to take a more active role in suppressing content posted by the Trump team. "As I am sure you will agree, it is absolutely vital that the American public clearly understand what it is that Facebook has so far committed — or declined — to do in order to protect against abuse of its platform to suppress the vote or incite violence,” she wrote.

Dillon also claimed that data revealed that "conservative leaning outlets were pushing more content that violated [Facebook’s] policies” than left-leaning outlets.

The letter comes as others on the left are attempting to curb the president’s ability to get his message to the American people through social media. Last month, Twitter placed a fact-check on one of Trump’s tweets arguing against mail-in voting. This action caused an uproar on conservative Twitter and sparked a movement in which right-leaning users signed up with Parler, an alternative social media service that promises not to censor content or ban users.

This censorious attempt on the part of the Biden campaign is just one of many leftist voices calling for the president’s silencing on social media. Even employees of the company have taken issue with Zuckerberg’s refusal to throttle Trump’s posts and crack down on speech they deem to be hateful.

In the letter, the Biden campaign attempted to shame the company into altering its algorithm to root out content that is "divisive and inflammatory. Dillon wrote, "The question is whether your platform’s algorithm should continue to amplify that material to the attention of tens of millions of people because it is divisive and inflammatory. The answer to that question is no, which should be clearer now than ever before.”

The left is continuing to apply pressure to social media companies to censor right-leaning speech under the guise of targeting only extremists. Corporations have resorted to advertising boycotts to force Facebook’s hand. However, this particular tactic will likely not reap any positive results for the censorious left.

Good article! Read the rest here: https://www.redstate.com/jeffc/2020/07/01/desperate-joe-biden-attempting-to-silence-trump-on-facebook/

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Hey Suburban Voters, Joe Biden's Housing Policies Will Ruin Your Communities

Dana Mathewson

I would hope this gets a lot of publicity. Most everybody I know who lives in Suburbia -- including my wife and myself -- like it just fine and would hate to see it go away!

A significant number of commentators have posited that the 2020 election will be won or lost in the suburbs. For some reason, these suburban voters seem to be signaling that they want Joe Biden to take their guns away, raise their taxes, and cause massive job losses in industries related to oil and gas. Or perhaps they are super excited about having a cognitively impaired leader of the free world. Hard to tell.

However, my bet is if they figured out Joe Biden was planning on destroying their communities, they might be a little more attuned to their self-interest. Joe Biden has signed on to a plan that will take local control away from community planning using federal funding as leverage.

Stanley Kurtz at National Review is ringing the alarm bell. An Obama-era regulation that has not been rolled back by the Trump administration is about to weaponized in a significant way if Democrats gain power. The regulation could lead to such considerable wealth redistribution, Kurtz wrote an entire book about it.

Recall, if Democrats take control of the Senate, they intend to end the filibuster. If they maintain control of the House and Biden wins the presidency, there will be no way for Republicans to stop this power grab. It will necessarily put all community planning in the hands of the federal government. They, not the local city councils and county officials, will determine the zoning laws that govern suburban communities to achieve their progressive vision of equity and environmental policies.

From Kurtz:

I’ve been studying Joe Biden’s housing plans, and what I’ve seen is both surprising and frightening. I expected that a President Biden would enforce the Obama administration’s radical AFFH (Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing) regulation to the hilt. That is exactly what Biden promises to do. By itself, that would be more than enough to end America’s suburbs as we’ve known them, as I’ve explained repeatedly here at NRO.

What surprises me is that Biden has actually promised to go much further than AFFH. Biden has embraced Cory Booker’s strategy for ending single-family zoning in the suburbs and creating what you might call "little downtowns” in the suburbs. Combine the Obama-Biden administration’s radical AFFH regulation with Booker’s new strategy, and I don’t see how the suburbs can retain their ability to govern themselves. It will mean the end of local control, the end of a style of living that many people prefer to the city, and therefore the end of meaningful choice in how Americans can live. Shouldn’t voters know that this is what’s at stake in the election?

The Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing regulation, AFFH for short, is like Affirmative Action for community planning. According to Kurtz, there are three elements to the strategy that effectively integrate the suburbs with their urban neighbors:

  1. Use a kind of quota system to force "economic integration” on the suburbs, pushing urban residents outside of the city
  2. Close down suburban growth by regulating development, restricting automobile use, and limiting highway growth and repair, thus forcing would-be suburbanites back to the city
  3. Use state and federal laws to force suburbs to redistribute tax revenue to poorer cities in their greater metropolitan region
Follow the money!

