April 30, 2019

Aporkalypse Now

Timothy Birdnow

According to this article 150 to 200 million pigs have died from African Swine Fever, decimating the pork industry in China, in particular, but also in South Africa, Vietnam, And Romania, among other places.

According to the article:

So eventually I ended up over at PorkBusiness.com, and according to them African Swine Fever "is now affecting an estimated 150-200 million pigs” in China…

Production losses from African swine fever (ASF) have eclipsed initial estimates, Rabobank said on Thursday. In 2019, Rabobank expects Chinese pork production losses of 25% to 35%, creating new challenges and opportunities for animal protein exporters.

"African Swine Fever has spread to every province in mainland China and is now affecting an estimated 150-200 million pigs,” said Christine McCracken, RaboResearch animal protein analyst. "The expected 30% loss in pork production is unprecedented. These losses cannot easily be replaced by other proteins like chicken, duck and seafood, nor will larger pork imports be able to fully offset the loss.”

When I use the term "plague”, I am not using it lightly. I have never heard of a single disease wiping out this many farm animals before.

Have you?

We are potentially talking about an absolutely crippling blow to the global food supply.

[...]

So eventually I ended up over at PorkBusiness.com, and according to them African Swine Fever "is now affecting an estimated 150-200 million pigs” in China…

Production losses from African swine fever (ASF) have eclipsed initial estimates, Rabobank said on Thursday. In 2019, Rabobank expects Chinese pork production losses of 25% to 35%, creating new challenges and opportunities for animal protein exporters.

"African Swine Fever has spread to every province in mainland China and is now affecting an estimated 150-200 million pigs,” said Christine McCracken, RaboResearch animal protein analyst. "The expected 30% loss in pork production is unprecedented. These losses cannot easily be replaced by other proteins like chicken, duck and seafood, nor will larger pork imports be able to fully offset the loss.”

When I use the term "plague”, I am not using it lightly. I have never heard of a single disease wiping out this many farm animals before.

Have you?

We are potentially talking about an absolutely crippling blow to the global food supply.

This gets me to thinking about xenotransplantation, the practice of using animal organs for human transplant material. We've done it with pig heart valves, and are working toward transplanting whole pig hearts as well as kidneys. What happens to someone with swine organs in the case of exposure to this disease? It's not a human disease, but it is in a perfect environment to mutate into one. It is utterly lethal, it appears. What happens if this should break out into the general public? This could be a pandemic of Biblical proportions.

At the very least, loss of bacon and ham will simply RUIN breakfast and could well lead to violent and bloody revolution. At a bare minimum I would recommend selling off your Crackerbarrel or Bob Evans stocks before the crash...

Seriously, though, this is hitting China very hard, at a time when the Chinese economy is not doing so well and the Chinese government may find a need to rally the population, which is heavily dependent on swine for meat. Dictatorships like China usually pacify their populations by some sort of foreign adventurism. It is a cause for concern.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 07:50 AM | Comments (3) | Add Comment
Post contains 565 words, total size 4 kb.

1 I feel like its like the same with Covid-19 and I really hope they will find a cure. There are some things happening that can't be explained by science just like extraterrestrial objects.

Posted by: margaret just at May 23, 2020 05:09 AM (Vb0bq)

2 Agreed Margaret!  There are some things we will never know about - or find an explanation. 

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at May 23, 2020 07:00 AM (At6xD)

3 Exactly what I needed! You just saved me several hours. Thanks!

Posted by: liteblue usps gov at August 26, 2021 03:51 AM (s74Tc)

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