Timothy Birdnow

While Hillary has stabilized in recent national polls (primarily those run by news organizations) state polls are bad news for the H bomb.

Nate Silver has the dope:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-national-polls-show-clintons-lead-stabilizing-state-polls-not-so-much/

"But those state polls? Not a lot of good news for Clinton. There’s more data showing a tied race in New Hampshire. And Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania is down to about 3 percentage points in our forecast. Polls in Michigan have also been tightening, with an unusually large number of undecided voters. Polling in New Mexico has been tight enough that we’re now considering it a "state to watch,” although that may reflect an abundance of caution. Clinton’s numbers have held up better in Wisconsin and Virginia, while the data has been very mixed in Colorado."

End excerpt.

And Trump is behind Hillary within the margin for error.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-just-a-normal-polling-error-behind-clinton/

This is a jump ball, folks! A heavy rain could determine who is our next President.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 09:39 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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