February 28, 2026

Manipulapoll

Timothy Birdnow

I have just one word for this - bullshit.


This Emerson poll says that, despite a series of wins by the President, a lower-than expected inflation and jobs report, and a triumphant State of the Union address as well as a quieting in the Minnesota protests Trump's disapproval rating (note they talk about his "disapproval rating" not his approval rating) has climbed.

According to the article:

President Donald Trump's disapproval rating increased by 4% in the latest survey conducted by Emerson College Polling.

Trump is reported to have a 55% disapproval rating in the February poll published on Thursday (February 26), having previously had a 51% disapproval rating in January. The president was, however, reported to have the same 43% approval rating in January and February, according to the poll.

How? What has happened since January?

They have trotted this thing out because Trump is gaining ground in other polls and they had to find a way to stop that bandwagon, nothing more.

Then there is this:

"Hispanics disapprove of the job the president is doing, 58% to 37%, a significant shift after reporting a near-split rating last month (43% approve to 45% disapprove) following the administration’s military action in Venezuela,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. "These numbers reflect the broader downward trend previously observed among Hispanic voters.

Again this poll makes assertions but no effort is made to explain WHY this sudden drop in approval among Hispanics. In point of fact there are no reasons whatsoever for this to be happening.

And it is at odds with a recent Trafalgar poll I cited here which shows Trump at 50.k8% while his disapproval rating is just 46.7%. His "strongly approve rating is at 47.1%, according to Trafalgar.

So one of these polls is way off. Now which one do you think it might be?

The purpose of this is., as I just stated, to try to steal the wind from the Trump sail. It is designed to get the GOP to turn skittish (and that usually works for them) and to encourage the Democrats, who are pretty demoralized. But what it does NOT do is reflect the thinking of the people.

And Trafalgar has been far more accurate in reflecting the will of the People than has Emerson over the last few years.

I do not believe this poll nor any of the others which show Trump seriously under water. But even if he is in the end the public will have to face accepting Trump or choose the Democrows, who have shown themselves to be insane and completely radicalized, and in the end I suspect the public will choose MAGA over that.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:01 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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