October 06, 2021

Creating Covid

Timothy Birdnow

More on the lab creation of Covid 19.

From the Daily Mail:

Wuhan scientists and US researchers planned to create a new coronavirus in 2018: Consortium led by Brit Peter Daszak asked DARPA to fund research at lab in city where Covid pandemic began

* A 2018 grant proposal sought to combine data from similar strains for new virus
* It was submitted by scientists from US, China and Singapore, but was rejected
* A genetics expert from the WHO told The Telegraph that such work could explain why a close ancestor for Covid-19 has yet to be found in nature
* The Wuhan Institute of Virology has consistently denied creating Covid-19

US and Chinese scientists were planning to create a new coronavirus before the pandemic erupted, leaked proposals show.

Last month, a grant application submitted to the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (Darpa) revealed that an international team of scientists had planned to mix genetic data of similar strains to create a new virus.

The grant application was made in 2018 and leaked to Drastic, the pandemic origins analysis group.

'We will compile sequence/RNAseq data from a panel of closely related strains and compare full length genomes, scanning for unique SNPs representing sequencing errors.

'Consensus candidate genomes will be synthesised commercially using established techniques and genome-length RNA and electroporation to recover recombinant viruses,' the application states.


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Owning Yourself

"The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. To be your own man is a hard business. If you try it, you'll be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself.”

— Rudyard Kipling

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Ending Fossil Fuels

Stephen Heins

"But basically, OPEC projects that any and all decreases in oil consumption achieved by the OECD nations (developed countries) will be offset and more by increases in the rest of the world.”

More News On The Progress Toward Eliminating Fossil Fuels

More News On The Progress Toward Eliminating Fossil Fuels

October 03, 2021/ Francis Menton

The bureaucrats of the world, particularly in the UN and developed countries, have the idea that they are going to eliminate all use of fossil fuels by somewhere around 2040-50. They have no conception of how to accomplish that, other than to order from on high that it shall occur and assume that somebody else will figure out the details. This gives the rest of us the opportunity to sit on the sidelines and observe how bureaucratic fantasy gradually runs into the brick wall of physical reality.

Back in June I covered the Report just out from Ren21 Renewables Now wherein we learned that in the ten years from 2009 to 2019, despite hundreds of billions of dollars of subsidies for intermittent wind and solar power, the percent of world final energy consumption coming from fossil fuels had dropped all the way from 80.3% to 80.2%. Oh, but world final energy consumption was substantially up over that decade from about 320 to 385 exajoules, so despite all the strenuous efforts to reduce their use, in fact annual fossil fuel consumption had increased from about 260 to 310 exajoules.

And then just two weeks ago I covered the unfolding energy crisis in the UK. There, the mad rush to close coal plants and build wind turbines had left the country completely subject to just-in-time natural gas deliveries from others, particularly Russia. When a period of calm hit the North Sea wind farms, gas prices spiked by a multiple, and Britain was left closing factories and begging Russia for supply.

And there is plenty more news coming out on the same subject. Here are a couple of examples for today:
China. With the waning of the pandemic, all the rich countries of the West are back to wanting to consume lots of manufactured stuff. But of course the obsession with eliminating fossil fuels has gradually made the industrial energy supply of the rich countries more expensive and less reliable. (This is more true in Europe than in the U.S., but California and New York are doing their best to keep up.). Anyway, no problem, we’ll just get the stuff from China. So in recent months China has been in the mode of ramping up production. That will of course require much more energy. Do you think that it is going to come from wind and solar? Don’t be ridiculous. On September 27, Reuters reported that the ramp-up is causing massive energy shortages around China, and the solution is — coal.

"China provincial governor urges more coal imports to resolve power shortages”:
China should work to import more coal from Russia, Indonesia and Mongolia in order to resolve supply shortages now crippling large sections of industry, said Han Jun, governor of the northeastern province of Jilin, one of the worst-hit regions. Speaking to local power firms on Monday, Han said "multiple channels" needed to be set up to guarantee coal supplies, according to the province's official WeChat social media account. He said the province would also dispatch special teams to secure supply contracts in the neighbouring region of Inner Mongolia.

OPEC World Oil Outlook. On September 28 OPEC came out with its annual World Oil Outlook. This Report looks forward through the year 2045. It’s becoming increasingly impossible to get any straight information out of the American and European oil companies, as threats of lawsuits and regulatory actions cause them to mouth green groupthink and to pretend that they are planning to go out of business over the next couple of decades. But OPEC isn’t subject to the same pressures, so their Report is a much better indication of where knowledgeable people think things are going.

