September 06, 2022
The Drake Mistake
Timothy Birdnow
On Facebook Dr. Roy Spencer gives us his opinion about the Drake Equations (in honor of the passing of Dr. Frank Drake, father of the famous equation which alleges to use probability theory to "prove" there is alien life in the universe.)
An equation with 7 probabilities multiplied together, and the value of none of the terms is known. Astronomy as a science is... questionable.
Tim responds:
I couldn't agree more Roy! I've always thought the Drake Equations were a bunch of hokum. Nothing is actually defined. It's rather like Keynsian economic theory; a bunch of fudged variables.
May as well be the work of Paul Krugman. It's at his quality level. Or Michael Mann.
On Facebook Dr. Roy Spencer gives us his opinion about the Drake Equations (in honor of the passing of Dr. Frank Drake, father of the famous equation which alleges to use probability theory to "prove" there is alien life in the universe.)
An equation with 7 probabilities multiplied together, and the value of none of the terms is known. Astronomy as a science is... questionable.
Tim responds:
I couldn't agree more Roy! I've always thought the Drake Equations were a bunch of hokum. Nothing is actually defined. It's rather like Keynsian economic theory; a bunch of fudged variables.
May as well be the work of Paul Krugman. It's at his quality level. Or Michael Mann.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
07:39 AM
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An equation with 7 probabilities multiplied together, and the value of none of the terms is known. Astronomy as a science is... questionable.
Posted by: Breitling Replica at June 03, 2023 10:08 PM (SUYyh)
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