November 04, 2024
Jeffrey Tucker on the Economy
Timothy Birdnow
Here is a thoughtful essay on the current bad state of our economy. The author - Jeffrey Tucker - illustrates how we are being lied to by our media, and he also illustrates how the next President is going to catch hell over inflation no matter who.
It's depressing but an honest assessment.
Here is a thoughtful essay on the current bad state of our economy. The author - Jeffrey Tucker - illustrates how we are being lied to by our media, and he also illustrates how the next President is going to catch hell over inflation no matter who.
It's depressing but an honest assessment.
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More Aliens than Jobs
Timothy Birdnow
Comfortably more illegal aliens came into the country than jobs created.
That is "Bidenomics" at work; roll out the buffett for the illegals but take away the crumbs left for the native born Americans.
Comfortably more illegal aliens came into the country than jobs created.
That is "Bidenomics" at work; roll out the buffett for the illegals but take away the crumbs left for the native born Americans.
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08:53 AM
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Former Obama Campaign Manager Fears Harris Numbers
Timothy Birdnow
Maybe Kenny Loggins can weigh in as well?
Ex-Obama Campaign Manager Jim Messina Says Early Voting Numbers "Scary" for Harris
(For those who do not know Jim Messina was one half of the seventies rock duo Loggins and Messina, although that was a different Jim Messina.)
Messina was Obama's former campaign manager and has neither love for Mr. Trump nor any motivation to make this warning.
Watch for something big in the next day or so. Not sure what.
Maybe Kenny Loggins can weigh in as well?
Ex-Obama Campaign Manager Jim Messina Says Early Voting Numbers "Scary" for Harris
(For those who do not know Jim Messina was one half of the seventies rock duo Loggins and Messina, although that was a different Jim Messina.)
Messina was Obama's former campaign manager and has neither love for Mr. Trump nor any motivation to make this warning.
Watch for something big in the next day or so. Not sure what.
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Who will Replace Kamala?
Timothy Birdnow
So what happens if someone is assassinated today? While Trump would be the logical target, Harris would be equally attractive to the Left if they believed they were going to lose. I can imagine an insistence on postponing the election until the Democrats could get a new candidate. It would be a most attractive prospect if they had internals showing they would lose even with all their cheating.
Logically they would replace her with Tampon Tim, but he is as much a part of the Democrat's problem as is Kamala. Biden could offer to serve again, but that wouldn't be a lot of help either.
No, if that were to happen the Democrats would push a postponement of the elections and Biden would sign whatever emergency order was necessary and the GOP would fear stopping them.
Do I think this will happen? No. Do I want it to happen? Absolutely not! But it's an insane idea that actually does make some sense from a purely bare-knuckle politics. The Democrats care about nothing but power these days.
Just something to keep in mind on this eve of the most important election in our lifetime.
So what happens if someone is assassinated today? While Trump would be the logical target, Harris would be equally attractive to the Left if they believed they were going to lose. I can imagine an insistence on postponing the election until the Democrats could get a new candidate. It would be a most attractive prospect if they had internals showing they would lose even with all their cheating.
Logically they would replace her with Tampon Tim, but he is as much a part of the Democrat's problem as is Kamala. Biden could offer to serve again, but that wouldn't be a lot of help either.
No, if that were to happen the Democrats would push a postponement of the elections and Biden would sign whatever emergency order was necessary and the GOP would fear stopping them.
Do I think this will happen? No. Do I want it to happen? Absolutely not! But it's an insane idea that actually does make some sense from a purely bare-knuckle politics. The Democrats care about nothing but power these days.
Just something to keep in mind on this eve of the most important election in our lifetime.
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November 03, 2024
Catholic Charities Breaking Immigration Law
Timothy Birdnow
Catholic Charities has been at the vanguard of promoting the illegal invasion of the U.S. Now we have proof they are breaking the law.
Texas AG says Catholic charity is smuggling migrants into US, runs ‘stash house’
Congress should act to strip them of their tax-exempt status.
Catholic Charities has been at the vanguard of promoting the illegal invasion of the U.S. Now we have proof they are breaking the law.
Texas AG says Catholic charity is smuggling migrants into US, runs ‘stash house’
Congress should act to strip them of their tax-exempt status.
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11:30 AM
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Who is the Dictator?
Timothy Birdnow
From Zero Hedge courtesy of Common Sense and Wonder.
"If Trump Is A Dictator..."
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/if-trump-dictatorTyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
Throughout the 2024 election, Democrats have gone into overdrive to paint Trump as a dire threat to democracy - comparing him to the likes of Hitler, Stalin, and Mussolini.
In one week, 'Trump-Hitler' stories topped 5,500 according to Bloomberg.
And people wonder why trust in the media has plummeted. But let's entertain the claim that Trump is a dictator...
X user 'Insurrection Barbie' posts the following 12-point rebuttal, where the Biden-Harris administration did exactly that:
* * *
If Trump is a dictator, name one time he usurped power from the other branches of government to enact his will in violation of the separation of powers.
Here are all the times the Harris/Biden administration did exactly that:
1. The Harris and Biden administration extended the eviction moratorium after COVID by abusing their emergency powers at the expense of private property rights.
2. This administration issued vaccine mandates for workers because their "patience” had run thin. This was struck down by the courts as unconstitutional.
3. Our constitution gives the legislative branch the power to pass laws. This administration was not able to cancel student loan debt by getting Congress to vote on a bill to do so. So, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris did this by executive of fiat. They did this after the Supreme Court said it was unconstitutional. Twice.
4. In violation of our first amendment, they tried to enact a disinformation governing board to censor your free speech. Ultimately the public backlash was so great that they scrapped the project for now.
5. Through executive fiat and death by regulation they have upended our energy policies making our emergency oil reserves drop to the lowest they have been since 1984. They killed the Keystone pipeline and they defied court rulings and continued to opt out against holding oil drilling sales.
6. This administration threatened and coerced social media companies to silence the speech of American citizensbecause it did not agree with the position of the government in violation of the first amendment.
7. This administration has absolutely zero respect for property rights and have publicly announced that they pledge to protect 30% of land and water by 2030. That is a land grab. Very dictatorial.
8. This administration has purposefully, ignored our immigration laws and allow 13 million people into the country.They have willfully failed to uphold deportation orders letting them lapse.
