June 03, 2021

Noctilucent Clouds, Krakatoa, and Nauscopia

Timothy Birdnow

I was reading something by Dr. Roy Spencer about noctilucent clouds, which form on the horizon. Dr. Spencer had this to say:

Noctilucent cloud season is just starting in the Northern Hemisphere. Last year they were seen as far south as Los Angeles. Sightings should increase over the coming years as increasing CO2 causes cooling of the upper reaches of the atmosphere. Best viewing is 1.5 to 2 hours after sunset or before sunrise, in the direction of where the brightest sky is. The cause is water vapor condensing on meteor dust.

I took this time lapse video of some on June 17 2019 during a brief visit in Sault Ste. Marie, MI. The only ones I've seen, since we live too far south in Alabama. https://vimeo.com/343825195

May be an image of nature, sky and twilight

Turns out these clouds were also present as a result of the volcanic eruption of krakatoa:

According to Lance Pidgeon:

Will they ever get back to being such a regular thing that meteorological types will again use them as a prediction tool as per these examples from 1870, 1,2 and 3 etc?
"The first notice of a coming cyclonic disturbance is often given long before the barometer shows the least sign of falling (frequently while it is still rising from a previous fall), and this is in the appearance (often in a cloudless sky) of faint light gauzy streamers of very high haze, the elevation of which I have little doubt, far exceeds the ordinary clouds, even the cirri, and would appear intermediate between the cirri and the region of the auroral proper, to which I think they are more nearly related. "
"My attention was first drawn
to this on August 18th, 1870, when after a very hot
day (88 deg in shade) an exceedingly violent thunder-
storm traversed the western and midland counties of
England. The sky was very clear here, but from the
distant storm, lines of faintly luminous haze of
extreme tenuity appeared to radiate, and retained
their position for a very considerable time."
https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/70472483

Another quote from that 1870 -1874 report.
"They are usually of a
very palo-bluish luminosity, not unlike the Milky Way.
although scarely so bright, resembling more the palo
homogenous glow of the diffused auroral light"
https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/70472483

Dr. Spencer replied:

I suppose back when there were no other sources of meteorological data there might have been some value, since NLCs form from upward propagating gravity waves, some of which are from weather systems. But today we already know where all the significant weather systems are.

And Lance again:

Well at least from those dates we know the relationship to Krakatoa.
https://www.jstor.org/stable/26214958

So this got me to thinking and I remembered something.

In the late 18th century there was a man who became moderately famous named Etienne Bottineau because he could accurately predict when a ship or ships was coming into harbor. He won a lot of money making bets on it. His secret was something he dubbed Nauscopia - a "science" he claimed to have invented  that allowed him to find land when at sea and ships far out from land.

How did it work? Nobody knows for sure, but Bottineau explained that he had spent years studying the sky over the water and came to believe the oceans put out gases as a result of rotting vegetation and the like. Supposedly by studying the horizon he could detect minute changes in the gases. Reading about the noctilucent clouds makes me think of that; could these have been what Bottineau was studying to determine if a ship was coming? I think it may well have been.

At any rate, this is from the Smithsonian Magazine (showing it's not just an old wives tale):

Bottineau’s own story, told in biographical fragment and a memoir that he composed in about 1785, is as relatively straightforward as his description of nauscopie itself is stunningly opaque. Born in Anjou, probably some time in the early 1740s, he grew up in Nantes, where "being delighted with the appearance of the port and shipping, he came to the resolution of entering into the sea service.” Employment with the French East India Company and the French Navy followed, and "as early as the year 1762,” he wrote,

it appeared to me that a vessel approaching land must produce a certain effect upon the atmosphere, and cause the approach to be discovered by a practised eye even before the vessel itself was visible. After making many observations, I thought I could discover a particular appearance before the vessel came in sight: sometimes I was right, but more frequently wrong; so that at the time I gave up all hope of success.

In 1764, I was appointed to a situation in the Île de France: while there, having much leisure time, I again betook myself of my favorite observations….

The clear sky and pure atmosphere, at certain periods of the day, were favorable to my studies, and as fewer vessels came to the island, I was less liable to error than was the case off the coast of France, where vessels are continually passing…. I had not been six months upon the island when I became confident that my discovery was certain.”

I find this a rather fascinating story, and a rather sad one as his "science" was wholly lost to Mankind upon his death.

I don't know what he was waiting for, but he waited too long.

At any rate, I hope everyone enjoyed this little voyage into weather phenomenon and sea faring.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 09:29 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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