February 15, 2021
More sea level bunkum with b.s. modeling
This from Richard Cronin:
More sea level bunkum with b.s. modeling.
90 % confidence level isn’t even two standard deviations (2 Sigma). Also, for a linked chain of multiple, related events, the standard deviation of the overall system is obtained by multiplying the standard deviations together. In short order, the confidence in the entire system analysis degrades to near zero.
https://sealevel.nasa.gov/understanding-sea-level/by-the-numbers
More sea level bunkum with b.s. modeling.
"The scientists found that the trends of the AR5 and SROCC sea level projections under three different scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions "agree well with satellite and tide-gauge observations over the common period 2007–2018, within the 90 percent confidence level."
90 % confidence level isn’t even two standard deviations (2 Sigma). Also, for a linked chain of multiple, related events, the standard deviation of the overall system is obtained by multiplying the standard deviations together. In short order, the confidence in the entire system analysis degrades to near zero.
https://sealevel.nasa.gov/understanding-sea-level/by-the-numbers
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