Birdnow's Aviary

March 30, 2020

Trump Right on Coronavirus

Timothy Birdnow

Looks like Trump was right about the whole Wuhan virus.

From Haaretz:

"The basic principle is that a virus with an R0 of 2 in a non-immune population can be expected to infect 50 percent of the population. After that the R0 will reach a value of 1 or less, and the disease will be contained. By the way, it will recede in a converging exponential; in other words, the coronavirus can be expected to disappear from this region with the same dizzying speed with which it entered our lives.”

Herd immunity is the primary way this will be overcome. We can run but we can't hide.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 09:00 AM | Comments (6) | Add Comment
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