Birdnow's Aviary

March 30, 2020

Trump Right on Coronavirus

Timothy Birdnow

Looks like Trump was right about the whole Wuhan virus.

From Haaretz:

"The basic principle is that a virus with an R0 of 2 in a non-immune population can be expected to infect 50 percent of the population. After that the R0 will reach a value of 1 or less, and the disease will be contained. By the way, it will recede in a converging exponential; in other words, the coronavirus can be expected to disappear from this region with the same dizzying speed with which it entered our lives.â€

Herd immunity is the primary way this will be overcome. We can run but we can't hide.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 09:00 AM | Comments (6) | Add Comment
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