September 19, 2024

Trump Winning

Timothy Birdnow

Trump is winning by 2%, according to Rasmussen.

FTA:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided.

1* If the 2024 election were between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

What isn't said is how Trump is doing in the battleground states. It appears he's doing quite well.

I think barring massive fraud (likely) and a nasty October Surprise Trump will win this thing. If he lives; his health is precarious, I am given to understand.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 12:47 PM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 137 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Wednesday night Trump was a guest -- and a big hit -- on Greg Gutfeld's evening TV show on Fox. Thursday the gang was discussing how polling works, and as so often is the case, Tyrus was the smart one. He pointed out that a lot of women are supporting the Cacklebunny because, well, they're women, and if a pollster asks a man for his opinion while the woman is present, if he wants to continue to enjoy being her man, he's going to say "Oh, yeah, Kamala, of course" no matter what he really thinks -- which is probably "Trump all the way." (I'm paraphrasing here -- Tyrus did it better, of course.)

Don't believe the polls.

Posted by: Dana Mathewson at September 19, 2024 11:47 PM (OEO4Q)

2 Sortt of a version of the Wilder Effect Dana. People telling pollsterswhat they think the pollsters want to hear so as not to be ill-thought-of.

I have no doubt that is true.

I also have no doubt they are oversampling Democrats, which they always do.

Polls are not to ascertain what the public thinks in our modern era so much as to lead public opinion, create a bandwagon. We've seen it time and again, the Democrat takes a big lead and the race tightens to a photo finish at the very end (when the pollsters have to save their reputations.)

Of course those polls take a long time too and Democrats usually are the ones not at work making a living.

At any rate Trump was always behind in the polls and actually was doing much better than predicted. I think if this election is on the up and up (something that won't happen, of course) Trump would win by at least 5 points.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at September 20, 2024 07:13 AM (p7cPO)

Hide Comments | Add Comment




What colour is a green orange?




21kb generated in CPU 0.0838, elapsed 0.3326 seconds.
37 queries taking 0.3262 seconds, 165 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.
Always on Watch
The American Thinker
Bird`s Articles
Old Birdblog
Birdblog`s Literary Corner
Behind the Black Borngino Report
Canada Free Press
Common Sense and Wonder < br/ > Christian Daily Reporter
Citizens Free Press
Climatescepticsparty,,a>
_+
Daren Jonescu
Dana and Martha Music On my Mind Conservative Victory
Eco-Imperialism
Gelbspan Files Infidel Bloggers Alliance
Let the Truth be Told
Newsmax
>Numbers Watch
OANN
Real Climate Science
The Reform Club
Revolver
FTP Student Action
Veritas PAC
FunMurphys
The Galileo Movement
Intellectual Conservative
br /> Liberty Unboound
One Jerusalem
Powerline
Publius Forum
Ready Rants
The Gateway Pundit
The Jeffersonian Ideal
Thinking Democrat
Ultima Thule
Young Craig Music
Contact Tim at bgocciaatoutlook.com

Monthly Traffic

  • Pages: 71648
  • Files: 13614
  • Bytes: 3.3G
  • CPU Time: 115:41
  • Queries: 2655893

Content

  • Posts: 29288
  • Comments: 132141

Feeds


RSS 2.0 Atom 1.0