May 07, 2021
I've been saying this all along; we've been trying to hide from the virus which has only made it worse.
From Eric Chapman:
I dont know how variants and a forever virus is his worst nightmare if he went for short-term gains by trying to flatten the curve. Long-term, we gave the virus more time to leap person to person in the time we could've if we let the virus go free.
See, there was once a single virus cell that replicated... the variants we have now are due to leaping into weakened immune systems and giving the virus more "time" to adapt before it replicates by flattening the curve.
So, when you
flatten the curve like we did, we gave the virus a ton of time to not
only infect the weakened immunities of some, but also leap linearly.
When a virus goes person-to-perso
Contrasted with one person infecting 100s, the virus doesnt have a chance to have as many iterations before herd immunity...
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
07:59 AM
| Comments (6)
| Add Comment
Post contains 195 words, total size 1 kb.
We are, however, increasing the pandemic and promoting variants now, and we are doing it because the vaccine is permitting infection and suppressing the degree of symptoms. Milder illness promotes spread, and more victims means virus has more chance to mutate.
Number or pace of victims is irrelevant, degree of symptomology is what makes the difference. "Flattening the curve†did not affect the degree of symptomology. The vaccine does.
Posted by: Bill H at May 07, 2021 11:00 PM (/sW5m)
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at May 08, 2021 06:51 AM (LiPT6)
Mutation and spread is a matter of the degree of symptoms. If a person is showing severe illness, people who are not ill will avoid him and will not become infected by him. A virus that creates major symptoms, therefor, dies out fairly quickly.
If a person’s symptoms are not sufficiently severe to warn people off, he will infect many and the virus will spread far and wide. That virus thrives.
In neither case is time part of the equation. The difference is the nature of the symptoms caused by the virus.
Yes, we should have let it run its course. What we did caused massive social and economic loss. Quarantine means isolating those who are ill. Never in history has quarantine meant isolating those who are well so as to prevent them from becoming ill. That concept in insane. It made society vastly worse off, but it did not make the health impact worse.
What is making the health impact worse is a vaccine that is advertised as preventing infection, but does not actually do so. It allows infection and suppresses symptoms, "reduces the risk of severe illness, hospitalization and death,†creating the scenario where people who are not sick do not avoid those who are, and infection spreads at a far greater rate as a result.
Posted by: Bill H at May 08, 2021 08:22 AM (/sW5m)
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at May 08, 2021 11:06 AM (6H7jI)
Posted by: Bill H at May 08, 2021 03:31 PM (/sW5m)
So if enough people who are healthy catch it in a relatively short time the virus has nowhere to go. It chokes out. Much like a nuclear reaction, there is a critical mass. BUT if it has plenty of time, leisurely moving from one person to the next as this has (since we "flattened the curve") not only will it keep spreading but it will have the time and the pressure to mutate. That's really pretty standard epidemiology, and we've ignored it.
Other than that I agree with you. Our efforts to "fight the virus" were at best useless. We should have just let it run it's course and be done.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at May 09, 2021 06:10 AM (3N2ap)
37 queries taking 0.741 seconds, 164 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.