Birdnow's Aviary

May 02, 2026

An Historic Opportunity: Blacks Abandoning Democrats, Moving to GOP

Timothy Birdnow

Trump and MAGA have made big inroads into the black vote before the November midterms.

Black Voters Just Gave the Democratic Party Some Horrible News

FTA:

He (CNN analyst Harry Enten) noted that Trump’s approval rating among black Americans went from 12 percent in his first term to 16 percent in his second. "He’s gaining ground,” Enten pointed out.

"And you say this isn't that big of a shift but I will tell you Republicans absolutely love this shift that's going on because Democrats have had such a long-term advantage,” the analyst said. "The fact that he is actually gaining ground versus where he was in term number one, this has major implications for elections down the line.”

Enten speculated that this shift "could have major ramifications and help put Republicans over the top at a number of Southern places in midterm elections” and that this is "part of a bigger trend” because "Donald Trump’s Republican Party is absolutely gaining ground.”

He noted that the GOP itself has also gained traction in the black community. He noted that during Trump’s first term, Democrats had a 63-point advantage over Republicans. Now, that number has dropped to 51 points.

So how does the GOP gain ground to where they are essentially neck-and-neck with the Democrats but Trump only rose from 12 to 16%? I don't believe that; he's much higher, I am convinced.

Trump is the kind of guy black folks would like; he is forever being hounded "by the Man" and he is scrappy and fights back. He's also treated them like equals, with respect, something the Democrats never do, and he's seen to it they have gained a lot of jobs and done well. He's prioritized black Americans over illegal aliens. these numbers are correct about Trump they should be much higher. MUCH higher.

The Democrats wrote the black vote off sometime in the recent past and they were once the cornerstone of the Democratic voting block. Now the Dems are shooting for Hispanics and illegal aliens and simply don't care about the black community any longer.

All of this is looking to create a split between the Democrats and the black community It's going to be slow, as black folks vote Democrat as did their fathers. But we must remember the Republicans owned the black vote from the time of Lincoln until FDR, and in fact the Democrats were the ones who fought against black people in the race riots of the twenties while Republicans supported and defended them.

In 1917 a number of factories in East St. Louis hired black southerners to fill labor shortages. These blacks had been encouraged to come up by the Republican Party, who hoped to capitalize on their loyalty to the GOP and turn a strongly Democratic county Republican. Many black workers came to replace striking union workers in 1916. Then in 1917 the Aluminum Ore Company went on strike and management brought in black people as replacements.

The end result was a series of race riots, culminating in a very nasty one where a lynch mob of white predominantly Eastern European immigrants rampaged through the community. Many blacks, in fear for their lives, tried to escape by crossing bridged into Missouri but were turned back by St. Louis City police, forcing many of them to lose their lives.

The end result was between forty and a hundred and fifty black people lost their lives (the accounts vary) in one of the nastiest race riots in America.

What's the point? The point is that these blacks were almost all Republicans, which played no small part in the tragedy; local politicians whipped up anger against the blacks because they wanted to drive them out and thus retain power. Those politicians were almost all Democrats.

Back then it was the GOP who was seen as the defender of and friend to the black community.

Roosevelt changed all that buy the oldest and most direct of methods - he just bought the black vote with social welfare programs.

The black community has been in the pocket of the Democrats ever since and it is more a relligion than a political party for many black people. But nothing lasts forever.

MAGA is drawing black folks and as time goes by and their positions improve thanks to Trumpian policies we will likely draw in still more. Especially since the Democrats have made it quite clear that blacks are second class citizens to the arriving illegal aliens.

We have an historic opportunity and we must not waste it.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 08:26 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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