Timothy Birdnow

This is interesting. It was posted on my Facebook page:

I found a serious error in the IPCC framework. The error appears in two places in the AR6. This error completely changed the causation theory because it moved the peak of the current interglacial period from where it's actually happening TODAY to 6500 years ago, which is incorrect. That shift makes it look like the current interglacial period should have been declining for thousands of years, yet temperature is increasing, leading the ENTIRE consensus to believe CO2 was the culprit.

It's not! When you recalibrate based on the ACTUAL RAW DATA, it shows the interglacial period is STILL increasing and is reaching its maximum now!

Meaning, the climate is following the natural orbital patterns of the MILANKOVICH CYCLE and has be the entire time! The IPCC is wrong!

Here are both errors:

1. SPM Figure SPM.1 — the highest-visibility location:

https://www.ipcc.ch/.../chapter/summary-for-policymakers/

This is the Summary for Policymakers page. The specific claim — that the warmest multi-century Holocene period occurred around 6,500 years ago — appears in the caption to Figure SPM.1 on that page. This is the figure shown to policymakers and the public.

2. Chapter 2 FAQ — the plain-language restatement:

https://www.ipcc.ch/.../faqs/IPCC_AR6_WGI_FAQ_Chapter_02.pdf

The FAQ states directly: "Averaged over the globe, surface temperatures of the past decade were probably warmer than when the long cooling trend began around 6500 years ago. If so, we need to look back to at least the previous interglacial period, around 125,000 years ago, to find evidence for multi-centennial global surface temperatures that were warmer than now." IPCC

That is the error in plain text. The phrase "the long cooling trend began around 6500 years ago" is the load-bearing claim. It places the natural peak in the past, making all current warming appear to break outside the natural Holocene range. The Buizert 2021 TS_EDC column — raw NOAA data — shows the present at −54.73°C versus −56.25°C at 7,200 BP. Present is warmer. The cooling trend has not begun. The claim is wrong at the column level.

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