Plateauing Warming from Carbon Dioxide Increase
Richard Cronin
Query to Grok AI —>
"If the concentration of co2 increases from 430 ppm to 860 ppm how much additional downwelling infrared will increase above the 356 W/sq meter baseline ?”
Answer: 1.5 to 3.5 W/sq meter.
Query to Grok AI —>
"How much heat is removed from the surface by evaporation (W/ sq meter), upward convection and condensation/freezing in the upper troposphere ?”
Answer:
Globally averaged, evaporation takes about 86 watts per square meter off the surface. Sensible heat from convection adds roughly 17 to 20. So together, surface-to-atmosphere turbulent transfer is about 105 watts per square meter.
That 86 from evaporation doesn’t disappear. It gets released as latent heat when the vapor condenses, mostly in the mid and upper troposphere, peaking around 8 to 12 kilometers in the tropics. Freezing adds a smaller extra pulse higher up. Net effect: the surface loses about 105 , the upper air gains roughly the same, and the energy has to find its way back down or out to space from up there.
Conclusion: We are right about at the point of saturation or plateauing from the effects of increasing CO2 concentration and downwelling Infrared.
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