August 17, 2025

Coffee Frost

Timothy Birdnow

A major frost in Brazil has severely damaged the buds on coffee plants, which will greatly reduce or completely wipe out coffee supplies in the upcoming year.

Brazil, an equatorial country, was hit with a bad frost in July, the heighth of winter in most of the country, which lies primarily south of the equator.

Global Warming sure is a bitch! It's boiling the seas, melting coral reefs with acid, melting the polar ice caps, and now it's freeing Brazil and destroying coffee crops!

Judah Cohen must be dancing a jig at this. He is the dolt who famously said "it's cold because it's hot".

Brazil is the world's largest coffee producer, and they expect to lose a lot of coffee. The bad thing is there was a similar frost in 2024 (though less severe) and in 2021. For a tropical country Brazil sure is seeming to get hit with frost a lot these days.

Brazil @coffee lands across Minas Gerais including all top regions from Southern Minas to Alta Mogiana and the Cerrado already have been hammered by three intense cold fronts this year, and as I have tried to explain here MANY times even if the physical damage has not been… https://t.co/qkO4K4tu0e pic.twitter.com/sKZe8z9m81

— Maja Wallengren (@SpillingTheBean) August 9, 2025

And the crop, weakened by these previous frosts, was only expected to produce at 70%. Now it is theorized it could be under 55%, meaning a huge spike in coffee prices.

This is what is wrong with the globalist model. They promote a kind of regionalism where certain countries are granted certain things. China is manufacturing, the U.S. high tech, and Brazil was the coffee that fueled the techies. That's great as long as something like this doesn't happen.

During the Bronze Age you had a similar alignment, with easy trade between the big empires (Egypt, Mesopotamia, Syria, etc.) That was fine as long as the trade routes remained open, but the coming of the Sea People broke those supply chains and the great powers all collapsed because they had relied too heavily on single sources for goods they needed. We have done the same.

There is no reason why there isn't a lot of coffee coming from Central America, from Mexico, and even from the U.S. Florida could grow coffee, for instance. African coffee can be exxcellent and I've had some wonderful stuff from Tanzania or Mozambique. (Coffee originated in Ethiopia and was transplanted to Yemen, where the Arabs, not allowed alcohol, took it and ran with it.)

So we should never have put all our eggs in one basket.

BTW Jamaican coffee is, in my mind, the finest coffee in the world. There is High Mountain which is excellent, and Blue Mountain which is sublime. Blue Mountain purchased in the U.S. is usually the poor quality version and cut with other coffee to control price, so don't be surprised if you buy a little sample bag and shrug; you have to taste it in Jamaica itself, with goat cream and raw sugar, to really appreciate it. On my honeymoon so many years ago I was in absolute Heaven every morning and couldn't wait for breakfast! I brought some home too and it was absolutely wonderful.

More from Wallengren:

REAKING #KC BRAZIL FROST DAMAGE continues to be confirmed across ALL of Cerrado Mineiro #coffee region, and also across MANY municipalities in Southern Minas and parts of SP/AM, and REPEATING as @SpillingTheBean has said MANY TIMES over the last month, even if the physical and visible damage to coffee trees, farms and regions may appear to be less right now than the July-2021 frosts four years ago, the STRESS IMPACT on trees and farms ahead of the 2026 flowering is MASSIVELY more severe now than four years ago, as most Brazilian coffee growers have NOT YET RECOVERED from the last 5 years of non-stop weather disasters, and the ENTIRE BRAZIL arabica coffee park is SEVERELY weakened and fragile compared to 4 years ago, hence the 2026 harvest was already SEVERELY compromised to a max crop potential of 70% BEFORE the latest and ongoing COLD FRONT and FROST started to move across the main MG coffee belt and this current frost development is THE DEATH BLOW to the 2026 harvest which in VERY BEST case scenario at this point will be able to produce a MAX of 54M-58M bags !!

That sucks. Coffee is our national drink and one of life's great pleasures. It's going to become too pricey to buy. I guess Americans can switch to tea made from weeds or something - just like the World Economic Forum would want.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 07:34 AM | Comments (3) | Add Comment
Post contains 777 words, total size 5 kb.

1 You mention that the seas are boiling, which I recognized as intentional hyperbole, sarcasm if you will, but greenies have been given over to using the phrase literally. I clicked on a headline that mentioned "Boiling Seas" (I know, but I was curious) and the article included a statement, serious as death, that the world's oceans are boiling. If ocean temperatures were anywhere near 212 degrees, life on this planet would have ended some time ago.

Posted by: Bill H at August 17, 2025 08:50 AM (FRG6e)

2 I'm assuming that the java I get from Sam's Club is sourced in Brazil (it's not expensive enough to come from Jamaica). I'll have to watch its availability and its price, because "this body runs on coffee" for most of the day.

Posted by: Dana Mathewson at August 17, 2025 10:00 PM (gUtwc)

3 Oh my sweet Lord Bill; I thought even THEY knew claims of boiling seas was just imagery! Yep - if the seas were anywhere near close to the boiling point there would be no life on Earth.

In fact, Venus once had vast oceans, scientists believe,but they were very hot and when the sun warmed a bit more they simply boiled away, disappearing into deep space. Earth would be a twin of Venus if it were hot enough for seas to boil.

Those people are truly nuts.

Dana, I'm sure it is. While there are many gourmet coffees from all over the world (Columbia, Hawaii, Jamaica, etc.) their price will rise when the cheaper Brazilian coffee goes up. A rising tide fl.oats all boats, as they say.

Enjoy your coffee while you can afford it. I would suggest you stock up.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at August 18, 2025 07:04 AM (3KAlv)

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