October 10, 2024
A fast coronal mass ejection (CME) erupted from the Sun the evening of 8 October 2024, and is likely to arrive at Earth on 10-11 October. This CME has been analyzed, and speed estimates are 1200 to 1300 km/s. There is potential to reach G4 (Severe) upon arrival of this CME and throughout its passage.
While the solar flare was an X1.8, lower than the two previous flares, the associated CME was fast and considerably more energetic. We won't know the characteristics of the CME until it reaches the DSCOVR and ACE satellites, approximately 1 million miles from Earth.
If it reaches a G4 (severe) geomagnetic storm as expected, auroras may be seen as far south as Northern California and Louisiana -- much further south than normal.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
08:49 AM
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