November 05, 2025

The Brink

Timothy Birdnow

As America ponders sending Tomahawk missiles to the Ukraine the Russians are threatening to retaliate by sending nuclear-capable missiles to Venezuela.

It Has Been 63 Years Since the Cuban Missile Crisis, and Now a New Missile Crisis Threatens to Plunge the Globe Into a State of Turmoil

FTA:

The Russians are considering sending Kalibr cruise missiles that are capable of carrying nuclear warheads to Venezuela, and the U.S. is considering sending Tomahawk cruise missiles that are capable of carrying nuclear warheads to Ukraine. Meanwhile, the Middle East is on the verge of being destabilized as well.

[...]

On Tuesday, news that Russia may send "its most advanced hypersonic missiles to Venezuela” caught a lot of people by surprise…

Russia could send its most advanced hypersonic missiles to Venezuela as tensions with the United States escalate.

Alexei Zhuravlyov, deputy chairman of Russia’s parliamentary defense committee, told Russian news outlet Gazeta.Ru there were "no obstacles” to providing the Oreshnik or Kalibr missiles to the "friendly” nation.

"Russia is actually one of Venezuela’s key military-technical partners. We supply the country with nearly the entire range of weapons, from small arms to aviation. The details and volumes of deliveries are classified, so the Americans might be in for a surprise. I see no obstacles to providing our friendly nation with new systems such as the Oreshnik or the well-proven Kalibr missiles. No international commitments restrict Russia in this regard,” Zhuravlyov said.

The Russians must not do this.

Why wouldn't they? We're directly threatening them with Tomahawks, which are nuclear-capable. You can't really blame Russia for matching us.

Yes, you can blame Russia for starting the war in the first place by invading the Ukraine, but we weren't involved but have now gone all in with this. These are offensive weapons, not defensive, and of course the Russians will aid an ally being threatened by the U.S.

Not that there's anything wrong with that (in my best Seinfeld voice); something should have been done long ago about Venezuela. We had a golden opportunity when Biden was in office too but he took no action. That action should have been a Contra-like insurgency funded and trained by the American military and led by expatriats. But we didn't do that.

Now Trump is looking at direct military action and Russia feels it's time to shank the American prison guard. Putin is playing the game well, knowing Trump will have to back down over giving the Tomahawks to Ukraine to avoid a Mexican standoff (even if it involves Venezuela and not Mexico).

Meanwhile Hezbollah is rebuilding and ready to strike. Israel won't allow that. FTA:

Hezbollah has been rebuilding its forces, and Israel has been responding with targeted airstrikes.

But that hasn’t been enough to deter Hezbollah, and Fox News is reporting that the IDF is now "weighing broader operations”…

As Hezbollah rebuilds its forces and Lebanon is accused of failing to enforce the ceasefire terms brokered last year, Israel’s defense minister has fired off a warning to Beirut.

On Sunday, Defense Minister Israel Katz said, "Hezbollah is playing with fire, and the president of Lebanon is dragging his feet,” he said. "The Lebanese government’s commitment to dismantle Hezbollah’s weapons and remove it from southern Lebanon must be realized. Enforcement will continue and deepen — we will not allow a threat to the residents of the north.”

His warning comes as Fox News Digital has learned that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is weighing broader operations against the Iran-backed terrorist group after repeated violations of the truce.

If Hezbollah would just abide by the terms of the ceasefire, conflict could be avoided.

But that was never going to happen, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is warning that his nation is ready to do whatever is necessary…

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday said Hezbollah was looking to rearm and that Israel would do whatever is necessary to prevent that from happening.

"Hezbollah is constantly taking hits, but it’s also trying to rearm and recuperate,” said Netanyahu at the start of the weekly cabinet meeting,

"We expect the Lebanese government to uphold its commitments, namely, to disarm Hezbollah. But it’s clear that we’ll exercise our right to self-defense as stipulated in the ceasefire terms,” he said.

I think that it is just a matter of time before Israel and Hezbollah start going at it again.

So good news from all over. And we still have to worry about China and it's nibbling away at TAiwan.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 08:23 AM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 750 words, total size 5 kb.

1  Saber rattling from Russia has less bite to it then it did pre Ukraine war. Last week the govt of Denmark a bit miffed after the Russians flew drones into their air apace announced that they are putting Russias shadow fleet of tankers moving sanctioned oil on notice. Denmark will use environmental laws to seize the freighters that are in its waters. Curious as to why it wasnt done sooner. Is that smell coming from Russia weakness?   

Posted by: Mike at November 05, 2025 10:45 PM (3e45C)

2 Great points Mike. I would think the Danes are now doing this not so much because of Russian weakness (though that certainly likely enters the equation) but because Trump is being sucked into the action there. You're question is most inciteful; why now and not earlier?

Of course the Europeans have been buying Russian oil and gas all along; they aren't about to put their money where their mouths are.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at November 06, 2025 08:37 AM (sADMr)

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