April 11, 2021

Arguing with Idiots Covid Edition Continued

Timothy Birdnow

In a Facebook argument I and James Doogue tangle with a guy who wants to hide under his bed from Covid. He is bitterly angry at Sweden for showing his pet idea up. Here is the thread:

Lance says:

In Sweden where the never logical, sensible or functional "protect the elderly and medically vulnerable" was attempted as a human sacrifice avoidance of reality, road traffic fatalities have been around 300 a year. Much lower in recent years. Covid fatalities for a little over a year that the pandemic has been raging there. 13621. The covid death toll there in the decade age range 50 to 59 alone exceeds the average road toll.
https:// www.statista.com /statistics/ 438009/ number-of-road-d eaths-in-sweden /

I rebut:

Bear in mind Sweden is the most populous of the Scandanavian countries and so should be more prone to infection. And Sweden has a large immigrant population, and Italy was a top vacation spot for Swedes. These all contirbuted to higher numbers than Norway or Denmark. And at what point do we consider ourselves safe? If we were to live in a bubble we'd be quite safe - untiil an auto-immune disorder got us. The fact is we can either live our lives or hide under our beds. The Swedes chose to live. I for one would rather die on my feet than live on my knees.

Lance retorts:

Timothy BirdnowThat is a dreamlike reversal of reality. Sweden hid under the bed and cowered away from reality by failing to lock out and fight off the disease. As a result they have severe permanent restrictions and a growing death toll in each successive seasonal wave.
Countries that defiantly fought it off can wait for those poor panicked lab rats in such places to show how each vaccination "herd immunity" attempt like Sweden's "natural" human sacrifice fails.
This while places that did fight it off have near normal freedoms most of the time and a growing list of disease free destinations.
https:// www.traveller.co m.au/ new-zealand-trav el-bubble-looph ole-means-austr alians-can-trav el-to-other-cou ntries-via-nz-h 1uzn7


Lance Pidgeon you say "Sweden hid under the bed and cowered away from reality by failing to lock out and fight off the disease. " How, pray tell, does hiding away and wearing masks and the like FIGHT a disease? It doesn't. It's hiding from it. The reality is this disease had to run it's course. We may it worse by stretching it out by trying to hide from it. Sweden did the logical thing; we were cowards and paid for it.

Lance, the Swedish approach has been no worse than most of Europe that locked down. You cannot prove otherwise. You are arguing without any evidence for a bad policy that has hurt so many people in other ways - through economic damage, through suicide and depression, etc. The cure was worse than the disease. We would have achieved herd immunity in much of the world if we hadn't locked \down.

"As a result they have severe permanent restrictions and a growing death toll in each successive seasonal wave."

What proof do you have of that assertion? EVERYONE has rising death tolls in seasonal waves; it's why they are called seasonal waves. Permanent restrictions? They still have fewer restrictions than do we.

"Countries that defiantly fought it off can wait for those poor panicked lab rats in such places to show how each vaccination "herd immunity" attempt like Sweden's "natural" human sacrifice fails."

Uh, Lance, they didn't "fight it off". All they did was hide from it and stretch it out. You are falling for the mistake of bad semantics. There is no "fighting off" a virus. You either achieve herd immunity or you don't. It can be helped along with a vaccine, and there are of course palliatives that make the disease less lethal, but you don't fight it off. Or do you suggest Joe Biden put on boxing gloves and go ten rounds with it? The numbers disprove your assertion at any rate, as, say, the UK, which has had a robust pugilistic contest with the virus, is doing no better and in fact is now doing far worse than the Swedes.

New Zealand, being a rather isolated island, is a poor example, btw. OF COURSE with heavy travel resetrictions they were able to slow the virus. But that doesn't mean they aren't primed for a return.

Not sure how these other countries have more freedoms than does Sweden at present.

Your logic is akin to claiming China has a better system than the rest of us because they didn't have to sacrifice any freedoms; they already didn't have them.

