Bryan Alexander

So, I was watching an officer in the Austrian Army (Bundesheer), who teaches at the Austrian war college, give an analysis of what's going on in Ukraine right now. Although the Russians suffered something like 25% casualties from their original invasion force of 83 combat battalions, including an estimated 20,000+ casualties, they have been able to send enough reinforcements that their total combat strength is now up to 103 battalions. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians have been worn down from 81 battalions to about 60. Reportedly, they are sending recruits with only a couple of weeks of training straight to the front—which is a recipe for defeat. (The German Luftwaffe did the same thing with fighter pilots in the last couple of years of WWII, with equally disastrous results.) Predictably, casualties among these replacements have been high. Russia's new strategy of grinding away with massed artillery is working, and Ukraine is now losing this war. Some people don't seem to care, but it will have GRAVE consequences for Western Europe AND the United States if Russia wins. Russia already controls something like 50% of Ukraine's manufacturing base, and at least that much of their wheat-growing regions. Ukraine is also RICH in natural gas, oil reserves, and strategic metals like titanium—and wheat. If Russia succeeds in gaining control of all, or even most of Ukraine, they will have an even bigger lock on world wheat production, oil and natural gas, and other resources. They are already using oil and natural gas as a strategic weapon against Western Europe. Biden, incompetent buffoon that he is, as usual, is making a mess of things, having done just enough to make it LOOK LIKE he's "doing stuff."

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 11:25 AM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
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