9. In violation of our laws they have failed to secure our border and have allowed 425,000 [known or suspected] criminals into the country.
10. They have targeted parents for protesting at their children’s school board meetings in violation of their first amendment rights of free speech and have had the FBI place them on a watchlist.
11. They have targeted pro-life demonstrators and thrown them in prison while letting pro-abortion activists burn down clinics. The executive branch has to faithfully execute the laws without bias, clearly, they have failed to do that.
12. They were not able to pass any legislation in Congress to force their transgender agenda into the school system so they passed it by executive fiat and the courts struck down much of it at this point.
* * *
And there you have it...
From Zero Hedge courtesy of Common Sense and Wonder.
"If Trump Is A Dictator..."
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/if-trump-dictatorTyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
Throughout the 2024 election, Democrats have gone into overdrive to paint Trump as a dire threat to democracy - comparing him to the likes of Hitler, Stalin, and Mussolini.
In one week, 'Trump-Hitler' stories topped 5,500 according to Bloomberg.
And people wonder why trust in the media has plummeted. But let's entertain the claim that Trump is a dictator...
X user 'Insurrection Barbie' posts the following 12-point rebuttal, where the Biden-Harris administration did exactly that:
* * *
If Trump is a dictator, name one time he usurped power from the other branches of government to enact his will in violation of the separation of powers.
Here are all the times the Harris/Biden administration did exactly that:
1. The Harris and Biden administration extended the eviction moratorium after COVID by abusing their emergency powers at the expense of private property rights.
2. This administration issued vaccine mandates for workers because their "patience” had run thin. This was struck down by the courts as unconstitutional.
3. Our constitution gives the legislative branch the power to pass laws. This administration was not able to cancel student loan debt by getting Congress to vote on a bill to do so. So, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris did this by executive of fiat. They did this after the Supreme Court said it was unconstitutional. Twice.
4. In violation of our first amendment, they tried to enact a disinformation governing board to censor your free speech. Ultimately the public backlash was so great that they scrapped the project for now.
5. Through executive fiat and death by regulation they have upended our energy policies making our emergency oil reserves drop to the lowest they have been since 1984. They killed the Keystone pipeline and they defied court rulings and continued to opt out against holding oil drilling sales.
6. This administration threatened and coerced social media companies to silence the speech of American citizensbecause it did not agree with the position of the government in violation of the first amendment.
7. This administration has absolutely zero respect for property rights and have publicly announced that they pledge to protect 30% of land and water by 2030. That is a land grab. Very dictatorial.
8. This administration has purposefully, ignored our immigration laws and allow 13 million people into the country.They have willfully failed to uphold deportation orders letting them lapse.
9. In violation of our laws they have failed to secure our border and have allowed 425,000 [known or suspected] criminals into the country.
10. They have targeted parents for protesting at their children’s school board meetings in violation of their first amendment rights of free speech and have had the FBI place them on a watchlist.
11. They have targeted pro-life demonstrators and thrown them in prison while letting pro-abortion activists burn down clinics. The executive branch has to faithfully execute the laws without bias, clearly, they have failed to do that.
12. They were not able to pass any legislation in Congress to force their transgender agenda into the school system so they passed it by executive fiat and the courts struck down much of it at this point.
* * *
And there you have it...
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More Vote Fraud
Timothy Birdnow
More vote fraud.
Kentucky County Clerk Confirms Video Where Voter Couldn’t Cast Ballot For Donald Trump "Did Occur” After Initial Denial
At least now the GOP is alert to it and documenting it, so if this comes down to a photo finish they will be able to prove Trump is right about losing by fraud.
More vote fraud.
Kentucky County Clerk Confirms Video Where Voter Couldn’t Cast Ballot For Donald Trump "Did Occur” After Initial Denial
At least now the GOP is alert to it and documenting it, so if this comes down to a photo finish they will be able to prove Trump is right about losing by fraud.
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11:07 AM
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Non-Citizen Will Still Have Vote Counted
Timothy Birdnow
So a non-citizen votes illegally and his vote will STILL be counted, despite the fact he's going to jail!
Chinese Student Accused Of Illegally Voting Will Still See Ballot Counted Despite Criminal Charges
Why bother having citizenship at all? I mean, if you can vote even if you are a Chinese national why are we bothering with this antiquated notion of legal votes?
So a non-citizen votes illegally and his vote will STILL be counted, despite the fact he's going to jail!
Chinese Student Accused Of Illegally Voting Will Still See Ballot Counted Despite Criminal Charges
Why bother having citizenship at all? I mean, if you can vote even if you are a Chinese national why are we bothering with this antiquated notion of legal votes?
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No Ballots for Overseas Militaory
Timothy Birdnow
How convenient! They just "forgot" to send overseas military their ballots!
Pentagon Fails to Send Absentee Ballots to Active Military Service Members
Military is generally pretty Republican.
How convenient! They just "forgot" to send overseas military their ballots!
Pentagon Fails to Send Absentee Ballots to Active Military Service Members
Military is generally pretty Republican.
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More Democrat Cheating
Timothy Birdnow
Harris violated campaign law.
FCC Commissioner: Kamala Harris' Surprise Appearance on SNL "A Clear and Blatant Effort to Evade the FCC’s Equal Time Rule"
SNL didn't have any candidates on and they explained that they would have to give equal time to not just Trump but any other candidate running - Jill Stein, Robert Kennedy, etc.- so they didn't invite anyone. But now that it is too late to remedy the situation they put Harris on. Trump's campaign says they never received an invitation.
More cheating from the donks.
In Georgia Democrats kept polling places open after the cutoff mandated by state law and a state judge dismissed the case brought by Republicans on technical grounds.
Cheating is widespread in this election and is being well-documented this time. Of course the media will bury it, as will Google and probably Facebook.
Harris violated campaign law.
FCC Commissioner: Kamala Harris' Surprise Appearance on SNL "A Clear and Blatant Effort to Evade the FCC’s Equal Time Rule"
SNL didn't have any candidates on and they explained that they would have to give equal time to not just Trump but any other candidate running - Jill Stein, Robert Kennedy, etc.- so they didn't invite anyone. But now that it is too late to remedy the situation they put Harris on. Trump's campaign says they never received an invitation.
