May 27, 2025
Russia is building up her military forces in a move that is making Finland very nervous.
The Fins have confirmed a major expansion of Russian forces along their border with Finland, and the Fins - a NATO member - are taking appropriate action.
What does this tell us?
It tells us that 1.Russia is probably worried about NATO sending trooops into the region via Finland, an o bvious attack route. If not a direct invasion route it at least is a good covert operation base.
2. It suggest Russia may be getting serious about negotiating a settlement and may trying to put up a show of force to get the Euroweenies to back off during negotiations. It has been Europe that has thrown monkey wrenches into prior peace negotiations.
Does Russia plan to invade Finland? How. They couldn't even take out Ukraine. Finland is a much more modern society and has full NATO membership.
No, this is either an act to secure a vulnerable flank, or it's a negotiating tool, or it's both. But the Russians have to know they do not have the manpower to fight a two front war right now. And they know they can't tackle NATO. Putin may be crazy (as Trump recently stated) or more likely is tactical (just as Trump is happy to be thought crazy by his enemies) but even he can't argue with basic mathematics. The Russians cannot do this; it's mathematically impossinle.
According to Statista:
NATO has 3.3 million.Also, it has been expressed by many NATO members that the organization should send troops into the war. Is it any wonder the Russians are securing their northern flank?
Russia has been begging allies for trooops for some time now to aid them in their fight with Ukraine, and North Korea in particular has sent troops in to fight for Mother Russia. Russia has over half a million troops tied up directly in the war at present.
So how could Russia possibly invade Finland? They cannot spare the resources and manpower.
Not that the Fins aren't correct in worrying about it or in preparing for it. You prepare for war so you don't have to fight. But I see no way the Russians would dare make such a move given their war machine is pretty well exhausted and they STILL haven't crushed Ukraine. THAT is their primary objective, or at least winning the peace.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
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Posted by: Bill H at May 27, 2025 11:28 PM (Q7br2)
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