May 30, 2024
The head of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve says immigration is driving high interest rates and high housing costs and keeping inflation up.
"[If the] dramatic increase in immigration were to be sustained, I think it would have a meaningful imprint on the economy,’ Kashkari told the Telegraph.
"Housing is traditionally the most interest-rate sensitive sector of the economy. And it has shown remarkable resilience and even some evidence that new leases are ticking back up,” Kashkari said. "That’s also particularly concerning because when we do the math, it takes a year or more for new leases to translate into the actual measured inflation number. And if new leases are now ticking back up, that’s particularly concerning.”
Kashkari argued that the U.S. had under-built homes in the decade that followed the financial crisis and the bursting of the mortgage bubble, creating a shortage of homes. At the same time, there has been increased demand for housing after the pandemic.
"And then we have a big surge in immigration in the last few years. They obviously need a place to live. All of these factors could be propping up demand for housing,” Kashkari added.
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