And where might that be? Here is OPEC’s chart of projected demand growth for petroleum from now to 2045:

In short, it’s continued growth in consumption all the way through 2045, albeit with the growth leveling off toward the end of the period. But basically, OPEC projects that any and all decreases in oil consumption achieved by the OECD nations (developed countries) will be offset and more by increases in the rest of the world.

OPEC also tries its hand at projections of demand for coal and natural gas over the same period. Here’s their chart of projected demand for natural gas:

It’s increases as far as the eye can see. Yes, they project that demand from the OECD countries will remain essentially flat at just under 30 mboe/d over the whole period; but meanwhile demand from the rest of the world is projected to go up dramatically from about 35 mboe/d to around 55 mboe/d.

In another chart relating to coal, they project a small decline in world demand from around 70 mboe/d today to around 60 mboe/d by 2045. Substantial declines in OECD nations will be offset by almost equivalent increases in places like India and Africa.

Do the people at OPEC know what they are talking about with these projections? I think that these figures are far more likely to be close to the mark than the fantasies coming out of the UN, where the talk is that the entire world economy will reach "net zero” carbon emissions by 2050. For example, here is the UN’s IEA, November 17, 2019, discussing what they call a "1.5 °C scenario that does not rely on negative emissions technologies”:
This . . . [scenario] means a reduction in emissions of around 1.3 billion tonnes CO2 every year from 2018 onwards. That amount is roughly equivalent to the emissions from 15% of the world’s coal fleet or from 40% of today’s global passenger car fleet. The year by which different economies would need to hit net-zero in such a scenario would vary, but the implication for advanced economies is that they would need to reach this point in the 2040s. . . . [D]eveloping economies . . . would all need to be at net-zero by 2050.

Not happening. Do they have any idea how completely absurd this is?

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Don't Bother with the Facts

Warner Todd Huston

Liberals live in a fact-free world. Today we found out that the CDC doesn't even bother to track the number of "breakthrough" COVID cases because they simply don't want to know how many vaccinated people are still getting COVID. And we also found out that the corrupt FBI does not bother to track the attacks, murders, and property damage committed by Antifa and other leftist groups because it simply does not want to know how dangerous the left is to America.

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October 05, 2021

Chinese Energy Crisis Tied to Plans to Seize Taiwan?

Timothy Birdnow

Is China's energy crisis a result of plans to wean themselves off coal to facilitate an eventual attack on Taiwan? The Chinese import a lot of the coal they burn for power.

That is the theory of Chuck Devore at the Federalist.

Read all about it.

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The Covid Shuffle

Alan McRae

Many countries including the USA and Canada label people as "UNvaccinated” until 14 days after their second Covid-19 shot (or their first shot for single-dose injections like J&J). That is how they conceal the deaths and illnesses caused by the vaccines in the Unvaxxed population – one more Covid-19 data fraud.
Other Covid-19 frauds include:
The March 2020 lockdown was never justified - there was an illness, but it was an mild-to-average

winter flu with NO EXCESS WINTER DEATHS in Alberta or Canada. Average age of death in Alberta from Covid-19 was 82 - people who were going to die soon anyway.
Hospitals were emptied in March 2020 for a "tsunami of Covid-cases" that never happened - one typical 600-bed Alberta hospital averaged less than 5 Covid-cases during its two-month Covid-19 shutdown. The Covid-19 lockdown was government propaganda.
In the USA, reported Covid-19 deaths were more than ten times per capita Covid-19 deaths in Alberta - because many USA deaths were falsely coded as Covid-19. The actual number of Covid-19 deaths in the USA was about 1/16 of the reported deaths. The coding definition was changed in March 2020 so that every death with a positive PCR test was coded as Covid-19 - even vehicle accident deaths was labelled Covid`-19 - total fraud.

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Fake News Palestinians

Timothy Birdnow

A truly artificial people created to justify liberal rage.

From Ian Lyons (via Alexis Worlock):

"In 1964, the then Soviet Union, and more specifically the KGB, invented the 'Palestinian People' and created the 'Palestine Liberation Organisation' with an Egyptian, Yasser Arafat, as its head. The skill in marketing and selling this fictitious enterprise, however, lay not with the Russians, but with the North Vietnamese.

