If the title of this column seems to exaggerate the potential impact of last week’s Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, it’s probably because most political pundits have focused on its effect below the Mason-Dixon Line. But the majority-minority congressional districts that will need to be altered pursuant to the Court’s ruling are far more pervasive than most realize. Ballotpedia, using data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2024 American Community Survey, estimates that these racially gerrymandered districts account for 148 seats in the House of Representatives. This is about one third of the House’s 435 districts and 122 of them are held by Democrats — more than half of their 212 seats.

This will be no small undertaking. According to Ballotpedia, the 148 majority-minority districts are spread across no fewer than 28 states. And not all of them have been mandated by the courts pursuant to the VRA, though the "experts” are curiously vague concerning exactly how many have been gerrymandered as the result of lawsuits filed by Democrat-aligned law firms. It’s probable that some majority-minority districts are organic, particularly in the southwest, and it should be remembered that the Supreme Court ruled, in Rucho v. Common Cause, that strictly partisan redistricting is "non-justiciable” by federal courts. Yet it is a little suspicious that over half of the Democrats in the House represent majority-minority districts.

It is even more curious that Democrats represent every single majority-minority district where black voters constitute the majority. Stranger still is the voting pattern of districts dominated by Asians. Is it plausible that not one Republican represents a majority-minority district in which Asians make up the majority? In districts where Hispanics and Latinos make up the majority of voters, there are a few GOP representatives, but most of these districts are represented by Democrats. And then there are the districts in which "coalitions” of Black, Latino, and Asian voters are dumped into single legally protected majorities. If the Democrats are reduced to this kind of skulduggery they’re done. Can you hear the fear from the ACLU?

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:36 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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