April 20, 2022
If history is any lesson, autocratic regimes make opportunistic alliances but ultimately turn on one another when they perceive weakness in their putative ally.
Hitler joined with the Soviets to partition Poland, then he turned on Stalin.
Napoleon joined with French anti-royalists in eliminating the last elements of the ancien régime, then declared himself as emperor.
Putin has formed an alliance of convenience with the Chinese regime, but he has also diverted significant forces to suppress a popular uprising in Kazakhstan as well as committed a far greater force to invade Ukraine. Finland and Sweden are scrambling to join NATO. The Baltic nations are already members of NATO. Putin would be stretched even thinner to divert forces to the Baltic region as well as suppress popular protests.
During the 1960s there were open hostilities between China and Russia over border incursions.
Not the best of sources, but per Wikipedia:
"Russians typically believe that Chinese come to (Eastern) Russia with the aim of permanent settlement, and even president Vladimir Putin was quoted as saying "If we do not take practical steps to advance the Far East soon, after a few decades, the Russian population will be speaking Chinese, Japanese, and Korean."
That last about the Chinese and Russia is important. The Chinese have been filtering people into Siberia for a long time now. There are whole communities of Chinese who settled in Siberia with the intent of simply snatching it away from Russia when the opportunity presents itself.
In fact, when George W. Bush was president he and Putin discussed how to deal with illegal immigration, and Putin was the guy who pioneered guest worker programs for Chinese laborers, something Bush tried to run with here in America.
China wants complete dominance of Asia. Putin knows this, but he also knows he has an even more formidable enemy in the West and seeks to dominate Europe through energy. He is allied with China now but somebody is going to screw somebody before it is over.
Russia could not defeat the Japanese in the Russo-Japanese war, and I suspect Russia won't be able to defeat the Chinese if war comes. China is there and the Russians largely are not.
Ian Beverege adds:
Stalin turned on Hitler!
Hitler NEVER wanted war on 2 fronts and wrote in Mein Kampf that Germany could never win such a war. The Molotov Ribbentrop treaty was signed in Moscow and on September 1st Stalin failed to move into Poland - letting war be declared on Germany before making his own move on the 17th - but due to the Polish government being dissolved by the 14th this was not considered (by the allies) to be invasion by Stalin - it was a classic set up. Later on Stalin started to move on Hitler's oil supplies in Romania - so Hitler had no choice but to engage. Good source "Ice Breaker" and "The Chief Culprit" Suvorov.
We went to war to save half of Poland - but lost half of Europe to Stalin - yet still pretended to have won. Stalin's goal was all of Europe.
The West is being played/
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
01:34 PM
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Germany had no petroleum reserves, but they did some clever things with synthetic oil. Every time you buy a can of Mobil One, you're buying Hitler's technology.
Posted by: Dana Mathewson at April 22, 2022 10:31 PM (GIKgf)
The V2 was a prime example of Hitler's meddling costing them. The military people wanted mobile V2 launch sites so the Allies couldn't bomb them. Hitler insisted on stationary sites and got them - and the Allies bombed them. Had they gone with the mobile sites the V2 could have wrecked total havoc on Britain. But they wound up being reasonably ineffective because the Allies could get planes to the sites faster than the sites could be constructed.
Yeah; Hitler gave the world synthetic oil.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at April 23, 2022 10:28 AM (bnhE/)
If history is any lesson, autocratic regimes make opportunistic alliances but ultimately turn on one another when they perceive weakness in their putative ally.
Posted by: Fake Watches at August 14, 2023 03:13 AM (OAWTR)
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