December 27, 2023

Chicken v. Egg

Lawrence Fornier

Talk about a gorgeous illustration of the "Chicken vs the Egg" relationship between our Sun and one of the most powerful global climate modulators.

In this reconstruction of the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) we see clear evidence of the superposition of the 11ish year solar cycle and the 60 to 70 year solar cycle at work over the past 170 years. The rising baseline is said to be evidence of anthropogenic influence, while others suggest that it is evidence of longer period cycles (i.e., 180, 360 or 1000 years) at work.

The astronomical processes associated with the variable TSI is said to be due to complex tidal forces at work in the solar system, where the planets induce gradual inversions in the Sun`s internal magnetic dynamo and in turn the magentosphere of the entire solar system.

As the AMO is associated with the variable Gulf Stream, and in particular the North Atlantic Deep Water formation current and the global oceanic overturning cycle, it makes sense that the massive interia of the 1.4 billion cubic kilometers of sea water would take time to respond to variable solar dynamics.

Some view this lagging relationship akin to the response of a massive flywheel to an variable externally applied torque.

I will attach below in the comment section additional references that deal with these broadly known processes.

May be an image of text that says 'Annual Averaged Time Series of the Undetrended North Atlantic Multidecadal Sea Surface Temperature (AMO) versus the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) System Research Laboratory 21.4 ( 21.2 Lurnt 21.0 20.8 turct at Saa 20.6 20.4 1.5 0.5 (ưાư) -0.5 Almmy TS -2 20.2 3 1852 1862 1872 1882 1892 1902 1912 1922 1932 1942 1952 1962 1972 1982 1992 2002 2012 2022 AMO t TSI Connolly -2.5 Dr. Joseph Fournier MDPI Climate,'

Here is a post and embedded link to a study that shows that oceanic over turning in the North Atlantic is driven by a 60 to 70 year cycle.

Paper: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2015GL065364

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joseph-fournier-7077087_oceans-atmosphere-science-activity-7122598064556556288-VGuz?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

Here is a post and embedded link that makes use of complex solar harmonics and the concept of the ocean overturning process to a flywheel.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joseph-fournier-7077087_meteorology-earthobservation-earthscience-activity-7112836950209818624-2frj?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 12:57 PM | Comments (1) | Add Comment
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Posted by: Mike Rooney at April 02, 2024 02:16 AM (6hGXl)

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