Timothy Birdnow

Foreign Affairs is the magazine of the Council on Foreign Relations, which is the ultimate internationalist/New World Order organization, the very people who promoted the Ukrainian war as a way to stop Russia from building their own power block and cutting out the NWO and European Union. Now they are admitting the truth.

This really isn't accurate; the war is actually lost, they are not just "losing" it. Only direct outside military intervention can change this fact.

This article is long but worth reading.

Essentially they are saying what I've been saying all along; there is mathematically no way for the Ukrainians to win. While Russia has expended a lot more effort than they thought they would have to they are still in the catbird seat because they have fought a war of attrition, slowly strangling the Ukrainians and it was guaranteed to work. Russia has an economy that is ten times the size of the Ukrain's. It has more troops, more drones, better weapons by and large, and more oil and gas to fuel the war machine.

Meanwhile the Ukrainians are growing increasingly desperate with many soldiers being shanghaied, impressed into service without so much as a "greetings" letter. Old men and teenagers are now being conscripted into service. And the cities are all starting to starve. A number of Ukrainian officials have been trying to sneak out of the country. It is the last stand, or soon will be anyway.

Ukraine's only option is to surrender territory, painful though that is. Had Zelensky not been such a horse's petunia over the last year or two and refused to cut a bad deal they wouldn't be at the point of losing as much. Being a leader oftentimes means having to take a bad deal rather than a worse one.

Will a surrender by Ukraine stop Russian aggression? Probably not, but the Russians need to buy time to rebuild. They will probably take a deal that is less to their liking than they could demand otherwise. But the Ukraine absolutely MUST have a cessation of hostilities; they are reaching the point of collapse and could well lose their whole country. What they need to do now is buy time - a lot of time. It's going to take several years to rebuild and rearm.

The sad thing is the Europeans kept pushing Zelensky to continue the fight with promises he would eventually get more troops from the West. It was a lie and always has been; the Europeans are constitutionally incapable of mounting so an effort anymore and so it all depended on the U.S. and there is no appetite among the American People to involve ourselves in a remote war in Eastern Europe that has nothing to do with us. Despite hysterical claims that Putin is Hitler (ridiculous on the face of it - Germany had been the most powerful European state and the most advanced in terms of technology and culture before wWI and even during the Depression it was a powerhouse despite being disarmed, unlike Russia which is a Third World country) the public realized that this has little to do with us. The Ukraine has always been a vassal of the Russians.

Granted, it would have been nice to sever that abusive spousal relationship. But at the cost of American lives?

Actually there are arguments to be made about saving Ukraine. It has oil. It has natural gas It is the breadbasket of Europe. It has rare earth elements. It is the natural pipeline for Asian oil and gas. It controls the Black Sea to a fair degree, and especially the approach leading to it's exit. But it's hard to convince Americans that the long-term strategic benefit of sending American troops into the region is worth it. And it is EXTREMELY difficult to risk a nuclear war with Russia (who has an arsenal that is both larger than ours and much newer) for oil and gas for the Europeans, who have never been grateful for anything we've done for them.

Only internationalists like the good folks at the Council on Foreign Relations want us involved in this war. Oh, and the Democrats and RINO Republicans.

As I have said previously, the way this war could have been ended was to defund Russia by driving the price of oil and gas down. Biden refused to do that, actually working to increase the price and thus make Russia flush with cash. Trump has been slowly but surely getting the price down but it has not been fast enough or low enough to REALLY hurt the Russians and it won't happen in enough time to save Ukraine. Trump is in a pickle; he needs prices to drop but not so low as to make American oil and gas uncompetitive. If prices drop too low our domestic oil industry will collapse and Trump knows it. He dare not move too quickly or too aggressively in this. (American oil has boomed because of Fracking, Hydraulic Fracturing, and that is a more expensive way to acquire it than just drilling into the ground and waiting for it to blow to the surface as they do in the Arab countries. The Russians don't use fracking so much but they do have very high drilling costs, what with their oil fields being in tundra and the like.)

The article states:

And indeed that is so. That Foreign Affairs recognizes this is what is the real shocker.

It seems likely Ukraine will have to surrender all of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk to get Putin to stop. Zelensky should have made a deal while he had the chance.

The article repeats the rather sad little mantra that "Russia is losing more troops than Ukraine" which I am fairly certain is nonsense, and in fact I think the Russian casualties being reported by the Western media are entirely the fiction coming from the Ukrainians themselves. Much like the claim of all the Palestinians who were supposedly dying from Israeli airstrikes during the war last year were numbers coming from the Palestinian Authority and not some objective third party. I have little doubt Russia is losing what we in the West would consider an unacceptable number but they are nowhere near exhausted and I am sure those numbers are far less than our media is reporting. I also suspect the Ukrainians are LOSING more than are being reported.

This war was always unwinnable and it could have been avoided through diplomacy. But the Biden Administration and the Europeans wanted this war in hopes of exhausting Russia and forcing her into the New World Order. How's THAT working out?

And while Trump has found ending this war far more difficult than he imagined I think he would have been able to prevent it in the first place before blood was spilled. Now both sides are entrenched; you can't help but be after so bloody and angry a conflict.

I suspect this war will continue until Russia is just about at the point of overrunning the whole country. Zelensky probably will have to be removed from office, or he will flee, and then and only then will the Ukrainians sue for peace.

It's sad; they wanted more - and deserved better. But they never accepted Russia's taking of Crimea and they, lie the toady of the big bully, felt strong with the backing of the West. Now they are learning a hard lesson about trusting in foreign protectors.

I will end this with a quick mention of Isaiah 30:1-5

Sounds a lot like what Ukraine did, trusting Europe and the United States to back them. It is never sound strategy to trust in foreign powers to keep you safe. Zelensky and the Ukrainian leadership should have understood that the assurances they were given were like the morning dew, evaporating in the heat of the day.

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