August 06, 2026
Is the U.S. Running Out of Weapons?
Timothy Birdnow
Donald Trump has denied the U.S. is suffering from a shortage of ballistic missiles and at the same time threatened leakers with "long jail times".
From CNN:
The US military has exhausted nearly 80% of its interceptors for a key missile defense system as senior US military commanders are warning that the Pentagon's munitions stockpile is "dangerously low," according to multiple sources familiar with the matter. https://t.co/Nh4zoWehke pic.twitter.com/p6NQ1IBJY0
— CNN (@CNN) August 4, 2026
I suspect this isn't the case but that Trump is doing what Sun Tzu admonished; hiding his real strength to draw Iran out in the open. Naturally he would deny it and at the same time threaten "leakers"; it makes it appear true. There is a great tactical advantage in making Iran think they are in the driver's seat right now.
But frankly if the U.S. is running out of ammunition how much more so is Iran?
I have no knowledge of our tactical position here but it's my gut feeling. Even though we suffered four years of Biden and before Trump I eight years of Obama, and both those chowderheads depleted our defensive stockpile, we still had Trump I and now Trump II and I do not believe we could not maintain a six month war with Iran.
I may be wrong but I think Trump has been playing for time all along until he gets his ducks in a row.
Here is one analysis arguing this is not true at all. Here is the reasoning:
Advanced stand-off weapons are typically used most heavily during the opening stages of a war.
They allow aircraft to strike high-value or time-sensitive targets from long distances, including command and control nodes, radar installations, missile sites and airfields, before air superiority has been established.
They are also often used to crater runways, destroy air defence systems and disrupt an opponent’s ability to operate aircraft effectively.
Once air superiority is achieved and time-sensitive targets become less common, the need for expensive stand-off weapons declines.
At that stage, air forces can shift increasingly toward lower-cost precision-guided bombs such as JDAMs. These kits convert conventional unguided bombs into GPS-guided precision munitions.
This author rightly points out that Iranian attacks have largely dried up in frequency because Iran is the one running out of stuff, and so we do not need to keep firing all of our best weapons. It's rather like a course of steroids; you start out high but drop as you go.
By allowing the media to report we are running out of weaponry we draw Iran into launching more attacks, exposing their launch sites and burning through more missiles and drones.
That at least is what I believe is happening. Again, I may be wrong.
This isn't Russia - a Third World country with First World weapons - and Ukraine - a Third World country with Second World weapons. It's a Third World country with Second World weapons at war with a true First World superpower. This is like the Kansas City Chiefs playing the Mizzou Tigers in football.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
11:58 AM
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