More cheating from the donks.
In Georgia Democrats kept polling places open after the cutoff mandated by state law and a state judge dismissed the case brought by Republicans on technical grounds.
Cheating is widespread in this election and is being well-documented this time. Of course the media will bury it, as will Google and probably Facebook.
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November 02, 2024
The Jilted
Timothy Birdnow
Here is my attempt at Poe-style poetry for Halloween. I'm late with it; I just wasn't completely satisfied with it and had some surgery to perform. At any rate it's creepy; I hope you like it!
The Jilted
by Timothy Birdnow
10/31/2024
In the soil of faded dreams and pointless schemes
where what's left winds up below
and the waters flow in salty streams
the stoney trees grow neatly in a row
Her lover there in silence waits
there beneath the snow
beyond the black and rusted gates
the winds they howl and blow
She trudges through the muffled field
in silence like one long asleep
at the spot she bends and kneels
her head is bowed, in silence she weeps
an idol she made of her love for a man
her lust and desire led her astray
she surrendered her virtues for warm shifting sand
then one terrible moment he threw her away
she had no idea how hard it would kick
how much it would flow
how much she'd get sick
now from her he never would go
The deed how it mocked her in cruel taunting way
and she knew without question what lay in store
she dared not to leave but she dared not to stay
so she set forth her course for that dim, foggy shore
one dark night long ago
her bed became damp
and stained a bright crimson
when she snuffed out her lamp
Now she wanders the earth in eternal despair
neither living nor dead, like a leaf in the air
awaiting her lover who is never there
all her hopes and her curses as dead as her prayer
every evening she comes to wail and to mourn
and sometimes you hear her in an oncoming storm
clinging to something she can never again hold
who lies 'neath the ground, so silent and cold
the saddest part of this miserable tale
is never is forever, forever she'll wail
her arms always empty, her winds without sail
she sealed her fate when her coffin was nailed.
In the dark of the night you might hear her despair
the endless torment of an endless nightmare
her wails of anguish too much to bear
so stay far away, don't you come, don't you dare
Here is my attempt at Poe-style poetry for Halloween. I'm late with it; I just wasn't completely satisfied with it and had some surgery to perform. At any rate it's creepy; I hope you like it!
The Jilted
by Timothy Birdnow
10/31/2024
In the soil of faded dreams and pointless schemes
where what's left winds up below
and the waters flow in salty streams
the stoney trees grow neatly in a row
Her lover there in silence waits
there beneath the snow
beyond the black and rusted gates
the winds they howl and blow
She trudges through the muffled field
in silence like one long asleep
at the spot she bends and kneels
her head is bowed, in silence she weeps
an idol she made of her love for a man
her lust and desire led her astray
she surrendered her virtues for warm shifting sand
then one terrible moment he threw her away
she had no idea how hard it would kick
how much it would flow
how much she'd get sick
now from her he never would go
The deed how it mocked her in cruel taunting way
and she knew without question what lay in store
she dared not to leave but she dared not to stay
so she set forth her course for that dim, foggy shore
one dark night long ago
her bed became damp
and stained a bright crimson
when she snuffed out her lamp
Now she wanders the earth in eternal despair
neither living nor dead, like a leaf in the air
awaiting her lover who is never there
all her hopes and her curses as dead as her prayer
every evening she comes to wail and to mourn
and sometimes you hear her in an oncoming storm
clinging to something she can never again hold
who lies 'neath the ground, so silent and cold
the saddest part of this miserable tale
is never is forever, forever she'll wail
her arms always empty, her winds without sail
she sealed her fate when her coffin was nailed.
In the dark of the night you might hear her despair
the endless torment of an endless nightmare
her wails of anguish too much to bear
so stay far away, don't you come, don't you dare
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DOJ Poll Bullies
Timothy Birdnow
Voter intimidation/election tampering by Merrick Garland his his Praetorian Guard which masquerades as a "Department of Justice".
Biden's Matello is flooding the polls with DOJ "vote watchers" to intimidate Republicans and voters in a spectacular example of Democratic voter suppressin.
Rollcall dishes:
Ron DeSantis in Florida, Gregg Abbott in Texas, and Sarah Huckabee Sanders in Arkansas have all vowed to not allow these Federal agents access to any polls in their respective states.
My home state of Missouri is saying they will probably eject any poll watchers from the Biden Junta.Ot
The article continues:
In other words they are going to be present in every Democrat-controlled area where the Dems need to win. Now why is that? Looks to me it's so they can help hide the steal.
Doubt that? Here's the proof:
Sooo....REPUBLICANS were HARASSING DOJ poll watchers in 2022! Now why do you suppose that is, and what constitutes harassment? Could it be the Republicans were the ones being harassed?
These DOJ thugs are there only to stop Republican poll watchers from chronicling and documenting and preventing voter irregulatrities.
You know it's odd; Democrats scream about voter suppression if police are even on the same block as a polling place, calling it "voter suppression" yet are happy to have FEDERAL AGENTS standing right in there with the voters. Why, it's almost as if they don't believe a word of their own claims!
Voter intimidation/election tampering by Merrick Garland his his Praetorian Guard which masquerades as a "Department of Justice".
Biden's Matello is flooding the polls with DOJ "vote watchers" to intimidate Republicans and voters in a spectacular example of Democratic voter suppressin.
Rollcall dishes:
"Local jurisdictions on the 2024 list range from critical areas such as Philadelphia and Allegheny counties in the swing state of Pennsylvania to remote locations like the Northwest Arctic Borough in Alaska. Jurisdictions in the seven major swing states appear on the monitoring list, including Fulton County, Ga., which was the subject of false election fraud claims from Trump after the 2020 presidential election.
Federal voting rights monitoring on Tuesday will also take place in the Atlanta-area jurisdictions of Cobb County, DeKalb County and Gwinnett County. Both Cobb and DeKalb counties did not have federal monitors in 2020, while Fulton and Gwinnett did."
Federal voting rights monitoring on Tuesday will also take place in the Atlanta-area jurisdictions of Cobb County, DeKalb County and Gwinnett County. Both Cobb and DeKalb counties did not have federal monitors in 2020, while Fulton and Gwinnett did."
