September 19, 2024

Trump Winning

Timothy Birdnow

Trump is winning by 2%, according to Rasmussen.

FTA:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided.

1* If the 2024 election were between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

What isn't said is how Trump is doing in the battleground states. It appears he's doing quite well.

I think barring massive fraud (likely) and a nasty October Surprise Trump will win this thing. If he lives; his health is precarious, I am given to understand.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 12:47 PM | Comments (5) | Add Comment
Post contains 137 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Wednesday night Trump was a guest -- and a big hit -- on Greg Gutfeld's evening TV show on Fox. Thursday the gang was discussing how polling works, and as so often is the case, Tyrus was the smart one. He pointed out that a lot of women are supporting the Cacklebunny because, well, they're women, and if a pollster asks a man for his opinion while the woman is present, if he wants to continue to enjoy being her man, he's going to say "Oh, yeah, Kamala, of course" no matter what he really thinks -- which is probably "Trump all the way." (I'm paraphrasing here -- Tyrus did it better, of course.)

Don't believe the polls.

Posted by: Dana Mathewson at September 19, 2024 11:47 PM (OEO4Q)

2 Sortt of a version of the Wilder Effect Dana. People telling pollsterswhat they think the pollsters want to hear so as not to be ill-thought-of.

I have no doubt that is true.

I also have no doubt they are oversampling Democrats, which they always do.

Polls are not to ascertain what the public thinks in our modern era so much as to lead public opinion, create a bandwagon. We've seen it time and again, the Democrat takes a big lead and the race tightens to a photo finish at the very end (when the pollsters have to save their reputations.)

Of course those polls take a long time too and Democrats usually are the ones not at work making a living.

At any rate Trump was always behind in the polls and actually was doing much better than predicted. I think if this election is on the up and up (something that won't happen, of course) Trump would win by at least 5 points.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at September 20, 2024 07:13 AM (p7cPO)

3 Well, Trump was winning in 2020; that's why they shut voting off at night and "manufactured" all those votes for Slow-Joe that suddenly lit up the Democrat side when they started things up the next day.


How lovely it was back in the days when all voting, and counting, was completed before midnight on Election Day!

Posted by: Dana Mathewson at September 20, 2024 11:24 PM (usxcn)

4 Yep Dana. I remember how they pulled it. The GOP was woefully underprepared (by design I suspect). Now with Trump's niece as the GOP Chair, I hope they are better prepared for the massive fraud we are going to witness.

of course the Donkeys will have a new way to cheat and we'll be fighting the way they did it in 2020.

Now the Democrats can choose the time, place, and means of attack and we have to react to that. It's why Patton hated fixed fortifications; the attacker has all the power on his side.

We have to win so big they can't steal it. Given the insanity of so many Americans these days  I don't know that we can get that sort of majority. There are idiots who would vote for Satan himself if he had a D behind his name.

Yeah; it was a good back in the day when we just had an election day and it was over by midnight. Back when elections were generally honest.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at September 21, 2024 08:25 AM (LKupt)

5 You're almost right. Democrats often DO vote for Satan, who always has a D after his name, but that's because they can't recognize him; he's successfully convinced them he doesn't exist.

Posted by: Dana Mathewson at September 22, 2024 11:30 PM (P/t0H)

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