Initially, the AFFH used HUD grants to bring suburban communities into compliance. Local communities could make a decision not to pursue these grants and retain local control of zoning. However, Biden has signed on to a plan that goes even further to enforce this vision. Senator Cory Booker (D-N.J.) has proposed withholding federal transportation grants communities use to repair highways. This funding would be nearly impossible for communities to forego.

This policy position is stunning in the wake of a pandemic that has Americans questioning urban living. The real estate site Suburban Jungle saw a four-fold increase in traffic during the pandemic when cities were hardest hit. The impact of rioting and escalating violence is yet to be seen.

Cities that stayed shut down longer than outlying areas are also running into financial problems due to lost revenue. Now businesses large and small may not recover from the looting and destruction of the recent riots. Some of them are relocating out of destroyed downtown areas or will not reopen.

On its face, this policy, with the enhancement proposed by Booker, shreds several levels of the federalist system. Residents will lose all control over the design of their communities. Some of the most heated debates in city councils across the country are related to zoning. What is built where is a big deal for may communities. AFFH will end that debate.

Of course, suburban voters should know the intentions and outcomes of these policies. There is no way the corporate media is going to tell them. Kurtz told us why in an article from 2015:

It’s difficult to say what’s more striking about President Obama’s Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing (AFFH) regulation: its breathtaking radicalism, the refusal of the press to cover it, or its potential political ramifications. The danger AFFH poses to Democrats explains why the press barely mentions it. This lack of curiosity, in turn, explains why the revolutionary nature of the rule has not been properly understood. Ultimately, the regulation amounts to back-door annexation, a way of turning America’s suburbs into tributaries of nearby cities.

As noted, the impact of this radically progressive policy would put the suburban vote at risk for Democrats. This reaction is why the Trump campaign must make the housing policy a big issue in the next few months. President Trump needs to direct HUD Secretary Ben Carson to gut the AFFH immediately and remove any federal leverage over zoning that still exists. [emphasis added]

Discrimination in housing is already illegal as it should be. Americans should have a wide range of choices about the type of communities they live in. The utopian idea that the federal government can create "fair” or "equitable” communities is utter garbage. President Trump and Republicans need to say this clearly and often.

Educate your neighbors in outlying areas. It is imperative those in affected communities understand the control they will be giving up over the small towns and suburbs where they live.

Read the rest of the article here: https://pjmedia.com/election/stacey-lennox/2020/07/01/hey-suburban-voters-joe-bidens-housing-policies-will-ruin-your-communities-n595905 especially if you live in the suburbs and want them to continue being suburbs!

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Wolves and Sheepdogs


Timothy Birdnow

Here is an excellent essay on the cowardice of modern Conservatives and especially the Church from a Catholic high school teacher who got "canceled" for calling Black Lives Matter terrorists.

From the essay by Timothy J. Gordon:

In the parlance of the Western film, we got a fight comin’, and it’s comin’ today. Stand and fight. Our institutions—the academy, news and entertainment media, our politics, our economy, and even the Church—are so thoroughly infiltrated that the Jacobins, once camouflaged but now demasked, may desecrate the tombs of the holy and topple statues of Christendom’s paragons in the bright noon light.

The terrorists, wolves among sheep, control the responses, and even the moral imaginations, of the fold: accordingly, one gets fired for opposing terrorism. Fat, comfortable suburbanites have for too long preferred to sacrifice their champions rather than jeopardize their comfort. But my firing—and, I fear, more like it—must be the clarion call to a new era: the era of the renewal of Christendom.

Thus far, we’ve been cultural losers, in every venue. Complacency and security have become our deadliest foes—far deadlier than even the human agents of the Deceiver who toil, night and day, to capture even the small, overlooked corners of the cultural landscape that their dominion currently lacks.

"The time has come for valor without renown,” as Aragorn tells Eowyn. I am calling for all to redeem their bespoiled manhoods in the perilous, yet salubrious crucible of cultural battle—with no quarter for the cowardly, no shelter for the insipid. We got a fight comin’, and it’s comin’ today.

Gordon cites Socrates, who says there is an age-old collusion between the sheep and the wolves against the sheepdog, the one who protects. So often the sheep hate the dog more than the wolves who would eat them.

He's right. There is a kind of suicidal desire to appease the enemy to the point where those who would fight are considered the problem.

And that is true in the Conservative population, and in Christ's holy Church as well. Everyone wants friendship with the world more than friendship with God.

