September 12, 2022
A day has passed and some of the fog of war has lifted in Ukraine. It appears that the Russians started withdrawing from Kharkov region about a week before the Ukrainians launched their successful offensive. They have now fully withdrawn and have thus now a considerably shorter front to defend and to attack from.
The Russians are still making gains in the Donetsk region and the Ukrainians have lost the counter-offensive on the Kherson front. The Ukrainians have suffered enormous casualties but that doesn't seem to worry them. Estimates of the numbers of Ukrainian troops under arms are as many as 1 million with 100,000 trained to NATO standard over the last 8 years.
The Russians still show no sign of mobilizing and seem to think they can achieve their stated objectives despite having only 200,000 men on the ground. They of course have massive air and artillery/rocket superiority but reserves of ammunition must be a factor over time.
It appears that the Ukrainians are preparing for a major counter-offensive in the south and no doubt the Russians will move troops to that area now that they don't have to worry about Kharkov.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
11:21 AM
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