Timothy Birdnow

More doom and gloom from CNN which is essentially echoing Walter Kronkite "this war is lost".

Speaking to largely anonymous "insider" sources they proudly proclaim Trump will have to send in troops.

He may but there are still plenty of options. He has yet to actually strike anything of importance in Iran except the leadership and that can change at any time. Trump has been very careful to avoid DESTROYING Iran but rather has made a series of surgical strikes to get the leadership. He can change that.

He can destroy Kharg Island and the islands near the strait where Iran is laying in wait like a crocodile for ships to try to pass. He can squeeze Iranian oil more. He can pressure the Saudis to ramp up oil production and thus get the prices down - Iran needs the high prices at this moment since they are selling less. He still has plenty of options.

But not if you listen to CNN.

From the article:

So CNN itself is admitting the Iranians have already tried to strike oil production sites in neighboring countries. If so, why did they stop? They were unable to destroy these sites largely because most of their missiles are getting shot down by us, and because hitting those countries might well widen the war - against THEM. Iran was quickly pissing off all of her neighbors. The Iranians strategy was to punish those working with the U.S. to make them turn against us - and it wasn't working. From our perspective the Arab states in the Gulf and nearby entering the war would be the ideal situation; it would mean we could leave a regional problem to those in the region. We WANT this war to widen. A regional coalition handling the Iran problem would take the issue off our plate. And Iran is hated by everyone in the region (except Iraq, controlled by an Iranian proxy) so the Iranians wouldn't be happy at all to bring Arabia and Qatar and maybe even Turkey or Syria or Pakistan into the war against them.

I would add Iran will eventually run out of missiles and drones. They've been firing off huge numbers of them and that won't last forever. As the aggressors we have been able to choose our times and places and thus shepherd our larger arsenal more carefully. They have had to rely on sheer volume, firing four, five missiles in the hopes one might get through and do some damage. That will exhaust them. And we can strike the munitions plants so they can't build more.

I recently read the Russians are going to supply them with drones. The Russians already need every weapon they can get their hands on because of their war with the Ukraine. So if they give weapons to Iran they can't use them against Kiev. The point is the very fact that the Russians are having to do this proves Iran is running out of weaponry.

Again, Trump has yet to destroy infrastructure.

I think another thing that is in the wings is the Kurdish contingency.

The Iranian People have yet to revolt, partly because the regime murdered 40,000 of them just to make sure they did not but also because they have nothing with which to fight. We can't just airlift weapons to the Iranian People; they will end up in the hands of the IRGC. But if we give them to the Kurds, the Kurds could see to it they get into the hands of the Iranian People and there is already a considerable network in "Kurdistan" capable of handling this.

This, I believe, is what Trump has in mind. Right now he's setting up the network and funneling weapons to the Kurds for distribution when the shooting phase is over. He's now on record telling the Iranian People to wait because it's not safe for them and so it is not. But once the shooting stops and the weapons are in the proper hands and are distributed to the rebels the Mullahs will find it very hard to hold onto power. That is especially true since those who were in power are now dead and the newbies are trying to organize in the middle of a fight.

Revolutions are not a case of one group seizing power from another but of the ruling group seeing their power evaporate and then the other group steps into the vacuum. There is an increasingly hard vacuum in Iranian power these days. Organize a group with weapons and the proper expertise to use them and you can push this whole rotten structure down.

And as for ground troops, Mike here said it best when he pointed out Kharg Island is too far from the actual strait to be worth seizing; we could just interdict it with naval and air power and the Iranians would be powerless to USE the island. Better to seize the islands near the strait itself, which is lousy with IRGC and are being used as firebases to close the strait.

I would add that even with Iran firing rockets and drones from their side of the strait we could easily handle that with air power; just burn the land along the strait with our big bombs, I mean really torch it. Make it a no-go zone. We could give plenty of warning to the populace to leave but the Iranians would find it much harder to mess with oil traffic if they didn't have control of the strait islands and their own coastline there. Oil tankers can just travel along the western shore of the Gulf up to the strait.

So CNN is just hanging crepe, and that to sour the chances of Trump winning this war. Don't believe it.

Posted by: Mike at March 28, 2026 06:40 PM (+xDJP)

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at March 29, 2026 09:10 AM (oflqW)

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