January 26, 2020
HL Menken saw climate "science" coming when he said:
"Explanations exist; they have existed for all time; there is always a well-known solution to every human problem—neat, plausible, and wrong."The Unbearable Complexity of Science
In other words, what they think should be so darn simple (seems that way to Adam Schiff to, but I don't want to confuse the issue here) really isn't. As Willis explains, just when you think you have it sorted out, another fact comes along and gobsmacks you by totally screwing up everything you thought you knew about the subject (water flowing down that plank), whatever the subject is. Carbon dioxide -- oh, really?
But it sure makes things fun, doesn't it, Tim. And by the way, thanks much for bringing Willis into the bunch! He's a keeper, for sure!
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at January 26, 2020 10:39 PM (0gBw9)
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at January 27, 2020 03:34 PM (ejGHA)
It boils down to: if it seems simple, it isn't. Unless perhaps a really brilliant person is explaining it to you; there are those who can take a really complex problem and break it down so a "layman" can understand it. Years ago I was reading a book a friend gave me on particle physics, which he was studying at the time -- majored in that kind of thing and parlayed it into a lucrative business. Thing was, without having anything like a background in it, I could understand it.
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at January 27, 2020 10:16 PM (ten4B)
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at January 28, 2020 07:31 AM (EkXGF)
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at January 29, 2020 11:50 AM (nYRaQ)
The Warmiacs would never, I suspect, read an article like this one, at least not all the way through. They would stop as soon as it violated their agenda, or at the point where they ceased being able to understand it, whichever occurred first. I must admit I'm confused by the idea that if you try to shorten a river by cutting a channel through the neck of an oxbow, the river will eventually restore that length elsewhere. But I will accept that because I believe Willis knows what he's talking about (and because I don't have an agenda), and because I could surely find it explained elsewhere. Overall, it made perfect sense, as it explained the way nature keeps things in balance.
Thank you, Willis, for this very valuable explanation.
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at January 29, 2020 12:41 PM (nYRaQ)
We haven't been able to work out a truly accurate weather prediction system for a few days out because of the complexity of the system. But we're supposed to believe this because "the physics is basic"? If so, why is the weather system so complex?
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at January 30, 2020 07:43 AM (HzfKD)
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