This from Joseph Bast:

Death estimates are now in the range of a typical flu season. "Protests have broken out across the country in recent days over the lockdown strategy, with demonstrators in states like Minnesota and Michigan turning out to push back against what they see as an overreach from their state governments. They have seen the backing of President Trump who has tweeted out calls to "liberate" those states.”

Top Coronavirus Model Significantly Lowers Estimates of U.S. Deaths in New Projection

From the article:

The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) lowered its projectionof total deaths from 68,841 (with an estimaterange of 30,188 to 175,965) to just over 60,308 (with an estimate range of 34,063 to 140,381) in an update published Friday.

The institute said that change was partially driven by both higher estimates in states like New York and New Jersey, and lower projections in states like Massachusetts, Connecticut, Georgia and Florida.

"By incorporating the trend in cases alongside COVID-19 deaths in our model, many locations are now predicted to have longer peaks and are taking longer to move down the epidemic curve to zero deaths,” a statement from the institute said. "Subsequently, these places now have higher projections for cumulative COVID-19 deaths through the first wave.”

The projection is significantly lower than prior estimates from the IHME, which last month was predicting 84,000 deaths from the virus.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:06 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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