March 21, 2019
North America has cooled since 1998, and this wipes out a nominal warming, leading to no warming since 1982, according to a new study.
From No Tricks Zone:
The continent warmed from 1982-1998, but a cooling trend since 1998 has nearly wiped out all the previous warming.
Overall, there has been no significant temperature change in North America since 1982.
The warming and cooling trends, especially the daily temperature minimum (Tmin), are well-correlated (r=0.71) with the path of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) during 1950-2014, leading the authors to conclude that the temperature trends over this 32-year period are "a result of†natural changes in the AMO.
Gan et al 2019
Below is a summary:
The Key Role of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
in Minimum Temperature Over North America
During Global Warming Slowdown
"Daily Minimum temperature (Tmin) is an important variable in both global and regional climate changes, and its variability can greatly affect the ecological system. In the early 21st century, warming slowdown is seen over the North Hemisphere and North America is one of the major cooling centers.â€
"In this study, we found that Tmin experienced an obvious decline in North America during warming slowdown period. Such Tmin decline is closely related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the correlation between the decadal components of Tmin and AMO reached 0.71 during 1950-2014.â€
"According to composite analysis, the AMO on the positive (negative) phase takes two low-pressure (high-pressure) systems in the northeastern Pacific and the North Atlantic at night, accompanied by cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulations and warm (cold) advection in North America. Therefore, the analyses conclude that the Tmin decline during warming slowdown period is a result of the synchronous decrease of the AMO. The results emphasize the key role of AMO on the decadal variation of Tmin in North America.â€
Image Source: Gan et al., 2019
Another new paper renews the global warming "hiatus†debate and documents a 21st century cooling trend in northern China that also effectively snuffs out the previous decades of warming for the region.
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