Timothy Birdnow

The blockade is starting to really hurt Iran:

Itanis running out of space to store the oil that is backing up and they don't know what to do with it. If they cut back production they will have a hard time restarting it and the wells will be less productive. So they dare not cut back on production but they have nowhere to go with all the oil. It's a beautiful trap they are in.

President Trump ought to order this supertanker be hit to deny them the opportunity.

The Iranians trotted the Nasha, an old wreck in a mainland port and moved it to Khrarg island for filling. The supertanker holds 2 million barrels at capacity. This is expected to buy them 48 hours. They shouldn't be moving ANYTHING in the Persian Gulf at this time. Trump is making a mistake in respecting the cease-fire, considering the Iranians attacked a couple of ships in the Gulf after the cease-fire took effect.

We should have taken out Kharg island two or three weeks ago.

There is no reason why we shouldn't sink the Nasha en route. In fact I would do it by stealth, sabotaging it from below water. The Iranians would know it but we could play dumb "gee, it was so old it just sunk".

If Iran has to shut down a number of wells it is expected to lead to a drastic reduction in oil output - 300,000 to 500,000 barrels per day - and that would be permanent as oil wells, once shut down, never come back with the same capacity. Water gets into them, and with the pressure relieved on the pool of oil underground it becomes harder to pump out.

So this can completely destroy the Iranian economy and the Iranians are desperately trying to find a way to hold on and are hoping to reach the 90 day mark when the War Powers Act kicks in. Sadly Congress probably will force Trump to end the war at that point and Iran knows it.

IF we can stay the course we will win this. Unfortunately all the Democrats and enough cowardly Republicans will vote to enforce the War Powers Act and strip Trump of the authority to win the war.

We have to get this done now. The clock is ticking.

Hide Comments | Add Comment