February 02, 2019
A Schultz run could be Trouble for Trump
Timothy Birdnow
Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz is thinking of running for President as an independent, and the Democrats are in full panic, fearing he will split the party vote and hand Trump re-election.
At Fox News the pundit John Fund had this to say:
Schultz is getting into the race because he is worried about the leftward, lunatic drift of the Democratic Party. Schultz would be called a flaming liberal in any other era, but in this day and age he is a centrist, and he wants to offer a more moderate vision for disaffected democrats.
Which brings me to my point; everyone is assuming Schultz' candidacy will hurt Democrats, but I suspect it will hurt Donald Trump more. How did Trump win in 2016? He won by enticing DEMOCRAT voters to cross the aisle and vote for him. HE was the outsider listening to the old blue collar Democrats when their former party dismissed them as "old white guys" and the GOP equally ignored their wants (like a border wall.) It was Trump's victories in states like Wisconsin - solidly Democratic - that pushed him over the top.
So what happens if Schultz wins this group? Even a small defection could well mean Trump loses in key states, states he has to win.
Marc A.Thiessen makes the obvious point:
Granted, Thiessen, a RINO Republican who used to write speeches for Bush and now writes for the Washington Post, accuses "both sides" of "throwing red meat to their radical bases". Huh? Not sure how much "red meat" we've gotten from the GOP (outside of Trump) and certainly we are hardly a "radical Base" unless enforcing laws, limiting government spending, and other prudent actions that were universally supported through our whole history is somehow "radical". But Thiessen has a point, a good one, in that the middle is now called the Right, and the liberals are now called the center. The end results is the old white union worker, the minor civil servant, the working blacks and others who once formed the backbone of the Democratic Party are now marginalized, and they seek a sympathetic ear. Conditioned all their lives to hate Republicans, and having no good reason to change that attitude now (Republicans can rightly be characterized as a nest-feathering enterprise outside of a few) they embraced Trump in the last election. Will they stick with Trump? A Schultz candidacy could capture a lot of these people, who have not changed in their beliefs but rather have stayed true to themselves while the party they had supported all those years has turned into a marxist entity.
These votes now have only one place to go, but if Schultz gives them an option...
Schultz's candidacy could be disastrous for Trump inn the next election.
Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz is thinking of running for President as an independent, and the Democrats are in full panic, fearing he will split the party vote and hand Trump re-election.
At Fox News the pundit John Fund had this to say:
Mike Allen, the well-wired reporter for Axios, says Democrats are beyond being furious at Howard Schultz, the former CEO of Starbucks. Allen is "hearing threats of boycotts and social isolation, attacks on Starbucks, and emotional, insistent lobbying of his advisers.â€
The anti-Trump talking heads and liberal consultants are terrified at the mere thought that an "independent centrist†presidential candidate like Schultz would draw some votes from a liberal Democratic nominee running against President Trump in 2020.
Democrats claim that third party candidates such as Ross Perot and Ralph Nader have swung elections in the past.
The anti-Trump talking heads and liberal consultants are terrified at the mere thought that an "independent centrist†presidential candidate like Schultz would draw some votes from a liberal Democratic nominee running against President Trump in 2020.
Democrats claim that third party candidates such as Ross Perot and Ralph Nader have swung elections in the past.
Schultz is getting into the race because he is worried about the leftward, lunatic drift of the Democratic Party. Schultz would be called a flaming liberal in any other era, but in this day and age he is a centrist, and he wants to offer a more moderate vision for disaffected democrats.
Which brings me to my point; everyone is assuming Schultz' candidacy will hurt Democrats, but I suspect it will hurt Donald Trump more. How did Trump win in 2016? He won by enticing DEMOCRAT voters to cross the aisle and vote for him. HE was the outsider listening to the old blue collar Democrats when their former party dismissed them as "old white guys" and the GOP equally ignored their wants (like a border wall.) It was Trump's victories in states like Wisconsin - solidly Democratic - that pushed him over the top.
So what happens if Schultz wins this group? Even a small defection could well mean Trump loses in key states, states he has to win.
Marc A.Thiessen makes the obvious point:
Indeed, the neosocialist turn national Democrats have taken is precisely why Schultz decided to run as an independent. He calculated that he could not win the Democratic nomination running as a conventional, centrist Democrat. "I no longer feel affiliated with the Democrats] because I don't know their views represent the majority of Americans," he says.
Schultz is right. In fact, a recent Pew Research poll found that 53 percent of Democrats want the party to move in a more moderate direction, not embrace the radical policies of Ocasio-Cortez. That is precisely what the party needs to do if it wants to beat President Trump. Democrats should be trying to win back the millions of once-reliable Democratic voters who twice cast their ballots for Barack Obama but switched to Trump in 2016.
Schultz is right. In fact, a recent Pew Research poll found that 53 percent of Democrats want the party to move in a more moderate direction, not embrace the radical policies of Ocasio-Cortez. That is precisely what the party needs to do if it wants to beat President Trump. Democrats should be trying to win back the millions of once-reliable Democratic voters who twice cast their ballots for Barack Obama but switched to Trump in 2016.
Granted, Thiessen, a RINO Republican who used to write speeches for Bush and now writes for the Washington Post, accuses "both sides" of "throwing red meat to their radical bases". Huh? Not sure how much "red meat" we've gotten from the GOP (outside of Trump) and certainly we are hardly a "radical Base" unless enforcing laws, limiting government spending, and other prudent actions that were universally supported through our whole history is somehow "radical". But Thiessen has a point, a good one, in that the middle is now called the Right, and the liberals are now called the center. The end results is the old white union worker, the minor civil servant, the working blacks and others who once formed the backbone of the Democratic Party are now marginalized, and they seek a sympathetic ear. Conditioned all their lives to hate Republicans, and having no good reason to change that attitude now (Republicans can rightly be characterized as a nest-feathering enterprise outside of a few) they embraced Trump in the last election. Will they stick with Trump? A Schultz candidacy could capture a lot of these people, who have not changed in their beliefs but rather have stayed true to themselves while the party they had supported all those years has turned into a marxist entity.
These votes now have only one place to go, but if Schultz gives them an option...
Schultz's candidacy could be disastrous for Trump inn the next election.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
10:22 AM
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