November 19, 2020
I rate this fact-check as 'Mostly False'. And 'fact-checkers'
Elon Musk took four rapid antigen Covid-19 tests. He got two positive results, and two negative results. He considered himself asymptomatic, but admitted he had 'common cold' symptems. He tweeted that there was something 'bogus' going on.
Claim:
"Something extremely
bogus is going on. Was tested for COVID four times today. Two tests
came back negative, two came back positive. Same machine, same test,
same nurse."
The Twitter fact-checkers flagged the tweet as 'Mostly False' here: https://
1. The 'fact-checkers'
They didn't disprove the fact he had 4 sample tests using approved testing kits administered by the same skilled person in the same way. Of this 4 tests, two returned a positive result, and two a negative result.
Musk's claimed was not disproved and cannot be rated as 'Mostly False', it should be rated as TRUE.
2. Instead the 'fact-checkers'
In fact the FDA say, (as shown by the fact-checkers):
'Positive results are usually highly accurate, but false positives can happen, especially in areas where very few people have the virus. Negative results may need to be confirmed with a molecular test.'
The FDA say positive results are highly accurate. They only say negative results may need to be confirmed with a molecular test.
3. Contrary to the 'fact-checkers'
'To summarise, false-positive COVID-19 swab test results might be increasingly likely in the current epidemiological
4. There are plenty of examples of proven false positive tests from RT-PCR Covid-19 tests. In Scotland for example.
'When seven staff at a Scottish football club tested positive for coronavirus, alarm bells went off. But really alarming was when six of those results turned out to be wrong. Such inaccurate tests are exaggerating the problem.'
'So, even if the test is very
accurate indeed, we could easily end up with four positive tests from
people who really do have the virus and 10 false positives from people
who don't.'
https://
And here: This research paper published in May, 'False positives in reverse transcription PCR testing for SARS-CoV-2'
'Findings: Review of external quality assessments revealed false
positive rates of 0-16.7%, with an interquartile range of 0.8-4.0%.
Such rates would have large impacts on test data when prevalence is
low. Inclusion of such rates significantly alters four published
analyses of population prevalence and asymptomatic ratio.
Interpretation:
https://
And here we have from the Centre of Evidenced Based medicine a research paper asking 'PCR positives: what do they mean?' September 17, 2020.
The researchers concluded there is no correlation between RT-PCR
positive infection 'cases' , and Covid-19 deaths. Highly suggesting
there are a large number of false positive RT-PCR test results, and
they show research papers which explain why this happens.
https://
I could go on, but the point should be clear, Facebook and other 'fact-checkers'
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
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