Ron DeSantis in Florida, Gregg Abbott in Texas, and Sarah Huckabee Sanders in Arkansas have all vowed to not allow these Federal agents access to any polls in their respective states.
My home state of Missouri is saying they will probably eject any poll watchers from the Biden Junta.Ot
The article continues:
"The department has also added more jurisdictions in other swing states this presidential cycle, including in Arizona, which will now have monitoring in Apache, Pima and Yuma and Maricopa counties. There are also plans to monitor Nevada’s Clark County, which covers Las Vegas.
The push dovetails with broader efforts from the Justice Department to protect the integrity of the 2024 election, which includes prosecuting election-related threats and exposing foreign schemes to sway Americans’ perspectives about the election."
The push dovetails with broader efforts from the Justice Department to protect the integrity of the 2024 election, which includes prosecuting election-related threats and exposing foreign schemes to sway Americans’ perspectives about the election."
In other words they are going to be present in every Democrat-controlled area where the Dems need to win. Now why is that? Looks to me it's so they can help hide the steal.
Doubt that? Here's the proof:
"Claire Woodall, the former executive director of the City of Milwaukee Election Commission, said during a media briefing Friday with other former election officials that the city in 2022 had an instance of Republican observers harassing Justice Department monitors out of the polling place and into the parking lot."
Sooo....REPUBLICANS were HARASSING DOJ poll watchers in 2022! Now why do you suppose that is, and what constitutes harassment? Could it be the Republicans were the ones being harassed?
These DOJ thugs are there only to stop Republican poll watchers from chronicling and documenting and preventing voter irregulatrities.
You know it's odd; Democrats scream about voter suppression if police are even on the same block as a polling place, calling it "voter suppression" yet are happy to have FEDERAL AGENTS standing right in there with the voters. Why, it's almost as if they don't believe a word of their own claims!
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Feminist Insurrection Sunday
Timothy Birdnow
The Democrat lynch mob will show up in D.C. on Sunday to issue a warning to America they plan violence if they lose.
Yes, a bunch of hairy-legged and hairy pitted angry feminists are turning out to try to bully America into voting Harris.
This is but a warning shot of what to expect. I expect violence at this "protest" and not "peaceful protests" as the media will claim.
If this were a MaGA crowd they would find a way of calling it another insurrection.
The Democrat lynch mob will show up in D.C. on Sunday to issue a warning to America they plan violence if they lose.
Yes, a bunch of hairy-legged and hairy pitted angry feminists are turning out to try to bully America into voting Harris.
This is but a warning shot of what to expect. I expect violence at this "protest" and not "peaceful protests" as the media will claim.
If this were a MaGA crowd they would find a way of calling it another insurrection.
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Dems Accuse Trump of What They Themselves Plan to Do
Timothy Birdnow
It's
always projection with the Liberals
This jerk from the Atlantic worries that TRUMP will steal the election via parliamentary tricks by having Congress not certify the results.
Notice how this scheme requires a majority in BOTH Houses of Congress, something that just isn't going to happen, especially in the Senate where Trump would lose every Democrat (the majority) as well as probably ten Republicans. Oh, and Harris would break any tie.
But this jackass is trying to frighten his readers with these doomsday scenarios.
The question is, who has been rumbling about using parliamentary procedures to steal this election?
In the same publication the Atlantic discusses how to prevent Trump from becoming President [;ink=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/02/democrats-congress-trump-january-6/677545/]through legal manuevers. The Democrats have been floating this idea for some time now, saying J6 can be used to not certify his election because he is an "insurrectionist" and thus in violation of section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment. That Trump has never been charged with insurrection, nor has ever been tried nor convicted of it, seems to mean nothing to these people. (In his civil case in New York his "insurrection" was referenced by the judge, but that does not establish guilt of it by any stretch.)
And these are the same people who went after Trump repeatedly with legal attacks in an attempt to throw him in jail and thus disqualify him from office.
This from the same people who put spies in his campaign, who promoted a Hillary Clinton fake dossier to accuse Trump of treason, who send swat teams to his home with "shoot to kill" ordekrs, who left him totally unprotected at a rally so he could be shot.
These people are monsters and it is their own hearts they are projecting on Mr. Trump.
Oh, and the tenor of this article is astonishing; they act as if THEY didn't challenge anything after losing. Remember Hillary Clinton filed multiple lawsuits too, and she promoted "faithless electors" and also tried to get the election de-certified. Nobody was upset then at the Atlantic. What about Stacey Abrams? She is STILL going around claiming she was robbed in her Georgia Senate race, and in fact her lawsuits gave us Ossof and WArnick - two radical leftists in a pretty conservative state. The GOP was frightened to go after them because of the suits. Governor Kemp and Sec. State Raffesnberger were both being suded by Abrams and that is why they refused to back Trump at that time.
So baseless accusations of election tampering and theft by the DEMOCRATS has served them very well. But it is TRUMP who poses the danger of vote tampering!
These people are beyond shameless.
It's
always projection with the Liberals
This jerk from the Atlantic worries that TRUMP will steal the election via parliamentary tricks by having Congress not certify the results.
Notice how this scheme requires a majority in BOTH Houses of Congress, something that just isn't going to happen, especially in the Senate where Trump would lose every Democrat (the majority) as well as probably ten Republicans. Oh, and Harris would break any tie.
But this jackass is trying to frighten his readers with these doomsday scenarios.
The question is, who has been rumbling about using parliamentary procedures to steal this election?
In the same publication the Atlantic discusses how to prevent Trump from becoming President [;ink=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/02/democrats-congress-trump-january-6/677545/]through legal manuevers. The Democrats have been floating this idea for some time now, saying J6 can be used to not certify his election because he is an "insurrectionist" and thus in violation of section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment. That Trump has never been charged with insurrection, nor has ever been tried nor convicted of it, seems to mean nothing to these people. (In his civil case in New York his "insurrection" was referenced by the judge, but that does not establish guilt of it by any stretch.)
And these are the same people who went after Trump repeatedly with legal attacks in an attempt to throw him in jail and thus disqualify him from office.
This from the same people who put spies in his campaign, who promoted a Hillary Clinton fake dossier to accuse Trump of treason, who send swat teams to his home with "shoot to kill" ordekrs, who left him totally unprotected at a rally so he could be shot.