Arafat was a great admirer of Ho Chi Min's success in mobilising left-wing sympathisers in the West, where activists on university campuses enthusiasticall y followed his propaganda line in reframing a Communist assault on the south into a struggle for liberation. Arafat sat down with Ho's chief strategist, General Giap,
who told him that in order to succeed, he needed to conceal his real goals, and give the appearance of moderation.

"Stop talking about annihilating Israel and start talking about your struggle for human rights - then you will have the American people eating out of your hand."

Arafat then took advice from Muhammad Yazid, the Algerian Information Minister, who told him that he needed to wipe out the argument that Israel is a small state whose existence is threatened by the Arab states, and to present the 'Palestinian struggle' as a struggle for liberation. Turn the Jews from the victims into the aggressors and present the 'Palestinians' as the victims who had had their country 'stolen'.

It worked - and how it worked. By the time he died, Arafat had the blood of thousands of innocent Jews on his hands and billions of dollars stashed in his personal bank accounts.

Most significantly, 57 years on, there are still countless useful idiots playing dead on campuses across the US and Europe, with chants of 'Free Palestine' ringing in the air."

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Japanese Air Craft Carrier

Warner Todd Huston

Japan has military aircraft on an aircraft carrier for the first times since WWII.

F-35B Stealth Fighters Operate from a Japanese Aircraft Carrier for the First Time

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Sinema is Toasted

From Sherrie Mathieson

Jack Posobiec

BREAKING: A crowd of insurrectionist s just chased Senator Sinema into a bathroom at ASU screaming at her while she hid in a stall. No
@CapitolPolice
in sight for the female Senator.

Jack Posobiec
@JackPosobiec

The Sinema attack today is a textbook example of stochastic targeting. Media and Dems spent the week demonizing her, then radicalized leftists stalked her down

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Woo Them with Wuhan

Chester McAteer

Throughout history, when a People abandon their Trust in Government, invariably the Government seeks to regain that Trust though some type of catastrophic threat that will herd the People back to the proverbial Fold. Oddly, it works more times than it doesn't because, for the most part, People are followers, unquestioning and compliant subjects with few heroes among the crowd to rise above the mediocrity and mendacity.

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The Deadlier Strain

Warner Todd Huston

Number of COVID deaths in Washington D.C.
June: 7
July: 8
August: 12
September: 15

Number of homicides in D.C.
June: 14
July: 21
August: 24
September: 18

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China's Carrier Problem

Timothy Birdnow

This from Cornelius Carroll

Why Did China Nix Its Dream of a Six Aircraft Carrier Fleet?

This might be problematic. China clearly is positioning itself to win a localized conflict within the first island chain but w/o carriers or a cluster of small island bases I doubt they could effectively projected power decisively into the second island chain or Indian Ocean.
Long range/

Hypersonic missiles and submarines can help fill that gap but it would be a lot more challenging to project power to decisively defeat an adversary.
China would build a network of bases in the Central and South Pacific to check the United States & the string of pearls in the Indian Ocean can sideline India along with strategic partnerships w/ Myanmar, Pakistan, and Iran.
But those are very visible strategies that both powers can work around.

End quote.

Hmm.

I have little doubt the Chinese are struggling to build a sizable fleet of carriers, but they can compensate with other technology.

Here is an interesting snippet:

China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy takes many of its cues from the U.S. Navy as it develops its carrier aviation branch. It is seeking similar flat-deck carriers to its U.S. counterpart, and has developedairborne early warning planesandelectronic attack jetscomparable to American E-2D Hawkeyes andEA-18 Growlers.

But that tendency may have backfired for once. That’s because the U.S. Navy has been beset by major cost overruns and delays in deploying its new generation Gerald Ford-class supercarriers due to persistent flaws in their catapults, arresting gear, radars and weapons elevators. You can read more about these many problems in an earlier article.

First, why would you take your cues from the U.S., which is becoming increasingly feeble and going broke from building stuff like this?

Second, "Gerald Ford Class Carriers"?! What do they do, bore the enemy to death?

Who would name a class of military vessel after Gerald Ford? And who would imitate it?

In fact the article admits these problems:

But that tendency may have backfired for once. That’s because the U.S. Navy has been beset by major cost overruns and delays in deploying its new generation Gerald Ford-class supercarriers due to persistent flaws in their catapults, arresting gear, radars and weapons elevators. You can read more about these many problems in anearlier article.