Lance we have never done such a crazy, freedom destroying thing as this and in the past we've done fine. We had three pandemics in the 20th century and did not stop the engine of the world for them. The Spanish Flu was far, far worse, and we did have some lockdowns locally. I live in St. Louis, a town that was decimated by the Spanish Flu, and they never fully locked down. There are pictures from a baseball game of people in the stands during the pandemic. We had two other pandemics, one in 1957 and in '68 and we didn't do this. Why not? Because they knew this wouldn't work to prevent anything. It was done now for a multiplicity of reasons of which the public health was only a part. There were serious political interests involved. There was a lot of money to be made. And so these international organizations promoted the idea over the original opposition of the CDC and the good Dr. Fauci, who saw which way the wind was blowing and jumped aboard. It never had any real medical value.

Again, if you want to hide under your bed in fear it is your right, but you should not demand that I or anyone else do so to give succour to your own phobias. The Swedes didn't do that.

And remember how this started; they said "three weeks" to "flatten the curve" so the medical community could have time to get ready. It was never said that this would "fight the virus" and we would be doing it a year later. It was classic bait-and-swtich. At the time they all admitted it was not going to stop anything, just prolongue it.

Which is I am confident what it has done - prolongued something that should have been well over by now.

James Doogue responds:

James Doogue" I'm more of the 'give me freedom or give me death' type of guy." Well go. Put your words into action and travel. I have shown you how in the linked reply to Timothy.
Looking forward to your post card reports from Brazil, Sweden and Poland. Bear in mind the problems are just in the very early phase of beginning. So "It didn't work out as well for Sweden as I had expected," should be: It looks like it is getting bad in Sweden.
"Elimination was never going to work..." No local deaths at all this year in Australia and you say that?
It has already worked and is still working. This claim is like riding in an airplane while declaring they won't ever fly.
"Why lock down the young and the healthy when they are at very small risk of suffering severe illness or death?" Ask me again when you are confident this EuroMOMO line has peaked for the last time.

Dennis O'Brien adds:

James DoogueYes, as you point out Sweden early on made some mistakes which boosted the Covid infections and deaths (they owned up to this quickly) but their figures are well below many of the European countries which had hard lockdowns. They are somewhere near the middle. It is therefore difficult to see how it can be argued logically that mandatory "hard" measures are in any way effective. Some are just blind to facts when the facts don't suit the position they have taken.


Lance retorts:

Dennis O'Brien"It is therefore difficult to see how it can be argued logically that mandatory "hard" measures are in any way effective." They are simply not effective if used for supression. Supression does not work because it only takes one active case to quickly multiply out to the whole planet. If used for elimination, that is to clear a quarantined area of every last active case they have shown success. Success is even hard to argue against.

James Doogue responds:

Lance, well that's one interpretation.
Not one most Swedes would agree with I think. Swedes tend to refer to theirs as a model of individual responsibility.


Lance, I know you will never agree. I know you like the hard lock down model. I consider that selfish. If we did not have a compulsory lockdown models, there's nothing stopping people from personally locking down, never going out, ordering everything to be left at the front door etc.

Why do people who don't care their freedoms have been dramatically and unfairly and unreasonably restricted, want to impose their desire in others so strongly?

You keep going on about all the deaths everywhere, but the fact is, most are elderly or have significant health issues because they are obese, smokers, drinkers or even have co-morbidities which they didn't contribute to.

If you aren't in that category, why should you not be allowed to decide what level of precaution you will take yourself from self isolation, ICD sanitary solutions, triple masking, Hazmat suits or whatever. What is it about you wanting to compel everyone to the misery of hard lock-downs whether they need it or not.

As far as third world countries go where people are still flying of tetanus, and who can't afford to go without a day's pay because the choice then is covid-19 or starve, it's no justification for putting healthy Australians in compulsory hard lockdown.

Sweden do not, and will not have any more severe lock-downs and restrictions than any other country as a result of their previous approach. You've mentioned that before, it's just not so.

You also keep skating over the fact of the high average age of Covid-19 deaths which means that in reality, even if they wouldn't have died when they did had it not been for Covid-19, on average, they would have died soonish. Compared to the lifelong harm being caused to much younger people because of the lock-downs.

Remember, with no compulsory lock-downs, there's nothing to stop people choosing the most risk averse approach to the disease. But compulsory lock-downs take that choice away.