These people are monsters and it is their own hearts they are projecting on Mr. Trump.
Oh, and the tenor of this article is astonishing; they act as if THEY didn't challenge anything after losing. Remember Hillary Clinton filed multiple lawsuits too, and she promoted "faithless electors" and also tried to get the election de-certified. Nobody was upset then at the Atlantic. What about Stacey Abrams? She is STILL going around claiming she was robbed in her Georgia Senate race, and in fact her lawsuits gave us Ossof and WArnick - two radical leftists in a pretty conservative state. The GOP was frightened to go after them because of the suits. Governor Kemp and Sec. State Raffesnberger were both being suded by Abrams and that is why they refused to back Trump at that time.
So baseless accusations of election tampering and theft by the DEMOCRATS has served them very well. But it is TRUMP who poses the danger of vote tampering!
These people are beyond shameless.
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Maryland AG: Stop Threatening Voters!
Timothy Birdnow
Here I thought it was Republicans who tried to suppress and threaten voters!
Maryland AG Warns Leftist Group to Stop Threatening Voters
Here I thought it was Republicans who tried to suppress and threaten voters!
Maryland AG Warns Leftist Group to Stop Threatening Voters
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Polling Follies and Mittens for Tuesday
Timothy Birdnow
I have been arguing that people are afraid to declare their support for Trump in much the same way they didn't declare for Reagan in 1980. I appear to be correct.
Here is an article about incorrect polling since '80.
FTA:
The UCLA profs failed to address WHY Republicans were unwilling to declare for Reagan. They also believed the "undecideds" made up their minds at the last moment, something entirely unprovable. More likely they had been afraid to vote Reagan but thought about how bad things had been under Carter. In other words, it was inevitable.
The author of this piece disputes that this Wilder Effect is in play:
This is a flawed argument; online polls are utterly worthless as they have no controls and are primarily taken by Millenials and others who tend to be liberals and would skew the results. And it also presupposed polls - and pollsters - are honest brokers of information, something I deny.
The article continues:
That only buttresses my claim about online polls, and egven about traditional polling. You have to be home and have the time to waste on a rather lengthy survey. Democrats have lots of time on their hands; not so much Republicans or those who would be likely to actually vote Trump (they are too busy earning a living and taking care of their families).
This article was written before the Trump/Biden debate and here we see how myopic the thinking:
Biden would be finis after the first debate as polls showed it was impossible for him to win. The "recent polls" mentioned were undoubtedly incorrect even then; the public had absolutely no reason to support the baby biter in chief, none whatsoever. These polls were trying to lead the public, not reflect it.
I strongly suspect the polls in this election will be way off, as they were in 1980.
Anyone remember the iconic photo of Harry Truman holding up the paper that said "Dewey Wins!"? Polls showed Truman would be out. Anyone remember polls showing Nixon would beat Kennedy? How about the claims the GOP stole the election from John "I Served in Vietnam" Kerry because the election did not go the way polls suggested it would? The polls have been wrong more then they have been right.
Polls should be taken with a huge grain of salt. And given the overall trends right now I think we will be very happy next week. But of course none of this can take theft into account, and what the Democrats can't win they can manufacture.
It's going to be a nail-biter; you may want to buy some mittens for Tuesday.
I have been arguing that people are afraid to declare their support for Trump in much the same way they didn't declare for Reagan in 1980. I appear to be correct.
Here is an article about incorrect polling since '80.
FTA:
Speaking to The Bruin in that article, UCLA professors attempted to explain "Where the pollsters goofed.”
"The polls immediately preceding the election did not accurately predict the election results either because poll respondents included a large number of Reagan supporters who were unwilling to declare their support for him, or because a very large portion of ‘undecideds’ and Anderson supporters decided to support Reagan over the weekend,” the article said.
End
"The polls immediately preceding the election did not accurately predict the election results either because poll respondents included a large number of Reagan supporters who were unwilling to declare their support for him, or because a very large portion of ‘undecideds’ and Anderson supporters decided to support Reagan over the weekend,” the article said.
End
The UCLA profs failed to address WHY Republicans were unwilling to declare for Reagan. They also believed the "undecideds" made up their minds at the last moment, something entirely unprovable. More likely they had been afraid to vote Reagan but thought about how bad things had been under Carter. In other words, it was inevitable.
The author of this piece disputes that this Wilder Effect is in play:
"Some pundits similarly argue that undecided voters, as well as those that may have been embarrassed to share their preference for Trump with pollsters, disrupted the polls in 2016. This "shy Trumper” theory has been largely disproven by the fact that Trump did not perform significantly better in online polls, where voters would not have had to reveal their views to real people."
This is a flawed argument; online polls are utterly worthless as they have no controls and are primarily taken by Millenials and others who tend to be liberals and would skew the results. And it also presupposed polls - and pollsters - are honest brokers of information, something I deny.
The article continues:
In the four years since the 2016 election, Pew Research Center researchers have examined the polling methods that resulted in erroneous predictions in 2016. These researchers have determined that nonresponse bias, which occurs when certain groups within a population tend to not respond to polls, and incorrect assumptions about who would turn up to vote are largely to blame.
Many pollsters relied on data from past elections to predict who would vote in 2016. However, significant changes in voter demographics invalidated many of these assumptions, resulting in inaccurate polls. Notably, nonwhite voters did not turnout for Clinton at the same rates as they did for former President Barack Obama in 2012.
End
Many pollsters relied on data from past elections to predict who would vote in 2016. However, significant changes in voter demographics invalidated many of these assumptions, resulting in inaccurate polls. Notably, nonwhite voters did not turnout for Clinton at the same rates as they did for former President Barack Obama in 2012.
End
That only buttresses my claim about online polls, and egven about traditional polling. You have to be home and have the time to waste on a rather lengthy survey. Democrats have lots of time on their hands; not so much Republicans or those who would be likely to actually vote Trump (they are too busy earning a living and taking care of their families).
This article was written before the Trump/Biden debate and here we see how myopic the thinking:
"Some of the most recent polls show Democratic candidate Joe Biden ahead of Trump in most states, including key swing states such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Florida. Early ballot counts also indicate that 2020 will witness historic levels of voter turnout, unlike the 20-year low seen in 2016. "
Biden would be finis after the first debate as polls showed it was impossible for him to win. The "recent polls" mentioned were undoubtedly incorrect even then; the public had absolutely no reason to support the baby biter in chief, none whatsoever. These polls were trying to lead the public, not reflect it.