Similar problems apparently are affecting China’s carrier program. In November 2019, Minnie Chan of the South China Morning Postreportedthat Beijing was scrapping plans for a fifth and sixth nuclear-powered carrier, once it finished construction of two new steam-powered vessels.

The reason? "Technical challenges and high costs,” including issues particularly linked to development of the latter two vessel’s electromagnetic launch systems—the same system bedeviling the U.S. Navy.

The Chicoms aren't stupid; they see the trap we have ensnared ourselves in.

They figured out that we have been bankrupting ourselves with this kind of crap. It can be done leaner and more successfully with new tech - provided the tech actually works. As you say, this hampers their ability to project power now, but the Chinese take the long view.

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The Foibles of Science and Liberals

Timothy Birdnow

On Facebook a man who lives up to his name sneers at the friends of Marcus Goyne for being ignorant and stupid.

The appropriately named Mark Snarski (sans Snuch) bloviates:

Hold on and I'm not taking any prisoners here. Marcus, look we get on fine as you know but that comment is akin to opening a bowling alley called Ignorant and Stupid. Let's start with Galileo who was contracted to invent the telescope and pointed it towards the heavens. I'll skip a few centuries and a Belgium priest George Lemaitre came up with The Big Bang Theory. He called the atom the cosmic egg, the primeval atom. He was a priest. Albert Einstein disagreed with him when he said that the universe was expanding and later he retracted it. You should all watch this great documentary by the BBC called The History of Science because what I've read on this thread is stupid, ignorant and generally pretty fucked up.

I retort:

I disagree; you make some factual errors here.

First, Galileo did not invent the telescope. That was the brainchild of Hans Lippershey, who in 1608 produced the first "spy-glass" using lenses from eyeglasses (which were invented in 1285 by Salvino D'Armate). What Galileo did was use a telescope to look at the planets and, by virtue of being the first man to do it, discovered the moons of Jupiter as well as Saturn's rings.

As to Einstein and the Big Bang, I would add that Einstein also rejected quantum physics and pushed the notion of a cosmological constant to clean up the mess his General Theory of Relativity work. He later said it was the biggest blunder of his life.

And Einstein made not one but TWO rookie errors in his calculations. http://rubyhawk.expertscolumn.com/article/einstein-and-big-bang-theory Russian mathematician Alexander Friedman pointed this out to Einstein, who did not enjoy being corrected (he divided by zero in one equation) and so the Great Man simply ignored his booboo. He eventually conceded his error, but would never accept the Big Bang despite considerable evidence.

At any rate, Einstein added the cosmological constant solely as a way to make the math allow for a static universe - poor motivation for a world class mind. He approached the matter out of pride and not scientific detachment.

At any rate, I do not understand your claim of "effed up" comments. Most of them are acknowledging exactly what happened with Einstein; Science should be open to debate. Had everyone just accepted Einstein's word for it we would still be stuck in the flat-earth universe.  (Yes, the CC has renewed interest since it comports with Dark Energy, but that's a whole other story.)

At any rate, the BBC is hardly an objective source of information. It is fine you are getting some from them but need to balance that off with other sources. Using one media outlet for any information is a serious mistake.

Oh, by the way, the mechanical clock was invented by Galileo after he saw church candle holders swaying after being lit. He never built it though, but he drew up plans for it. Galileo was a first rank genius even if an obnoxious ass who insisted on calling Copernicanism "settled science". He was lucky there because at the time it was NOT settled science; it did not eliminate the problems of epicycles in planetary motion (that would come later with Kepler and eliptical orbits.) I would add the much maligned Middle Ages produced some tremendous science and scholarship. That was because the Church saw the importance of science - and in fact the scientific method and the university were developed by Churchmen. We downplay that these days because materialism and atheism are taught and this repudiates the false narrative of Medieval superstition.

A whole lot of technology was invented during the Medieval period; the chimney, the ship lateen sail (which allows for tacking into the wind), the blast furnace, the mechanical clock, gunpowder, and the printing press, to name a few.

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Pandora's Papers

From Cornelius Carroll

The secret deals and hidden assets of some of the world’s richest and most powerful people have been revealed in the biggest trove of leaked offshore data in history.

