June 22, 2022

Louse in the House

Carlos Velazquez

The Democrats, in a half-hearted attempt at bipartisanship, promised that there would be 13 members on the Committee, five of whom would be Republicans. An 8-5 split on the Committee doesn’t reflect the actual ratio of Democrats to Republicans in the House, but we have grown accustomed to Pelosi’s disregard of institutional norms of ratios reflecting the make-up of the House.

The promise by Pelosi turned out to be untrue because when Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy named his five nominees to the Committee, Pelosi booted two of them off. The other three Republicans rightfully rejected participating in the witch-hunt in protest.

In response, Pelosi appointed two former Republicans, Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger, to fill the Committee. These two have a more virulent strain of Trump Derangement Syndrome than any of the Far Left in Congress. And, that’s really saying something.

The January 6 Committee is an Illegitimate Operation

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Icecycle Race

Timothy Birdnow

Joe Biden eats ice cream
and plots his cheating scheme
The man sure isn't Dick Trickle
He can't even ride a bicyycle

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The Mighty Ruble

Carlos Velazquez

Biden's Russia sanctions seem to have backfired.

Russian Ruble is the Strongest Currency in the World this Year

Tim adds:

I'm not surprised. They back it with precious metals, something they just started, and they are selling as much oil as ever via third parties. Biden's boycott and his "green energy" initiatives have made Russian oil very profitable. Putin is laughing all the way to the bank. If he invades Poland Russia will become the richest country on Earth!

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June 21, 2022

The Biden Recession

Timothy Birdnow

The Great Biden Recession of 2022 is Already Here

To be clear, America is not yet in a recession. Still, it's undeniable that starting around June, the economy and financial markets smashed into a brick wall. Here are the troubling indicators, all pointing in the wrong direction:

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta just estimated that second quarter economic growth through the middle of June is a big fat zero. This is on top of the 1.5% decline in the economy in the first quarter. This means for the first five and a half months of this year, our economy has shrunk in size relative to inflation. That result isn't technically a recession, but it's perilously close.

Second, the wealth losses in the greater financial market sell-off of 2022 have now exceeded $10 trillion since the start of the year. This has been one of the most significant and financially catastrophic vaporizations of wealth and savings in U.S. history. It is delusional that President Joe Biden says people have record savings. No, the reverse is true. Voters' 401(k) plans and other retirement savings have been shredded.

It is leading to what economists call a "reverse wealth effect." Just as people spend more when their bank accounts and stock portfolios are full of cash, they tend to become comatose when those gains turn almost overnight into losses. Adjusting for inflation, the stock market is down 15%-20% depending on the index examined. Tech stocks in the Nasdaq have been clobbered the most.

Third, consumer confidence and business confidence have each fallen fast. Only about 2 in 10 voters feel the economy is headed in the right direction. Moreover, the National Federation of Independent Business's index of small businesses found that confidence is now at its lowest level since the pandemic hit these shores and businesses were shut down.

Fourth and most damaging, consumer and producer prices have risen to their highest levels since the early 1980s. The consumer price index hit 8.6%, and the producer price index is above 10%. Price increases aren't "transitory" and haven't shown any signs of peaking.

Let's not forget that Washington's fiscal picture is a train wreck. In two and a half years, the debt has soared by another $5 trillion thanks to the blizzard spending to "fight" COVID-19 and then for multiple economic rescue plans. As the Fed raises interest rates, the carrying cost of the $23 trillion national debt gets progressively more expensive. We will be paying taxes for years to merely to pay the interest on our enormous debt.

All of the debt spending in Washington has unleashed the inflation dragon -- the cruelest tax of all on families and businesses.

Read it all; it's pretty damning.

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Everybody was Hockey Fighting...

Timothy Birdnow

The hockey game the other night was full of fights. The media hate that. Now why do you suppose?

Canada, one of the most polite and peaceable countries, is the epicenter of hockey and yet there is so much fighting in their national sport. Now why do you suppose that is? It acts as a safety valve, helping Canadians release their suppressed anger. People live vicariously through the sport and get out their frustrations by watching the hockey goons punch each-other out (and since they are on skates it's almost impossible to get seriously hurt).