The Book of Revelation warns that the worst of all churches is the church of Laodecia because "you are neither hot nor cold. As you are neither hot nor cold I will spew you from my mouth." That is the side we are fighting on today; lukewarm and apathetic.

That is why Make America Great Again is such a terrifying slogan to so many these days; it's the fear of the sheepdog over the wolves.

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"Peaceful Protesters" Attempt Murder in Provo

Timothy Birdnow

Here are those "peaceful" Black Lives Matter protests for you!

From the Epoch Times article:

The Provo Police Department said that video footage officers obtained showed the white SUV being surrounded when the driver tried turning onto another street.

"Several protestors began crowding around the vehicle. A male protestor ran to the SVU [sic] on the passenger side, pointed a handgun at driver and shot one round through the window,” it said.

The driver was hit by the bullet and hit the gas, trying to flee.

The man who fired the gun ran after the vehicle and shot a second round, whichwent through the rear passenger window. The man then concealed the firearm and continued to protest, according to police.

Two individuals - Jesse Taggart, 33 and caucasian, and Samantha Darling 27 and caucasian - were charges in the incident. Taggert with firing a weapon near a highway, rioting, and attempted aggravated murder and Darling with obstruction of justice and rioting.

The article states:

The man who fired the gun ran after the vehicle and shot a second round, whichwent through the rear passenger window. The man then concealed the firearm and continued to protest, according to police.

The same male, later identified as Taggart, later approached another vehicle and broke a window with the handgun.

But these are just "peaceful protests" yessiree!

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Entitled Black Woman Gets Comeuppance

Timothy Birdnow

There is some justice in this world.

Harvard Grad Blames Trump Supporters After 'Stab" Video Costs Her Deloitte Job

Clearly an affirmative action acceptance at Harvard. How many Harvard grads say "I'mma stab you"? Well, she got more than a papercut in the end...

From the article:

In a new video Wednesday, teary-eyed Claira Janover claims she lost a jobwith the Deloitte accounting firm after saying in a previous video –that went viral –that she would "stab” anyone who told her "all lives matter.”

"Standing upfor Black Lives Matter put me in a place online to be seen by millions of people,” Janover says in the new video. As a result, "the job that I’d worked really hard to get and meant a lot to me has called me and fired me because of everything.”

Well, don't make threats against people if you don't want to lose things. This is a prime example of "black privilege".

She said:

"Trump supporters took my job away from me,” she claims. "I have gotten death threats, rape threats, violent threats. It was OK, but now my future’s entirely compromised because Trump supporters have decided to come for my life.”

The graduate with a degree in government and psychology claims Deloitte let her go despite a company claim of standing "against systemic bias, racism and unequal treatment.”

[...]

In her original viral video, Janover had issued a warning to anyone with "the nerve, the sheer entitled Caucasity to say, ‘all lives matter.’”

"I’ma stab you,” she said. "I’ma stab you, and while you’re struggling and bleeding out, I’ma show you my paper cut and say, ‘My cut matters, too.’”

She later claimed the clip was "clearly” an "analogous joke.”

"For legal reasons this is a joke,” she added. "And people are like reporting me for domestic terrorism, tagging the FBI, Harvard, Cambridge police.”



This is an example of black privilege. She assumed that because she is black she can say whatever she wants without consequence. That is one of the many privileges afforded to "people of color" in America these days, along with the obvious financial promotions - like getting into Harvard when she cannot even speak proper English.

Notice how she says "for legal reasons this was a joke" meaning it was only a joke insofar as she wants to stay out of legal trouble. She actually was stupid enough to admit that.

How many white lives have been taken by black people over the years? Yeah; some paper cut.

It's sad because she clearly has learned nothing from her experience. One would hope she would have taken stock and considered that she had gone too far. But a hater's gotta hate.

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Guilty Plea on Vote Fraud

Timothy Birdnow

No vote fraud in the U.S.? Think again:

Election Judge Pleads Guilty to Ballot Stuffing for Democrats

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July 01, 2020

Real Despotism

Jassy May

For those Davos globalists working incessantly to "fundamentally transform" the USA and which for 20 years have publicly held up Totalitarian China as their virtuous model of the modern nation state...

the global infection of the Wuhan Virus and the recent invasion of formerly Free Hong Kong reveals their petulent superficial knowledge of all that is, was, has ever been or will ever be.


Life Sentences for Breaking Hong Kong Security Law

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