Branded the Pandora papers, the cache includes 11.9m files from companies hired by wealthy clients to create offshore structures and trusts in tax havens such as Panama, Dubai, Monaco, Switzerland and the Cayman Islands.

They expose the secret offshore affairs of 35 world leaders, including current and former presidents, prime ministers and heads of state. They also shine a light on the secret finances of more than 300 other public officials such as government ministers, judges, mayors and military generals in more than 90 countries.

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Liberal Lies

Warner Todd Huston

Another example of how liberals all lie: They call Planned Parenthood "life-saving health care" when its REAL goal is literally to kill human beings. Yet they call the NRA "murderers" despite that the NRA doesn't even advocate for anyone to die, much less actually end anyone's life.

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Terrible Lessons of Catastrophe'

"When misguided public opinion honours what is despicable and despises what is honourable, punishes virtue and rewards vice, encourages what is harmful and discourages what is useful, applauds falsehood and smothers truth under indifference or insult, a nation turns its back on progress and can be restored only by the terrible lessons of catastrophe."

Frederic Bastiat

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Bless the Beasts and the Children

Selwyn Duke

https://www.selwynduke.com/2021/10/on-nazi-level-baby-parts-experiments-at-the-university-of-pittsburgh-officials-and-media-mum.html

On the heels of learning that the Food and Drug Administration purchased aborted babies’ body parts and requested "fresh and never frozen,” comes another story that sounds as if it’s from a horror movie or one of human history’s darkest chapters:

Researchers at the University of Pittsburgh have been conducting what have been called "Nazi-level experiments,” one of which involved grafting babies’ scalps onto lab rats.

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Facebook Crashes

Timothy Birdnow

Facebook went down yesterday and Zuckerberg lost billions

Mark Zuckerberg’s personal wealth has fallen by more than $6 billion in a few hours, knocking him down a notch on the list of the world’s richest people, after a whistleblower came forward and outages took Facebook Inc.’s flagship products offline.

Most Read from Bloomberg

A selloff sent the social-media giant’s stock plummeting 4.9% on Monday, adding to a drop of about 15% since mid-September.

The stock slide on Monday sent Zuckerberg’s worth down to $121.6 billion, dropping him below Bill Gates to No. 5 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. He’s down from almost $140 billion in a matter of weeks, according to the index.

Why?

On Sept. 13, the Wall Street Journal began publishing a series of stories based on a cache of internal documents, revealing that Facebook knew about a wide range of problems with its products — such as Instagram’s harm to teenage girls’ mental health and misinformation about the Jan. 6 Capitol riots — while downplaying the issues in public. The reports have drawn the attention of government officials, and on Monday, the whistleblower revealed herself.

What goes around comes around Zuck.

According to the Ass. Press, Facebook crashed because "the root cause of this outage was a faulty configuration change” and that there is "no evidence that user data was compromised as a result” of the outage." as per a statement by the Zuck's mouthpiece.

Ri-ight!

It just happened to go down right after damning testimony by an ex-employee.

It seems likely to me that either a.a foreign government took it down, one who likes to meddle in the internal affairs of the U.S. - either Russia or China. I am always suspicious of the Chinese and they would have things to hide here, but the Russians have no love lost  for Facebook. Or it could be b. which is Facebook hacked itself to hide something or c.a competitor hacked them (unlikely) or D. the U.S. security  apparatus hacked Facebook to protect Zuck and his cronies and hide something.

Each of these four scenarios is plausible, some more than others. I think d. is the most likely scenario. I suspect the CIA or NSA is running interference for the social media empire built with seed money from their guy Peter Thiel.

That is what made Facebook take off. And if they can make you they can break you. Facebook would have been just another competitor in the social media world were it not for Thiel and the CIA.

At any rate, somebody did this; in my opinion it was not what Zuckerberg claims, a glitch. He has an organization as big as many governments. I don't see it happening.

So what was the purpose? That's the real question. Was it just to sidetrack from what was coming to light about Facebook? Or is there something more?

Inquiring minds want to know.

Oh, and this happened while a researcher was testifying that Facebook caused great psychological harm to teen girls.


