El
Niños provide shearing winds over the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea,
suppressing hurricanes. The La Niña does the opposite, so you can plan
on a greater number of Atlantic hurricanes, as was the case last
summer. Queue the alarmists to freak out.
"A stronger
high-pressure area is found over the northeastern United States as we
have seen in the La Nina signal†( Note - The high pressure center will
serve to block any hurricane landfalls in this region).
"Most of
the western half of the United States is under some level of drought
conditions. The driest conditions prevail in the southern and
northwestern United States.†( Note - The alarmists will freak out —
again).
In summary, we will have weather.
Steven Yaskell adds:
One of
the dopiest troubles in the sun-earth relation is a weird correlation
between low solar activity (less sunspots) and "stalls" in the
west-to-east Earth Coriolis wind and weather current flow across the
planet. When the Pacific Trades don't move too well you get things
apparently inexplicable like La Ninas that stubbornly hold on. This
sets up (but is either not, or is just a partial cause of) a one-two
punch from south to north/north to south weather patterns dropping
into/creeping up into/
mid latitudinal zones, alternately, "weather patterns being held in
place" over such zones, since the PTWZ has a "stall." This means it
rains and drowns one zone whilst burning the zone right next to it up.
It was recorded as being very much the case in the Maunder Minimum in
the late 1600s for example. Gravity wave feedbacks were talked about
once as a mechanism explaining away meteorological responses to solar
activity. The premise was that energy generated in the troposphere by
meteorogical phenomena propages upward due to gravitational waves.
(Hines:1974, and Hines and Halevvy:1975,1977). Under assumed situations
the upper atmosphere will reflect those waves back downward, to
interfere with the original source phenomenon – for the beneficial or
the destructive - whichever be the case. If beneficial ("constructiveâ€
)
meteorological phenomena would be amplified, somehow. That is, the
upper atmosphere can be considered to have modulated the tropospheric
event. All this since it has been known for a very long time that the
sun controls the "upper atmosphere" (6,000 miles up especially but all
the way down to the lower stratosphere via the ionosphere). So if the
response there is such that the gravitational wave reflection
properties in the upper atmosphere are altered, there’s some indirect
influence of solar activity on the tropospheric event.Hines (1973)
suggested that the energy’s origin is perhaps inside the tropospheric
phenomena – this, in order to explain observed correlations between
geomagnetic activity and the consequent weather. The energy in this
case pushes upward into the ionospheric sac producing changes leading
to magnetic flux. This proved untenable.
Then they tried
aligning this with Earth's magnetic sector boundary passage (which
happens every four days, with polarity reversals). Hines and Halevvy
(1975:1977) proposed that the solar influence would be a modulation of
the "meteorological
noise"
that would occur in any event. Rises and declines in the vorticity area
index (VAI) – literally, the rises and falls of large turbulent
earth-weather storms – may be shifted in time due to phase modulations
caused by solar influences. (Since this time, has ANY physical
explanation been attempted to show how this phase modulation comes
about? I wonder.)
A theoretical argument was ventured from this
time, in the absence of any further progress (I wonder and hazard).
This would be King et al (1977) and Volland (1977a & b) suggesting
that increased oscillations of planetary standing waves would
strengthen the upward propagating waves – and the process would then be
visible in the vorticity area index (VAI).
Also, there's Earth
atmospheric pressure or, what’s in a solar constant? – Rossby Waves
& other fun stuff. King (1977) showed that longitudinal and
latitudinal standing planetary waves (that oscillate but do not
propagate) exist in atmospheric pressure at earth’s surface and up to
the 500 millibar (mb) level. Such oscillations and wave amplitudes are
in harmony with the 11 year (Schwabe [sunspot] Cycle) and the 27-day
monthly solar rotation. Don't ask me for much more detail on this: I
have none.
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Posted by: Kanpur Matka at September 23, 2022 03:34 AM (8kBxB)