Iran Will Fall
Timothy Birdnow
The blockade of Iran is killing them, and even their top guys
are admitting this will bring the regime down.
FTA:
Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned that military strength alone could not ensure the Islamic Republic’s survival if people faced hunger and the economy failed to grow.
"No matter how much military power we have, if people are hungry and we don't have financial circulation, economic growth and domestic production, we will not endure,” Ghalibaf said during a meeting with Iranian and Iraqi business figures at Iran’s embassy in Baghdad on Thursday.
Iran needs to get Trump's big orange foot off their necks and they know it. If Trump doubles down they are dead meat.
We have stopped the sale of almost all Iranian oil, and they are at the point of shutting down wells. We have reduced the sale of Iranian gas, which the Turks used to buy but now have other sources. And the Treasury Department has waged economic war, finding and closing all of Iran's clandestine economic backchannels.
More than likely Iran will launch an all-out attack come October to embarrass Mr. Trump but if he's smart he will launch an attack in late September to pre-empt any attack by them. Their only hope at this point appears to be handing Congress to the Democrats.
Already on March 6, the tenth day of the war, he (Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent) got the UAE to shut down the Iranian offshore banking system in Dubai, freezing $350 billion in assets controlled by regime insiders and the IRGC.
Last week, someone drained the cryptocurrency wallets the regime had been using to collect billions of dollars in tolls from ships transiting the Iranian route through the Strait of Hormuz.
On Thursday, Bessent identified an Iranian money-laundering network in Turkey that was bringing hundreds of millions of dollars in cash on international flights to Hezb’allah in Lebanon. He named the couriers and their controllers. I don't think they will be flying internationally any time soon.
And the Administration has been squeezing the Chinese to keep them from tossing Iran a lifeline. At the same time he's extended an olive branch to North Korea to try to get them out of it. (Trump talked about the good relationship he has with little Kim and suggested a summit). A modern industrial economy cannot survive with nothing coming in from overseas - or going out.
I would add this keeps Iran from supplying drones and other equipment to Russia, thus pressuring Putin to reach a settlement.
People are going to start to starve in Iran soon, which is a great tragedy, but it is their own government that is causing it, not us. We have offered them a way out all along. Stop trying to make nukes and open the strait, that's all we asked. Quit trying to kill people in other countries. It's really not much to ask of them.
Their recalcitrance shows they are monsters and must be removed from power.
I am hoping Trump is quietly building a revolutionary network in Iran. That is what is needed now. The Contra solution.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
12:24 PM
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