June 22, 2022

Russia has Won?

Dennis O'Brien

Just my take:

Although considerably outnumbered on the extensive Ukraine fronts, the Russians are grinding the Ukrainians down with their logistical advantages, superior artillery and armour, and virtual full control of the skies. Their rocket and guided missile systems are also inflicting heavy losses on military positions throughout Ukraine. All this without the Russians mobilizing their reserves.

NATO under U.S. control effectively started this war by continually goading the Russians. They have known for decades that the Russians consider the eastward expansion of NATO to be an existential threat to the Russian Federation yet have been grooming Ukraine to be the next NATO member.

They have been doing this with the full knowledge that the Russians have said this is not acceptable under any circumstances. Add to this the failure by Ukraine to implement the Minsk 2 agreements, their continual bombardment of the Donbas since 2014, (14,000 killed), neo-Nazi control in high levels of the Ukraine administration, and the fact that 100,000 plus Ukraine troops were massing at the Donbas and Crimea borders, and the war was inevitable.

It is clear that the U.S. administration, facing a disastrous domestic economy, being led by a decrepit old fool and his corrupt helpers, and with the mid-term elections due later this year, needed a major distraction, and also wished to conduct a proxy war against Russia using the Ukrainians as cannon-fodder. Such a war, NATO (U.S.) seems to have reasoned, would bleed Russia to the point where the usual hope of the U.S. — Russian regime change, would occur.

This won’t happen. Putin has the vast majority of his people onside and the war is probably only strengthening his position. Russians are used to sanctions and tend to see them as a challenge to be overcome. Meanwhile it has become clear that the West has shot itself in the foot as the sanctions are back-firing.

Russia is now in control of the war and no one outside of the Russian Ministry of Defence knows what the final objectives of Russia in Ukraine are. They may stop once the Donbas is secured; they may proceed further to take Odessa and Transnistria as the Ukrainian resistance crumbles, or they may even take over all of Ukraine by various military and political means. It would be ironic if the Russians take the war down a gradual grinding route that over time, due to energy and goods inflation plus serious supply-chain problems, rebounds on, and weakens the U.S. and Europe.

— D.N. O’Brien

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 09:38 AM | Comments (4) | Add Comment
Post contains 422 words, total size 3 kb.

1  Read that Russias oil revenues are back to what they had been prior to the sanctions. Although it has to be said that applying sanctions on a highly sought after resource and causing the prices to double on that resource plays a major roll in it. It is also a good example of how to shoot oneself in ones foot.

Posted by: Mike at June 22, 2022 12:28 PM (BuGAS)

2 I've read that too Mike. Also, the Russian Ruble has gained in value.

Putin and company seem to be doing just fine.

Looks like WE are the ones suffering from all of this. If we had handled this properly - or stayed out of it - we'd be doing just fine too.

Well, as good as can be expected with the current regime in power.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at June 23, 2022 08:41 AM (C+2Ko)

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Posted by: Kanpur Matka at September 22, 2022 04:31 AM (zm4ix)

4 positions throughout Ukraine. All this without the Russians mobilizing their reserves.

Posted by: mywatchesuk at August 06, 2023 05:53 AM (gcW8s)

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