I strongly suspect the polls in this election will be way off, as they were in 1980.
Anyone remember the iconic photo of Harry Truman holding up the paper that said "Dewey Wins!"? Polls showed Truman would be out. Anyone remember polls showing Nixon would beat Kennedy? How about the claims the GOP stole the election from John "I Served in Vietnam" Kerry because the election did not go the way polls suggested it would? The polls have been wrong more then they have been right.
Polls should be taken with a huge grain of salt. And given the overall trends right now I think we will be very happy next week. But of course none of this can take theft into account, and what the Democrats can't win they can manufacture.
It's going to be a nail-biter; you may want to buy some mittens for Tuesday.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
10:36 AM
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Polls and Passion Plays
Timothy Birdnow
Very, very interesting indeed!
Statistician Nate Silver Accuses Pollsters of Lying to Keep Race Close
Silver is far from a MAGA man, or even a Republican. In fact the Democrats USED to love him. But now he is saying pollsters are "herding" because they are all getting the same numbers and those numbers are withing a fraction of each-other.
Silver himself has Trump chances of winning being 55% to 45% for Harris.
I have always held a low opinon of polling, which is usually wrong, sometimes spectacularly so. In the election of 1980 most polls showed Reagan slightly ahead in a photo-finish contest just one week before the election, and in fact Gallup showed him down considerably, yet Reagan won in a landslide. I chalk that up to the Wilder/Bradley Effect where people are embarrassed to tell pollsters what they really think but rather tell them what they think the pollsters want to hear. When someone is demonized, be it Reagan in '80 or Trump in '16 or '24 it is hard for a person, especially a weaker person, to admit they are going to vote for "Hitler" (both men being called that at the time).
But there is just plain old intentional bias too. Polls are now tools to lead public opinion and not reflect it. My wife worked as a pollster for a short time but realized that was the intent all along. Polls showing a razor-thin race helps the losing party keep up morale, and sets up legal and political challenges to the validity of the winner. It also helps turn out the vote. Now, this is a double-edged sword and can come back to bite the Democrats but if one assumes Trump is winning the media would most definitely do this, and so would most of the (liberal) pollsters. I agree with Silver; "Republican" pollsters are just lazy and fear going outside of the conventional wisdom.
Of course the pollsters also have to actually talk to someone and Democrats are far more likely to have the time to spent half an hour or more on the phone with one.
Any way you slice it polls are b.s. The REAL polls are the ones run as internal polling by the parties, who know what is REALLY happening. The ones seen by the public are messaged and managed and intended to both keep the race close and to promote an ultimate Democrat vicotry.
Our news is all morality play these days. Ace of Spades called it the "MacGuffin" which is defined as "an object, device, or event necessary to the plot and the motivation of the characters, but typically unimportant or irrelevant in itself ." I don't know much about no MacGuffins (I thought they were McDonald's new breakfast sandwhich) but I do understand morality plays and the use of Passion Plays in Medieval times. Our political system is all theatre, a passion play designed to make a point and keep us distracted.
The Democrats are always the good guys, white hat wearing heroes who are forced to fight those dastardly cowards with the black capes and stovepipe hats and waxed mustaches. It's what is sometimes called a "melerdrama", a charicature of the roles. The question is how will the good guys win! There has to be drama, there has to be struggle, complications, missteps on the road to the happy ending. The media reports it throughy that lense, as high drama with the "good guys" winning in the end.
Of course this is taking the situation 360* out of phase. The GOP are not the good guys either; at best they are the greedy flim-flam men who have to be forced to do the right thing, like Professor Waldo Wigglesworth in the old Hoppity Hoooper cartoons. (Hoppity Hooper was a Jay Ward production, from the same guy who brought us Rocky and Bullwinkle.) Or it is like the Wizard in the Oz story. The Democrats are the guys who have sold their souls to Satan and seek the ruin of all Mankind. The true good guys are those of us in Middle America trying to save what is left of our religion, our culture, and our way of life.
But the media doesn't see it that way. They frame the Democrats as the good guys and always seek the drama to keep Americans off kilter and fighting the wrong fights while the Leftist Establishment moves steadily forward with their schemes of societal evolution. Even when we win politically we end up losing culturally. Look at the Bush era, for instance.
when George W. Bush won re-election in 2004, did any of us believe twenty years later we would be opnely calling for socialism, waging war on oil, supporting terrorist Muslims against Israel, having homosexual marriages be accepted and talking about castrating small children as "gender affirming care"? Eight years of Bush saw the Left make huge gains. We won the political battle but largely have lost the war.
Now Trump is our last hope and now half the country, despite seeing the fruits of this leftism, still hate and loath him.
None of that could have happened without the media, the universities, government, and the pollsters.
So if our politics seems to you to be a fiction, a farce, a staged production, know that it largely is and Silver is no doubt right here.
Yes, there are encouraging signs like Musk taking over Twitter. Musk is a danger to the Left because, unlike Fox News, it is not at the service of the Left. Fox serves a useful purpose to the Left, which is why they allow it to exist; it acts as a safety valve to allow pressure to be relieved on the conservative public in Middle America. (Read Huxley's Brave New World where they discuss this very thing.) As Sun Tzu said, one must offer an enemy a "golden bridge of retreat" lest he get iron in his spine and fight to the last. Fox News serves that purpose; it APPEARS right wing at times but in the end, when it really matters, Fox will turn tail and run. Look at the way they simply refused to cover vote fraud/tampering in 2020, for instance. The fired their top host and paid a huge sum of cash to Dominion over a lawsuit they probably would have won (nobody wins those types of libel suits against journalists). Why?
Because Fox likes being part of the Establishment, an insider. That's where the money is, the power is, and the pleasures money and power bring.
Nobody wanted to be Rush Limbaugh, or Christopher Ruddy at Newsmax, or anyone who actually spoke the Truth because they became anathema. Trump is anathema, a kind of taboo totem. In fact he is basically Emmanuel Goldstein from Orwell's 1984; a biword, the man everyone HAD to hate for two minutes every day. That is what Trump is now for the Left; a boogeyman.