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October 04, 2021

Social Media Attempt to Block the Sun


Marinus de Korte

Ronan Connolly, Willie Soon, Michael Connolly, Sallie Baliunas, Johan Berglund, C. John Butler, Rodolfo Gustavo Cionco, Ana G. Elias, Valery M. Fedorov, Hermann Harde, Gregory W. Henry, Douglas V. Hoyt, Ole Humlum, David R. Legates, Sebastian Lüning, Nicola Scafetta, Jan-Erik Solheim, László Szarka, Harry van Loon, Víctor M. Velasco Herrera, Richard C. Willson, Hong Yan (艳洪), and Weijia Zhang.

What do all these names have in common? First, they are all researchers with advanced degrees in physics, geology, or other academic disciplines involved in climate research. Second, they recently coauthored a paper published in the peer-reviewed journal Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics (RAA) arguing more research should be conducted into the Sun’s influence on climate. Third, Facebook and other social media outlets are doing their best to suppress this report and prevent the sharing and discussion of it by their members after their supposedly independent "fact checkers" labeled the article "incorrect" and "misleading."

What did the authors of this paper do to raise the ire of so-called fact checkers? They simply tried to ascertain to what extent the Sun is driving or influencing present climate change. Such research is vital to understanding the causes of climate change and is critical to formulating successful responses to it. It should not be controversial.

Before the last decades of the twentieth century, it was commonly accepted scientifically that solar activity—period ic, alternating cycles of hyperactivity and quiescence—play s a huge role in driving regional and global climate shifts. Little ice ages and climate optimums were tied to solar activity.

Since governments formed the Intergovernment al Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) under the auspices of the United Nations, directing it to study the human causes of climate change, however, the Sun’s influence on climate shifts has been downplayed. Political and scientific mandarins declared human greenhouse gases were the only important factors driving climate change. With their marching orders in hand, those contributing to the IPCC’s reports have produced documents supporting this position.

Nevertheless, independent research continued. As documented in the RAA paper, dozens of international researchers or teams of researchers have published dozens of papers detailing reasons for believing solar activity continues to play an important role in climate change. Connolly et al. write,

here have been many reviews and articles published [since the IPCC was formed] that reached the … conclusion … that much of the global warming since the mid-20th century and earlier could be explained in terms of solar variability. For example: Soon et al. (1996); Hoyt & Schatten (1997); Svensmark & Friis-Christens en (1997); Soon et al. (2000b,a); Bond et al. (2001); Willson & Mordvinov (2003); Maasch et al. (2005); Soon (2005); Scafetta & West (2006a,b); Scafetta & West (2008a,b); Svensmark (2007); Courtillot et al. (2007, 2008); Singer & Avery (2008); Shaviv (2008); Scafetta (2009, 2011); Le Mouël et al. (2008, 2010); Kossobokov et al. (2010); Le Mouël et al. (2011); Humlum et al. (2011); Ziskin & Shaviv (2012); Solheim et al. (2012); Courtillot et al. (2013); Solheim (2013); Scafetta & Willson (2014); Harde (2014); Lüning & Vahrenholt (2015, 2016); Soon et al. (2015); Svensmark et al. (2016, 2017); Harde (2017); Scafetta et al. (2019); Le Mouël et al. (2019a, 2020a); Mörner et al. (2020); Lüdecke et al. (2020)).

Meanwhile, other reviews and articles over this period have either been undecided, or else argued for significant but subtle effects of solar variability on climate change. For example: Labitzke & van Loon (1988); van Loon & Labitzke (2000); Labitzke (2005); Beer et al. (2000); Reid (2000); Carslaw et al. (2002); Ruzmaikin & Feynman (2002); Ruzmaikin et al. (2004, 2006); Feynman & Ruzmaikin (2011); Ruzmaikin & Feynman (2015); Salby & Callaghan (2000, 2004, 2006); Kirkby (2007); de Jager et al. (2010); Tinsley&Heelis (1993); Tinsley (2012); Lam & Tinsley (2016); Zhou et al. (2016); Zhang et al. (2020b); Dobrica et al. (2009); Dobrica et al. (2010); Demetrescu & Dobrica (2014); Dobrica et al. (2018); Blanter et al. (2012); van Loon & Shea (1999); van Loon & Meehl (2011); van Loon et al. (2012); Roy & Haigh (2012); Roy (2014, 2018); Roy & Kripalani (2019); Lopes et al. (2017); Pan et al. (2020).

Why were these dissenting scientific opinions in the literature not reflected in the various IPCC statements?

That is a good question.

