December 31, 2018

If Trump is Blamed for Shutdown, why hasn't it hurt his Approval Rating?

Timothy Birdnow

As of Friday Donald Trump's approval rating is still at 47%, according to the Rasmussen Presidential tracking poll.

This is interesting, since Trump is taking the blame for the government shutdown, so feared by Republicans. If the public was upset about the government shutting down where is the evidence in the tracking poll?

This is also interesting because this is the same percentage of Americans who blame Donald Trump for the government shutdown. According to a Reuters/Ipso poll taken Thursday:

Forty-seven percent of adults hold Trump responsible, while 33 percent blame Democrats in Congress, according to the Dec. 21-25 poll, conducted mostly after the shutdown began. Seven percent of Americans blamed congressional Republicans.

The shutdown was triggered by Trump’s demand, largely opposed by Democrats and some lawmakers from his own Republican Party, that taxpayers provide him with $5 billion to help pay for a wall that he wants to build along the U.S.-Mexico border. Its total estimated cost is $23 billion.

Just 35 percent of those surveyed in the opinion poll said they backed including money for the wall in a congressional spending bill. Only 25 percent said they supported Trump shutting down the government over the matter.

End excerpt.

Of course Reuters is a mainstream media news agency, and has no love for Trump, so this number may be high. I rather suspect more Democrats than Republicans were surveyed in this poll. And it did:

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online in English across the United States. It gathered responses from 2,440 adults, including 946 Democrats and 846 Republicans

End excerpt.

So a hundred more Democrats were polled than Republicans, and this says nothing about registered or likely voters. And that means 1794 respondents admitted to partisanship. How much do you want to bet the non-partisan respondents are liberals? I always take these polls with a grain of salt; they are so often intended to panic Republicans.

So, how is it the President is being blamed while he holds a high approval rating? His numbers should have dropped like a rock in the last week.

At any rate, I Find it odd that Trump's approval is a non-issue but public disapproval of the shutdown is a HUGE deal.

Keep in mind the admonition of Saul Alinsky:

"If you push a negative long and hard enough it can break through and become a positive". Trump needs to stand firm.

Notice, too, that the Reuters/Ipso poll didn't ask anybody what they actually thought of the shutdown. They merely asked who was at fault. Well, of course Trump is at fault; he's the guy who refused to sign the bill, after all. But he did the right thing.

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