If the media truly wants to discourage violence they have to offer an alternative. But that is not their goal at all. Rather, they want to pacify the average citizen but allow the predators to run  amoke to help drive societal change. Taking fighting out of sports goes a long way towards accomplishing that goal.

The fact is every civilization has used some sort of sports to help maintain a cohesive society. The Romans had the gladiator contests. The Greeks had a number of sports, some quite vicious.

Sports come from training for war, I might add. They were toned down and adapted for the civilians, who would never actually fight in a war.

So, what is the rising sport, the one the media likes? Soccer. It is international, multiracial, and there is no violence. Oh, and the referees control every aspect of it and can change the outcome of a game just by how they blow their whistles. It's the perfect model for what they want for humanity.

Americans used to disdain soccer as a foreign and effete exercise.

And while America was the home of both baseball and basketball, it was football that came to dominate (football became the top sport back in 1972, beating out baseball, which had been dominant since 1948. Now soccer is almost as popular as football.

That shows the changes to America's psychology. We used to loathe soccer as a foreign thing. Now we embrace it. Baseball became full of foreigners, I might add, and it has become sunk in endless new rules which have made the sport wimpy. You can't block the plate anymore, or slide cleat first into a baseman.

Hockey has largely been immune, although they certainly have become much stricter with the fighting and the other rough stuff. But it will never be America's sport; it belongs to Canada, and Russia.

Eventually we'll be watching badmitton.

Sports have been a political tool for a long, long time. It was integrated well before society at large, for instance. It has pushed women into sports they would never have thought of (like women's boxing). It is a part of the Progressive program.

I don't know who remembers the old movie Rollerball, (the original, not the '90's remake, which was horrible). The story was the world was run by corporations and Rollerball was a hyper-violent game designed to keep people in line. As Mr. Bartholemew, a company executive, stated "the purpose of Rollerball is to teach the futility of individual action."

The big star in the game - a guy named Jonathan E. - was being forced out of the game because he became too dominant. He refused to resign; he held a grudge because a corporate executive took his wife away. In the end they decided to forego murdering him because it would be too obvious tot he public, and tried sending him back his wife. He told her to go to hell and went forward with the championship game, which now had no substitution, no penalties, and no time limit. It was to the death.

In the end he was the last man alive and stuffed the ball in the goal.

I think in many ways this is an accurate picture of what the Left has in store for us, although they seem to be moving away from the violence and rather trying to numb us. But it is an attempt to use sports to change our character.

So smile the next time you see a hockey fight; it means that at least some people are resisting the pacification of our society.

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Is God Necessary to Liberty?

Timothy Birdnow

In a discussion about the importance of God to concepts of liberty (see the post below) an atheist argues the God is not necessary.

John Levalley says:

A proposition that belief in God is necessary for liberty to exist should also address the various transgressions against liberty in the name of God. I think that probably under deeper and broader examination it will not be an acknowledgement

of God that yearns for liberty but the very Nature of man, ascribed by believers in God as an extension of spiritual endowment and atheists as an evolutionary necessity (perhaps, as this side of the equation is not my specialty).

Regardless where liberty originates, mankind has proven its desire to subvert liberty with or without God. Atheism might seek to squash God as a competitor for allegiance/ subservience. But how should we describe the nearly unbroken stretch of oppression by believers in God's name. I do not limit that observation to slaughtering Canaanites, the public murder of Jesus story, crusades, inquisitions, conquistadors, or Islam murdering apostasy. We've seen how Evangelicals and others with extreme commitment to God can develop into intolerant cults curtailing liberty of their members. Oppression in God's name throughout history was hardly matched by secular agents of authority until the big 3: Stalin, Hitler, and Mao.

Also consider the Ten Commandments. Other than admonitions to worship God, the rest is simply standard polite society. We cannot pretend no one figured out stealing or murdering was a bad idea until Moses pointed it out. God was not necessary for a tribe to consider some mutual respect of boundaries in order to thrive.

