September 22, 2026
Hope Springs Eternal
Timothy Birdnow
All is not lost in the election despite what the polls are trying to claim.
The numbers say there may be hope yet in stemming the tide of a Democratic takeover of Congress.
The New York Post reported Sunday that when looking at polling numbers, Democrats were preferred over Republicans for respondents when asked who they wanted to control Congress, at 50 percent to 45 percent. That poll, conducted by NBC News, can be found here.
To put that in perspective, though, the outlet reported that in 2018, when a supposed "blue wave” was anticipated, Democrats held a 12-point lead. In that election, they took the House of Representatives, but not the Senate. Republicans took seats in Florida, Missouri, South Dakota, and Indiana, while Democrats took seats in Nevada and Arizona.
In addition to NBC, aggregate polling from RealClearPolitics puts Democrats ahead for 2026 by 8.1 points.
I don't know why anyone puts any stock in polling anymore; they have been spectacularly wrong over the years. Remember that chick in Iowa who said Harris was going to win in a landslide?
What is happening now is the people being polled are meely showing their unhappiness with high gas and food prices. It is unfortunate that Trump had to attack Iran at this point - and that he was unable to subdue them before the election. Right now they are holding on, desperately hoping for a Democrat win so we will stop the blockade and the bombings. If the GOP holds Congress all will be lost for them and they will probably make a deal. But the public doesn't understand that and doesn't much care; they want cheap groceries and gas.
But that's not to say they will VOTE Democrat; it simply says the people talking to pollsters are unhappy about this. They might say they support the Democrats now but that is a far cry for actually voting for them when push comes to shove.
And then there is the Wilder Effect; people often tell pollsters what they think they want to hear.
IF the American People are so short sighted and stupid as to allow the Democrats back in power now they deserve what they will get - and it will be terrible.. My hope is America isn't that gullible. But nobody ever lost money betting on the stupidity of the American People.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
09:44 AM
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