May 16, 2020

China on the Brink of War?

Timothy Birdnow

I have always believed China posed an existential threat to the United States. I have further believed China is a paper tiger, one we largely created as part of terrible geopolitical and economic policy. And I've always believed China was going to attack us at some point.

Seems William L. Gensert agrees.

From his American Thinker article:

I believe that China's actions today may be telegraphing an intent we are choosing to ignore.They show all the signs of a nation preparing to attack America.China seeks a bespoke world run by China with "Chinese characteristics" — a dream that under Trump was drifting away.

China appears to be laying the groundwork for a "justified" attack on the United States, perhaps in the South China Sea or perhaps elsewhere.It will be a military attack, not an act of terrorism, and the excuse will be America's deliberate transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan.

When the Chinese became accusatory, it's telling that they didn't blame the CIA, always the usual suspect.No, they blamed it on American soldiers.

American military deliberately infecting China is an act of war worthy of a military response.

In October, the 2019 World Military Games were held in Wuhan.Chinese media triumphantly trumpeted the Americans winning just eight medals, while China won 239.It was then that we supposedly infected Wuhan citizens with the "American virus."

China is now defenestrating foreign media, sending home reporters from the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, and Washington Post at just the opportune moment.No nation wants journalists around when it is planning a sneak attack.

And with its economy ravaged by Trump's trade war and the virus shutdown, and now back at full production, while America's economy is in total shutdown and in the grip of an active pandemic, there will never be a better time to attack.

[...]

China is facing a demographic time bomb and has ten years to rewrite the facts on the ground.It is facing a quandary of epic proportions.It won't be long before it has the oldest population on the planet.Those people will be old before they are rich.

China's business model is existentially flawed.It has extraordinary debt that is multiples of its GDP, having grown exponentially through government funding of empty cities, military buildup, high-speed rail to nowhere, a Belt and Road initiative that's becoming obvious to partner countries as a means of colonialist extortion, and various other nonproductive government lending to CCP members.Its vaunted reserves will soon disappear.

China is also a nation, thanks to the "one child" initiative, that has hundreds of millions of young men with no prospect of marriage.Hundreds of millions of "incel" men make for either an angry and expendable fighting force or a bane upon society.

China is on the clock.Today, it is formidable, with a sophisticated and capable military.The Chinese may be able to win a confrontation, even a war, with the United States.Under Obama's policy of surrender, China had a chance of overtaking us economically while growing its military until its primacy was a fait accompli.But Trump killed that dream with his trade war, exposing the inherent weaknesses of the Chinese economy.And should the aftermath of the pandemic play out without interference, China's position in the world will be irreparably damaged.

What does China have to lose?

Do read the entire article. I've watched the situation in China for years and fully believe the ruling Communists are reaching a point where they either have to put up or shut up. They have no intention of shutting up.

This was SUPPOSED to be the Chinese century. They aren't going to let that go without a fight.


Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:57 AM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 610 words, total size 5 kb.

1  I think the author is missing some facts. China doesnt have a navy large enough to sustain an attack on the US. Besides China to deal with excess population will do what it does, eliminate them in another "cultural revolution". Trump is a speed bump nothing more. They have the dems and our so called media in their pockets. I believe they think like Khrushchev," You Americans are so gullible. No, you won't accept communism outright, but we'll keep feeding you small doses of socialism until you'll finally wake up and find you already have communism. We won't have to fight you. We'll so weaken your economy until you'll fall like overripe fruit into our hands." And the covid 19 is proving him right.

Posted by: Mike at May 16, 2020 02:08 PM (rnGUM)

2 The Chinese military philosopher Sun Tzu said that the unfought victory is the acme of skill. Mike, you may be right about that; the Chinese aren't fighting us, we're fighting us - and losing that war.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at May 17, 2020 06:51 AM (YVmKf)

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