I'll relent and accept the proposition that belief in a Creator and spiritual eternity (choose your form according to your belief) does instill a behavioral desire to conform to goodness rather than evil. And that some measure of liberty is necessary to confirm goodness comes by choice. But whether belief in God is an absolute necessity to choose goodness is an open question. I'm mixing goodness and liberty here because I think you need one to express the other.

History teaches that liberty is always threatened by power and authority, regardless whether that power and authority was derived from brute force or religious acquiescence. I'll leave it at this question.

When any authority oppresses, can the oppressed desire freedom from the yoke of subservience simply because they would prefer to live differently than commanded, or are they unable to realize that desire without first acknowledging God?


Tim replies:

John, you are making a fundamental error in logic in your argument it seems to me. You are trying to equate the behavior of individuals or even some organizations with a fundamental flaw in philosophical reasoning.

The fact is human beings are all fallible and as such subject to mistaken ideas or hypocrisies. There is no dispute about that. Christians call it Original Sin; the tendency to do the wrong thing. Yes, there have been religious people who have done bad things, and there have been good atheists. BUT the Christian or Jew who does the wrong thing is violating the tenants of their own faith. They are turning their backs on what they believe.

Slavery was a case in point. Many avowed Christians supported it. But who ended it? Wilberforce was a devout Christian. So too were those who fought slavery in the U.S., and that because of the necessity of accepting the dignity of human life in all it's forms. That idea would never have occurred to a culture based on atheism. There are no moral absolutes to the atheist, and as a result they can justify means to accomplish what they themselves choose as ends.

One need but look at the Communist world, which was and is officially atheist. People are mere material things and are to be utilized as the ruling class sees fit. It's the matter of being hypocritical to your own standard or having no standard at all. The hypocrite is constrained by his own official stance.

I would also add that much of the accusations made against the religious folk (mainly in Christendom) are dishonest. The Crusades? The Turks started them by murdering over 1200 pilgrims going to Jerusalem. And this was on top of centuries of aggression against Christian nations. And while there were some atrocities by the soldiers (who were not actually sent by the Church, nor under any oath of obedience to the Church but rather to their own often ambitious feudal lord) The same held true of their enemies. It was a time of great cruelty in war. At least the Christians were violating their own beliefs. The transgressions were exactly that. The Muslims were FOLLOWING theirs. Medieval Scholar Thomas Madden explains the Crusades here. https://www.catholicity.com/commentary/madden/03463.html

He also explains that the Inquisition was not what modern scholars make it out to be; often it was an attempt to rein in lynch mobs or overzealous civil authorities who were leading the charge against former Jews or Muslims in Spain. In point of fact the Inquisition did not have law enforcement authority; theirs was only spiritual. BUT they could imprison someone while heading up an investigation, which was often employed as a way of allowing things to cool off. See Madden again. http://www.churchinhistory.org/pages/spanishinquisition/truth-spanish-inquisition.htm

What else have we? The trial of Galileo? Did you know Galileo was entirely free to teach Copernicanism, provided he said it was a theory and not settled science? He refused to do that. He also horribly insulted his king and employer, Pope Urban, calling him "simplicio" in his dialogue. Urban had been a good friend of Galileo. In those days you just didn't insult your king, nor your boss. In the end Galileo was convicted and sentenced to a very light house arrest. It was quite gentle by the standards of the time.

But all three of these cases have been twisted by the modernists to make them appear worse than they are. This was done to paint Christianity in a bad light. I am NOT saying there weren't bad things in all of these. I am saying that, given the times, they were not so terrible as we have been led to believe. If Galileo had done what he did in the Caliphate his head would have rolled on the desert sands.

The fact is the admonitions of Jesus tempered the Christians at all times. The late Roman Empire was brutal and barbaric indeed until civilized by Christianity. And so were the many barbarian tribes who invaded.

There was a Medieval prayer asking God to "protect us from the Northman" meaning the Vikings. Today Sweden, Norway, and Denmark are the very apex of civilized behavior. THAT was the triumph of their Christianization.

