April 24, 2020

Immigration at Core of Swedish Numbers

Timothy Birdnow

More on the Swedish Experiment and why Sweden is where it is.

From the Conservative HQ article:

At first glance, that does look pretty "grim” for Sweden, but there are differences in how each nation reports deaths. Johan Norberg, a Swedish scholar working at the Cato Institute in Washington, D.C., explains one big difference:

The truth is that Sweden is somewhere in the European middle when it comes to deaths per capita, which in itself is interesting. We are outliers in terms of policy, but not in terms of outcomes.

There are also reasons to think that Sweden is doing better than these comparisons suggest. Many countries don’t count COVID-19 deaths outside of hospitals. When people die at home, in nursing homes, or in prisons, they don’t show up in the coronavirus death count.

In the Stockholm region of Sweden, 42 percent of deaths took place in nursing homes for the elderly. In many countries, and some U.S. states, those deaths would not show up in the data.

This has a major effect on where you are compared to other countries….

Also:

Sweden reports the number of people who die with COVID-19, not of COVID-19.

Even in a culturally and geographically similar country like Norway—celebrated for its low death rate—they do things differently. The Norwegians only count something as a COVID-19 death if a doctor concludes that someone was killed by the disease and decides to report it to the country’s public health authority.

This means that we have to wait a long time for more detailed data on deaths and specifically excess deaths—those who would not have died from something else close in time—before we proclaim victory or defeat.

Norberg adds that Swedes have not died because of lack of beds or ventilators (its health system has not been overwhelmed), the average age of death has been 81 (close to Sweden’s average life expectancy), and the number of deaths has been in slight decline for more than a week.

And Then There’s the Matter of Immigration

Sweden, ever liberal in its social views, has admitted more refugees and immigrants in the past decade, as a percentage of its total population, than any other nation in Europe. And Sweden is now facing the unpleasant consequences of that policy, both in terms of the coronavirus pandemic and in other measures of social health and welfare.

Even Professor Bergstrom, in the scare article cited at the beginning of this article, admits that "immigrants from Somalia, Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan are highly overrepresented among COVID-19 deaths.”

And The U.S. Sun reports that Stockholm’s immigrant neighborhoods are "up to three times more affected than the rest of the capital.”

Swedish state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell said on April 7: "Among the Somalis the risk is almost five times higher than compared to people born in Sweden.”

Read it all at Conservative HQ.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:59 AM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 485 words, total size 4 kb.

1 Very good article. This shows why one shouldn't just look at "the numbers" for any country as a whole.

Posted by: Dana Mathewson at April 24, 2020 09:47 PM (HEmKM)

2 Yes Dana. I asked that at Whatsupwiththat a week or so ago; what value is there in "Texas" as a whole? Houston is radically different than the panhandle. There is no one thing you can call "Texas" but a bunch of different things compiled together.

I received a lot of agreement when I made that point.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at April 25, 2020 07:48 AM (VUqy6)

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