You might also recall that I accepted a lockdown approach to 'flatten the curve' and stop the health services from being overwhelmed. That's for the benefit of everyone, whether fit and healthy, and for the economy. But to enter a lock-down without an exit strategy, other than fingers crossed on a vaccine, is not good government, it's pathetic.

Where would that strategy be now if there was no vaccine? Yet you argue that was the sensible approach. Perhaps every country could become a hermit kingdom?
Like · React · More · 2 hours ago

James Doogue

Lance, unless there is never a safe and effective vaccine that happens along. Though you seem to think the virus just disappears in the unlikely event that you could get every country to maintain their hard lock-downs.


Tim responds:

Lance Pidgeon you say:

"Supression does not work because it only takes one active case to quickly multiply out to the whole planet. If used for elimination, that is to clear a quarantined area of every last active case they have shown success"

What evidence do you have? That a heavily infected area had a big drop in numbers? That is just as likely a result of so many people catching it and getting over it Lance. I don't think you can logically support that assertion.

James Doogue chimes in:

The virus can logically be defeated by an effective vaccine. That vaccine was never guaranteed.

The vaccine is also totally unnecessary to a large section of the population who will have little or no symptoms from catching Covid-19.

That's why an endless hard lock-down for all, is a non-strategy because the only way out of lockdown is a vaccine which may never have come. It was also a deprivation of liberty for many, and destroyed lives and livelihoods unnecessarily.

Sure Sweden and most of the world reacted too slowly to properly protect the elderly and medically vulnerable and help then safely self isolate, or be protected in aged care facilities.

That of course helped panic people into accepting restrictions on their freedoms which would never have been given up is the bodies of the elderly hadn't been mounting up.

Remember back then how the politicians used the panic to lie to the population and tell us everyone was equally at risk?

That was the crap they spewed out to enforce lock-downs. People know that isn't true now because most people around the world have been exposed to enough people who have actually tested positive to the virus who weren't elderly or have significant co-morbidities,
and who suffered little or no symptoms.

I think you and I will always disagree on this issue Lance Pidgeon. I'm a libertarian, I have seen too much government lying on this matter. I'm pleased the vaccine development appears to have been successful, but if it hadn't been, then New Zealand, Australia, and all the hard lock-down places in the world would have been left up the creek without a paddle, their economies destroyed, their population's morale devastated. Lock-downs weren't leadership it was fascism.

Maybe they knew a vaccine was going to be ready all along? That would make the strategy logical.


Tim adds:

James Doogue you say "Sure Sweden and most of the world reacted too slowly to properly protect the elderly and medically vulnerable and help then safely self isolate, or be protected in aged care facilities." That is another point; Sweden has one of the highest nursing home populations in Europe. (So did Italy, which was badly hit.) That MUST be taken into account when discussing high early numbers in Sweden. Also, your point about being libertarian and this is a matter of freedom is a good one; nobody wants to discuss the big picture here, which is the purpose of government and the roll of the state versus the individual. What is the purpose of government? To ultimately protect the individual so he or she may live their lives. This does give a role to helping protect against diseases, but not unlimited authority to lock everyone up to so protect. The point of the state having this power is so that everyone may live their normal lives. If the state asks for some temporary suspension of normal lives it must have a very strong justification, and an end game. If it does not it is engaging in despotism. People have a right to live their lives except under exraordinary circumstances. You may say this is extraordinary. Fine. We did the lockdown thing and it largely made little difference. Sweden DIDN'T do the lockdown thing and they are no worse off. In light of this fact the government mandates must be removed, as they were solely for the purpose of protecting the bulk of society. That the authorities are desperate to NOT remove them shows this was not really about the public welfare so much as about power and control

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 06:36 AM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
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Posted by: william hill tv at April 18, 2021 03:14 PM (/Arft)

2 In a Facebook argument I and James Doogue tangle with a guy who wants to hide under his bed from Covid. He is bitterly angry at Sweden for showing his pet idea up. Here is the thread:

Posted by: Replica Watches at November 28, 2023 02:19 AM (MCuaA)

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