Timothy Birdnow

Turns out the Democrats had internal polling showing a total bloodbath in the last election, predicting Trump would win no fewer than 400 electoral votes in what would have been a complete, devastating landslide.

This comes from Jon Favreau, former Obama speech writer and host of Pod Save America. Seems the internals showed a bloodbath.

That there was no bloodbath suggests that the Democrats probably cheated their way to mediocrity in this election as they are always cheating.

Internals are usually far more accurate than the polls released to the general public and that by design; if nothing else pollsters need to be paid and they do it by selling the good stuff to those who are willing to pay. Why would they give good numbers away to the general public? In fact there is a big DISINCENTIVE to give out good numbers as the people who commission public polls have an agenda and want to use them to manipulate public opinion, not reflect it. Internals are used by the parties to actually see where they are weak and strong and thus tailor their campaigns.

I was confident of a Trump win based on what I was hearing about the internals. I didn't see them; they are not for public consumption. But I did get wind of them and they appeared to greatly favor Trump.

So the Democrats, armed with this knowledge, could concentrate on denying Trump a complete landslide to justify their opposition to his program. And they could concentrate on stealing Senate and House seats. They may yet wrangle the House away from the Republicans, and thus every rotten and vile thing from the Pelosi era comes back - the investigations, the obstruction, the spending, etc. And the Senate will be more watered down than it would otherwise have been, and the Senate really screwd Trump last time. For instance, Mitch McConnell kept it in session so Trump couldn't make recess appointments. That appears to be what will happen again since we don't have the numbers needed to confirm and so Trump will be forced to do recess appointments. Frankly, if that happens Trump should just not even bother appointing anyone but govern using Czars as did Obama.

At any rate this should have been better than it turned out.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:22 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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