And yes the Ten Commandments were quite innovative in their day. There was the blood feud, which meant if someone killed your brother or father or whatnot you could wipe out his whole family. "Thou Shalt Not Kill" ended the concept of the blood feud. Why else do you think it was there?

Ditto adultery. The Israelites had settled in a land where Baal was worshiped (or were about to resettle there) and it was no big deal jumping some temple prostitute. The Commandment against Adultery (and the one against coveting neighbors wives) was innovative for the times. It meant a wife was more than just property; she had rights. And you had responsibilities to her that transcended your personal desires.

I agree; goodness and liberty go hand-in-hand (as the Founding Fathers made clear).

I would also agree there are atheists who want to be good, but how do they determine what is good or evil? It becomes just a social convention, and that then becomes a matter of who controls the convention. The Overton Window means changing the norms, and that is done by control of government, media, and education (which is what we see the Left doing today). In a nation of cannibals cannibalism is just fine. But is it moral? No, because there is Natural Law which says it is not. But the collective will is that it's o.k. That is the inevitable end of an atheistic culture (or a simple pagan nature worshiping culture as well).

Without admitting there is a law built into the fabric of the Universe we cannot have any real standard of behavior or thinking. The human heart is treacherous and it will find a way to fit our desires into our malleable concepts of right and wrong if we let it happen. If religious people can't control that then how can someone without the absolutes control it? They can't.



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Rising Atmospheric Helium

Richard Cronin

Just like the meager uptick in CO2, a meager uptick in Helium 4 has been observed. Both of these observations have nothing to do with human activity.

"Deep-Earth reactor: Nuclear fission, helium, and the geomagnetic field”
D. F. Hollenbach and J. M. Herndon
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences U S A. 25-Sept-2001

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC58687/#!po=82.6733

"Tritium, 3H, is a major ternary fission product that beta decays with a 12.32-year half-life to form 3He.”

"3He. ….. has a high neutron-absorption cross-section and, if formed within the neutron flux field of the reactor zone, will readily absorb a neutron, transforming to 4He.”

Therefore, an uptick in performance of the GeoReactor and a higher neutron flux will produce a greater amount of 4He. The increase in atmospheric 4He, like the meager increase in CO2, has nothing to do with human activity.

From EOS, principle publication of the American Geophysical Union:

"Fossil Fuels Drive Increase in Atmosphere Helium” (specifically 4He)
Benjamin Birner & Jennifer Schmidt
9-June-2022

https://eos.org/articles/fossil-fuels-drive-increase-in-atmospheric-helium?utm_source=EosBuzz&mkt_tok=OTg3LUlHVC01NzIAAAGFEBgA3EY_6zxQGdCW_ilUJIP_3VYrjO7nVH7a05IGnESOZA3U5WmyCrbgCXhwxDzEvrdB9HRSVVrrnldMOJ8WMRkJqev3u19VIvLEPic

"After decades of uncertainty, scientists have finally shown that fossil fuel extraction has flooded the atmosphere with 4He.” Wrong. Wrong. Wrong.

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Maelstrom

Maelstrom

by Timothy Birdnow

So the news gives you blues
well here are the clues
don't get so confused
because the donkeys might lose

Monkey Pox and Scotus Dox and Biden in his box
The Russian fox will take some knocks
while we all lose our vox

The Democrats quiver
and cry us a river
Joe Biden eats ice cream and shivers

As our money shrank
and our wealth down the tank
while the Hunter laughs as he strolls to the bank

We go broke buying fuel
while the doddering fool
talks of pinwheels to children in school

And the corporate joke
is to join all the woke
while the average joe keeps getting broke

And we get some bad deals
with our soldiers in heels
empty shelves mean we're missing our meals
As they ramp up the steals and try to conceal
and insist we all kneel while the Kamel points her heels
we all know how it feels

Tires of guff? Time to get tough. It's past time we say enough is enough.

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Why the Drudgery of the Jan. 6 Hearings?