But it's all just a big play performed by the media.
The polls are just another such tool. They have to make them close to put excitement into the race so people can walk away with the satisfaction of triumphing over evil if the Democrats win - and with the resolve to fight harder if they lose.
Passion plays were often blamed for pogroms against Jews during the Middle Ages. The modern passion plays are doing likewise, only instead of Jews it is leading to attacks on Conservatives, Christians, Jews, and working class and middle class Americans. But it is the same thing.
Very, very interesting indeed!
Statistician Nate Silver Accuses Pollsters of Lying to Keep Race Close
Silver is far from a MAGA man, or even a Republican. In fact the Democrats USED to love him. But now he is saying pollsters are "herding" because they are all getting the same numbers and those numbers are withing a fraction of each-other.
Silver himself has Trump chances of winning being 55% to 45% for Harris.
I have always held a low opinon of polling, which is usually wrong, sometimes spectacularly so. In the election of 1980 most polls showed Reagan slightly ahead in a photo-finish contest just one week before the election, and in fact Gallup showed him down considerably, yet Reagan won in a landslide. I chalk that up to the Wilder/Bradley Effect where people are embarrassed to tell pollsters what they really think but rather tell them what they think the pollsters want to hear. When someone is demonized, be it Reagan in '80 or Trump in '16 or '24 it is hard for a person, especially a weaker person, to admit they are going to vote for "Hitler" (both men being called that at the time).
But there is just plain old intentional bias too. Polls are now tools to lead public opinion and not reflect it. My wife worked as a pollster for a short time but realized that was the intent all along. Polls showing a razor-thin race helps the losing party keep up morale, and sets up legal and political challenges to the validity of the winner. It also helps turn out the vote. Now, this is a double-edged sword and can come back to bite the Democrats but if one assumes Trump is winning the media would most definitely do this, and so would most of the (liberal) pollsters. I agree with Silver; "Republican" pollsters are just lazy and fear going outside of the conventional wisdom.
Of course the pollsters also have to actually talk to someone and Democrats are far more likely to have the time to spent half an hour or more on the phone with one.
Any way you slice it polls are b.s. The REAL polls are the ones run as internal polling by the parties, who know what is REALLY happening. The ones seen by the public are messaged and managed and intended to both keep the race close and to promote an ultimate Democrat vicotry.
Our news is all morality play these days. Ace of Spades called it the "MacGuffin" which is defined as "an object, device, or event necessary to the plot and the motivation of the characters, but typically unimportant or irrelevant in itself ." I don't know much about no MacGuffins (I thought they were McDonald's new breakfast sandwhich) but I do understand morality plays and the use of Passion Plays in Medieval times. Our political system is all theatre, a passion play designed to make a point and keep us distracted.
The Democrats are always the good guys, white hat wearing heroes who are forced to fight those dastardly cowards with the black capes and stovepipe hats and waxed mustaches. It's what is sometimes called a "melerdrama", a charicature of the roles. The question is how will the good guys win! There has to be drama, there has to be struggle, complications, missteps on the road to the happy ending. The media reports it throughy that lense, as high drama with the "good guys" winning in the end.
Of course this is taking the situation 360* out of phase. The GOP are not the good guys either; at best they are the greedy flim-flam men who have to be forced to do the right thing, like Professor Waldo Wigglesworth in the old Hoppity Hoooper cartoons. (Hoppity Hooper was a Jay Ward production, from the same guy who brought us Rocky and Bullwinkle.) Or it is like the Wizard in the Oz story. The Democrats are the guys who have sold their souls to Satan and seek the ruin of all Mankind. The true good guys are those of us in Middle America trying to save what is left of our religion, our culture, and our way of life.
But the media doesn't see it that way. They frame the Democrats as the good guys and always seek the drama to keep Americans off kilter and fighting the wrong fights while the Leftist Establishment moves steadily forward with their schemes of societal evolution. Even when we win politically we end up losing culturally. Look at the Bush era, for instance.
when George W. Bush won re-election in 2004, did any of us believe twenty years later we would be opnely calling for socialism, waging war on oil, supporting terrorist Muslims against Israel, having homosexual marriages be accepted and talking about castrating small children as "gender affirming care"? Eight years of Bush saw the Left make huge gains. We won the political battle but largely have lost the war.
Now Trump is our last hope and now half the country, despite seeing the fruits of this leftism, still hate and loath him.
None of that could have happened without the media, the universities, government, and the pollsters.
So if our politics seems to you to be a fiction, a farce, a staged production, know that it largely is and Silver is no doubt right here.
Yes, there are encouraging signs like Musk taking over Twitter. Musk is a danger to the Left because, unlike Fox News, it is not at the service of the Left. Fox serves a useful purpose to the Left, which is why they allow it to exist; it acts as a safety valve to allow pressure to be relieved on the conservative public in Middle America. (Read Huxley's Brave New World where they discuss this very thing.) As Sun Tzu said, one must offer an enemy a "golden bridge of retreat" lest he get iron in his spine and fight to the last. Fox News serves that purpose; it APPEARS right wing at times but in the end, when it really matters, Fox will turn tail and run. Look at the way they simply refused to cover vote fraud/tampering in 2020, for instance. The fired their top host and paid a huge sum of cash to Dominion over a lawsuit they probably would have won (nobody wins those types of libel suits against journalists). Why?
Because Fox likes being part of the Establishment, an insider. That's where the money is, the power is, and the pleasures money and power bring.
Nobody wanted to be Rush Limbaugh, or Christopher Ruddy at Newsmax, or anyone who actually spoke the Truth because they became anathema. Trump is anathema, a kind of taboo totem. In fact he is basically Emmanuel Goldstein from Orwell's 1984; a biword, the man everyone HAD to hate for two minutes every day. That is what Trump is now for the Left; a boogeyman.
But it's all just a big play performed by the media.
The polls are just another such tool. They have to make them close to put excitement into the race so people can walk away with the satisfaction of triumphing over evil if the Democrats win - and with the resolve to fight harder if they lose.
Passion plays were often blamed for pogroms against Jews during the Middle Ages. The modern passion plays are doing likewise, only instead of Jews it is leading to attacks on Conservatives, Christians, Jews, and working class and middle class Americans. But it is the same thing.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
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Democrat Vote Tampering
Timothy Birdnow
Democrat election tampering and fraud is rampant in this election and the media is llying about it or ignoring it.
