February 28, 2026
The Winds of War Blow into Persia
Timothy Birdnow
Looks like the Shiite has just hit the fan.
The U.S., along with Israel, launched a series of airstrikes against Iran to finish the work of taking out their nuclear sites and the Iranians - never trusted by their Sunni neighbors - hit five countries with U.S. bases, including Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan and Kuwait.
The Arab countries are not happy, promising retaliation. Saudi Arabia vowed to give the U.S. it's full support, for example.
The U.S. opened the operations with cruise missiles and followed up with drones and other weaponry. No American servicemen were injured in the retaliatory strikes.
There is an historic opportunity to remove the theocracy of Iran once and for all; they have been the source of infection for the terrorism in the Middle East, and Mr. Trump has personal reasons to go after them as well as they have been caught plotting to assassinate him.
So we can degrade the Iranian's ability to project power outside of their border with this and we can further erode any respect the regime has inside Iran. But ultimately it is up to the Iranian People to overthrow the Mullahs and establish either a republic or reinstate the monarchy. Either of these would be preferable to what they have had to endure in their long national nightmare starting back in 1979.
If Iran is taken off the stage a number of things will happen. Funding will dry up for terrorist organizations like Hizbollah and Hamas, but also for ISIS and many others. This will mean the Palestinian Authority will be defunded and likely lose their grip on Palestine. It also means Russia loses a key ally in the region, and with the opening of Iran Asian oil and gas will be able to bypass Russian territory completely - now Iran and Russia control all territory between Asia and Europe save a tiny corridor through the Caucasus. This will make Russia far less important in terms of energy to the Europeans. This will also facilitate shipping in the Persian Gulf.
What will Iran do? They could potentially close the Strait of Hormuz, choking the movement of huge amounts of oil. Of course this will hurt THEM as much as it hurts us, and it is a measure of last resort, but they might just do it. That would spike the price of oil and don't think they haven't thought about how this will impact the American political system. The public will not be happy if gas prices shoot way up, and no dubt they will do it if this drags out into the late summer/early fall. That's why the moment to strike for the U.S. was now, and Trump knew it.
We could witness an historic realignment in the Middle East. The question is what will the Russians and Chinese do? Russia probably can't do much, but China may not sit idly by while events move that can impact them.
IF China wants to seize Taiwan this would be the time to do it. I doubt they will; patience will give them Taiwan in due course without a direct military conflict, but who knows what they are thinking there? Certainly the Chicoms will take some steps to benefit from this.
We are in a dangerous situation, no question, but this was an issue that had been ignored by all previous administrations and you can only kick a can down the road for so long before you run out of road.
Trump chose to strike now while Iran's ruling theocrats were struggling with serious domestic unrest. It was the time to take action. And it will not require boots on the ground. What it WILL require is that we airlift the Iranian rebels the supplies they need.
I had hoped when George W. Bush invaded Iraq he would rather have been pulling a fake and would invade Iran instead. Iran was and remains the real problem in the region. And after we invaded Iraq we allowed the Iranians to filter in Jihadist fighters, weapons, and all the things necessary to prosecute a nasty guerilla war. I was baffled at the time; why did we let them get away with that? Why weren't WE funneling in fighters, weapons, and materials to the Iranian opposition to overthrow the government there?
Because we listened to dimwits like Colon Bowel, er, Colin Powell, who said "you break it you buy it" a pithy line, certainly but not really true. We could have just broken it and left a strong leader in charge. He might be a thug but he'd be OUR thug. Instead we played these silly games about nation-building and democratizing a region with no experience or interest in that. We thought we could prove we were good guys by building hospitals and schools but the populace just thought we were panzies, buying their support with our filthy Western values. That's how Muslims think. We insulted them by much of what we did in Iraq and in Afghanistan.
As I said at the time, you have to first win the war. Then you can win hearts and mibds all you want AFTER the enemy knows he is defeated. Until that point you haven't won anything and won't.
So Trump can bomb Iran and aid the rebels but he has to stay off the ground there. Many Iranians who see us as friends now will turn against us if we try to go in with troops. Nobody wants foreign fighters on their soil.
This is going to be an interesting spring.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
11:57 AM
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Aside from the democrats bankers whose cash flow is drying up, I wonder how many people realize that Trump is the most effective president to wage war on the drug suppliers. He has taken the heads from 3 of the snakes running drugs worldwide.
Russia is sending recruits straight from the recruiting office to the front lines. No supplies, no weapons, and above all no hope. Russia is drowning in the Ukraine quagmire. China just last month purged 2 of its top senior experienced Generals arresting them and and their families. Seems they were getting a little to popular. How many more arrests were made only a few know that as the arrests probably are still continuing. China isnt as stable as we are being led to believe. One of Trumps and Israels biggest obstacles were the oil producing Arab nations who fear what a free Iran will do to oil prices. They will lose considerable power if Iran is allowed to sell its oil on the free market.
The people of Iran are not the hardcore islamists that media wants you to believe they are. The majority are nonsecular, forced to bow down before an idol. One of the first places that the Iranian people attacked and burned were the mosques to the horror of the media who wouldnt report it. And thats hundreds of mosques across Iran. The people in Tehran were out on the streets in the hundreds tonight celebrating the death of their self made supreme leader. Not an IRGC, cop, or military trying to stop them.The IRGC is mainly composed of foreigners,aka mercenaries from islamist countries. We all need to Thank Jimmy Carter and the French for the IRGC after all they funded them because they didnt want to have to deal with the Shah. Actually they bought them from the Russians just to topple the Shah only for the IRGC to backstab them and buddy back up with the Russians.
Posted by: Mike at February 28, 2026 11:24 PM (ny1sC)
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Well said Mike! I agree with your assessment.
I'm going to repost this as a stand-alone article.
I'm going to repost this as a stand-alone article.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at March 01, 2026 12:04 PM (oflqW)
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Tim, obviously you wrote this before it became clear that our attacks killed not only the crazy Ayatollah who'd been mismanaging the country for 47 years, but some 40 of the top leaders of the country. What a party Satan must be having!
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at March 02, 2026 12:13 AM (9IyOR)
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