Knowledge only grows if we ask questions. The scientific enterprise is founded on the asking of questions and the free and open exchange of ideas, theories, and fact-grounded opinions in the pursuit of understanding, knowledge, and truth. Challenging and testing of hypotheses, theories, premises, and conclusions are critical to the scientific enterprise. Scientific advances and successful democracies share this in common: they are more likely to bring positive results when they are operated transparently. Tyranny and "science" directed toward political ends, catering to the desires of supposed experts and elites, thrive in darkness, when debate, free speech, and questioning are suppressed or prohibited.

As part of their research for the RAA paper, the 23 scientists from 14 different countries undertook a comprehensive analysis of the 16 published solar output datasets.

The researchers found the IPCC uses a very small number of solar irradiance datasets with uniformly "low solar variability" to support its conclusion solar activity plays a negligible role in climate change. Using the broader, more comprehensive series of datasets, the researchers conclude "most, if not all, of the long-term temperature changes are due to natural factors."

Solar data from NASA’s ACRIM Sun-monitoring satellites matches temperature data from the most reliable datasets well. These indicate almost all recent warming may be explained by solar activity with very little contribution from human greenhouse gas emissions. The IPCC ignores the NASA ACRIM data and other datasets in favor of those lending credence to the hypothesis of human responsibility for climate change.

The lead author of the RAA paper, Ronan Connolly, Ph.D., of the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES), commented on the IPCC’s treatment of solar irradiance as a factor in climate change:

The IPCC is mandated to find a consensus on the causes of climate change. I understand the political usefulness of having a consensus view in that it makes things easier for politicians. However, science doesn’t work by consensus. In fact, science thrives best when scientists are allowed to disagree with each other and to investigate the various reasons for disagreement. I fear that by effectively only considering the datasets and studies that support their chosen narrative, the IPCC have seriously hampered scientific progress into genuinely understanding the causes of recent and future climate change.

The RAA paper doesn’t claim humans have played no role in the present cycle of climate change. It simply points out there is an alternative theory that has data to back it up, one which should be considered by those who are formulating public policies aimed at controlling the climate.

If this and other research is right about the Sun still playing a substantial but inadequately accounted-for role in climate change, strict policies limiting greenhouse gas emissions from energy use, agriculture, construction, transportation, and other life choices and economic activities may be completely unnecessary, overly prescriptive, or even counterproducti ve. Alternatively, they could be inadequate to the task of preventing further warming. This is something politicians, the public, and scientists should know.

As far as I can ascertain, none of the so-called fact checkers have published any peer-reviewed research on climate change, but even if they were "experts" in some sense on the topic, Facebook and other social media and mainstream media outlets are not advancing the public good or knowledge by limiting access to or suppressing discussion of this paper on their platforms.

In the realm of climate research, as in most areas of life, progress is best served by free and open debate, even at the expense of having some people be outraged or offended by what is said. Philosopher and social reformer John Stuart Mill said it well:

[People should have] absolute freedom of opinion and sentiment on all subjects, practical or speculative, scientific, moral or theological. …

If all mankind minus one were of one opinion, and only one person were of the contrary opinion, mankind would be no more justified in silencing that one person than he, if he had the power, would be justified in silencing mankind. …

The peculiar evil of silencing the expression of an opinion is, that it is robbing the human race; posterity as well as the existing generation; those who dissent from the opinion, still more than those who hold it. If the opinion is right, they are deprived of the opportunity of exchanging error for truth: if wrong, they lose, what is almost as great a benefit, the clearer perception and livelier impression of truth, produced by its collision with error.

The [scientific] beliefs which we have most warrant for, have no safeguard to rest on, but a standing invitation to the whole world to prove them unfounded. … This is the amount of certainty attainable by a fallible being, and this is the sole way of attaining it.

The RAA study merits a wide hearing and public discussion, not suppression by self-appointed censors who arrogantly believe they have a monopoly on the truth about the causes and consequences of climate change. To prevent people from exploring whether solar activity is a possible influence on climate change is dangerous scientifically and politically.

SOURCES: Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics; Jennifer Marohasy; Watts Up With That; Climate Change: the Facts

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 09:31 AM | Comments (3) | Add Comment
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DeSantis Cures Florida

Ron DeSantis
@GovRonDeSantis

We set up 25 monoclonal antibody sites across Florida, and we’ve seen about a 70% reduction in COVID-19 hospitalization s.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 08:35 AM | Comments (3) | Add Comment
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