All the early voting mIade the Democrats tip their hands early, before the overall chaos of the post-election period where they could hide what they were doing to an extent. Of course the media is claiming it's a "conspiracy theory" even though in many of these instances courts of law have ruled on them.
It was bad enough for the usually phlegmatic Hugh Hewitt to storm off from an interview on a Washington Post podcast as the other two media folks mocked him for saying there was obvious vote tampering (and kept interrupting him when he provided evidence) then said he wouldn't be invited back. Hewitt subsequently walked out of the interview and resigned his job at WaPo.
This is Big Steal II, bigger and badder. And I assure you if this election is even remotely close they will win. We have to so overwhelm them that they cannot steal it - or hide the evidence if they do.
Increasingly the Ruling Class is pushing America into civil war. When the political remedies fail a people have only one option left. A civil war would be terrible and everyone loses in one but unfortunately that seems to be the course our government, the Democrats, and their media allies want to take. They are fully prepared to disenfranchise native born Americans and naturalized Americans to attain and hold power. That is a recipe' for revolution.
I hope and pray it doesn't come to that. But I fear that's where it is going.
Democrat election tampering and fraud is rampant in this election and the media is llying about it or ignoring it.
All the early voting mIade the Democrats tip their hands early, before the overall chaos of the post-election period where they could hide what they were doing to an extent. Of course the media is claiming it's a "conspiracy theory" even though in many of these instances courts of law have ruled on them.
It was bad enough for the usually phlegmatic Hugh Hewitt to storm off from an interview on a Washington Post podcast as the other two media folks mocked him for saying there was obvious vote tampering (and kept interrupting him when he provided evidence) then said he wouldn't be invited back. Hewitt subsequently walked out of the interview and resigned his job at WaPo.
This is Big Steal II, bigger and badder. And I assure you if this election is even remotely close they will win. We have to so overwhelm them that they cannot steal it - or hide the evidence if they do.
Increasingly the Ruling Class is pushing America into civil war. When the political remedies fail a people have only one option left. A civil war would be terrible and everyone loses in one but unfortunately that seems to be the course our government, the Democrats, and their media allies want to take. They are fully prepared to disenfranchise native born Americans and naturalized Americans to attain and hold power. That is a recipe' for revolution.
I hope and pray it doesn't come to that. But I fear that's where it is going.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
09:13 AM
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The Father of Lies
Timothy Birdnow
If anyone still believes the media isn't in the tank for Democrats and do not lie they are deluding themselves. Here's the proof.
In an interview with Tucker Carlson Donald Trump said that Liz Chaney is a radical war hawk and expressed his doubts about her committment if she were under fire:
"She's a radiccal war hawk and a very stupid person.
Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Let’s see how she feels about it You know, when the guns are trained on her face.
You know, they are all war hawks when they are sitting in Washington in a nice building"
But that's not what the media reported. They cut out the beginning and the end and posted:
"Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Let’s see how she feels about it You know, when the guns are trained on her face."
And this, the media screamed, showed Trump was a fascist because he was threatening Chaney, threatening to use a firing squad on her (since often firing squads have nine members).
In fact, it got so bad the Democrat Attorney General of Arizona is opening an investigation to charge Trump with threatening a public official.
But it's all a lie, a twisting of Trump's words by taking him out of context.
The media doesn't even pretend to be neutral any longer, except when it's America that is under attack - then they suddenly find their neutrality and in the end side with the enemy.
The media is full of traitors. Hopefully most Americans now understand that they are liars and the father of lies.
If anyone still believes the media isn't in the tank for Democrats and do not lie they are deluding themselves. Here's the proof.
In an interview with Tucker Carlson Donald Trump said that Liz Chaney is a radical war hawk and expressed his doubts about her committment if she were under fire:
"She's a radiccal war hawk and a very stupid person.
Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Let’s see how she feels about it You know, when the guns are trained on her face.
You know, they are all war hawks when they are sitting in Washington in a nice building"
But that's not what the media reported. They cut out the beginning and the end and posted:
"Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Let’s see how she feels about it You know, when the guns are trained on her face."
And this, the media screamed, showed Trump was a fascist because he was threatening Chaney, threatening to use a firing squad on her (since often firing squads have nine members).
In fact, it got so bad the Democrat Attorney General of Arizona is opening an investigation to charge Trump with threatening a public official.
But it's all a lie, a twisting of Trump's words by taking him out of context.
The media doesn't even pretend to be neutral any longer, except when it's America that is under attack - then they suddenly find their neutrality and in the end side with the enemy.
The media is full of traitors. Hopefully most Americans now understand that they are liars and the father of lies.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
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November 01, 2024
FBI Referral Over Mike Lindell
Timothy Birdnow
This is ridiculous; the FBI is investigating Mike "My Pillow" Lindell and an organization he founded to help secure the vote because of an e-mail they sent out to poll supervisors asking about their cyber-security and requesting basic information (like their mailing addresses).
They are doing this based on "threats to poll workers" and "white powder" that was allegedly sent out. But who did all that? Almost always it was Leftists and Democrats. There are no documented cases of Trump supporters doing any of these things.
This is just another attempt to silence dissent by the government.
There is nothing illegal in what Lindell's group did, nor is there any compulsion by the group to make anyone respond. It's like getting an "enlarge your penis" pop-up on your computer; you don't click on it unless you are either an idiot or really, really sad about your lilliputian equipment.
FTA:
more...
This is ridiculous; the FBI is investigating Mike "My Pillow" Lindell and an organization he founded to help secure the vote because of an e-mail they sent out to poll supervisors asking about their cyber-security and requesting basic information (like their mailing addresses).
They are doing this based on "threats to poll workers" and "white powder" that was allegedly sent out. But who did all that? Almost always it was Leftists and Democrats. There are no documented cases of Trump supporters doing any of these things.
This is just another attempt to silence dissent by the government.
There is nothing illegal in what Lindell's group did, nor is there any compulsion by the group to make anyone respond. It's like getting an "enlarge your penis" pop-up on your computer; you don't click on it unless you are either an idiot or really, really sad about your lilliputian equipment.
FTA:
more...
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