March 30, 2017
"Fewer than 1 percent of papers published in scientific journals follow the scientific method, according to research by Wharton School professor and forecasting expert J. Scott Armstrong.
Professor Armstrong, who co-founded the peer-reviewed Journal of Forecasting in 1982 and the International Journal of Forecasting in 1985, made the claim in a presentation about what he considers to be "alarmismâ€ from forecasters over man-made climate change.
"We also go through journals and rate how well they conform to the scientific method. I used to think that maybe 10 percent of papers in my field â€¦ were maybe useful. Now it looks like maybe, one tenth of one percent follow the scientific methodâ€ said Armstrong in his presentation, which can be watched in full below. "People just donâ€™t do it.â€"
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