Selwyn Duke

I suspect that in regard to the January 6 "hearings," the Left has forgotten Saul "the Red" Alinsky's RULE 7:

"A tactic that drags on too long becomes a drag.”

And these hearings long ago started reflecting the "banality of evil," to quote Hannah Arendt.

Tim adds:

I think you are right. Certainly the tepid viewership for the hearings suggests so.

There is nothing new over the second impeachment information (and Trump was acquitted in that trial).

I think this is mainly intended to get donations up for '22, and to try to frighten the more knock-kneed Republicans into moving away from anything to do with Trump or Trumpism.

Also, it is intended to distract the public from the multiple disasters caused by the Biden junta. AND it will be justification for imposing restrictions on free speech so as to suppress political dissent. That last is the real key, I believe. They can't just put the machinery into place without first having a show trial and thus having a foundation for their circumvention of the First Amendment.

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Texas Justice

Timothy Birdnow

Texas law used to permit a man shooting his wife and her lover if he caught them in the act. I imagine that has been changed, but are our modern sensibilities really serving us as a society? Seems there are a lot more rapists and abusers around now that the law protects them.

This courtesy of Murray Stewart:

This is Texas Justice

"Texas Sheriff Micah Harmon says he refuses to press charges against a father who killed a man allegedly raping his 4-year-old daughter.

"This is Texas justice,” one person commented on the outcome. Both forensic evidence and eyewitness testimony corroborated the father’s account. The young girl was taken to the hospital and examined.

The little girl’s brother reportedly witnessed 47-year-old farmhand Jesus Mora Flores grabbing her and taking her to a secluded shack on the family farm in the rural town of Shriner, Texas.

The son ran to his father who flew into a violent rage and beat the farmhand to death.

Sheriff Micah Harmon described the father as "very remorseful” and said he would not press charges given the evidence.”


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Liberty and Faith

This from Michael Smith:

Long - but it is a difficult subject. Read half of it now and finish it after you begin the caffeination process in the morning.

On the heels of a Gallup Values and Belief poll conducted from May 2 to 22 of this year showing 81% of people in America (a historic low number) answered that they believe in God, I returned to consideration of something that has been on my mind for a while.

This Gallup result is different from people not participating in religion. This means fully 20% of Americans do not even believe in the reason for religion.

For the past few years as I have argued that the absence of a specifically mandated religiosity in the Constitution of the United States is simply an example of the religious influence and tolerance that exists there, I have continued to consider the significance of religion and spirituality (the role of God) as it relates to the three enumerated concepts of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

I have stated before that I believe that we are mandated to have a secular government – with emphasis that the term "secular” holds the meaning that institution of government is limited to and pertains only to worldly things or to things that are not regarded as religious, spiritual, or sacred, that government is temporal and has no right to transgress into the domain of religion. I am often misunderstood as stating that governance should not include religion – that is not the case. I do not propose that "secular” means that religion should be excluded from the act of governance, only that the institution of government shall never dictate to religion.

There is a difference – governance is the act; government is the mechanism. One is intellectual, the other institutional – big difference.

I believe I share this vision with the Founders and that the enshrinement of that vision is the specific reason for the Establishment Clause, the First Amendment to the Constitution, that states:

"Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”

It is clear to me that the Founding Fathers saw that God was the ultimate authority and guide and that government was to be utilized solely in the province of men, made clear by these words from the Declaration of Independence:

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.”

Society has perverted the meaning of secular to mean the exclusion of God and the elevation of man to His role. In my interrogation of this paradigm, the questions that I ask myself are these:

- If one accepts a secular view, does that mean that one must completely reject God?

- If one rejects God, how can one believe in the concept of eternity?

- If one cannot believe in eternity, can one believe that there is meaning beyond the limited span of a human life?

- If one believes that there is no meaning beyond the end of a human life, how can they understand the universal and eternal concepts of liberty and freedom?

There is a document that predates our Constitution and is largely forgotten as an article of our founding, but it is significant nonetheless. It is called the Northwest Ordinance of 1787. Formally known as An Ordinance for the Government of the Territory of the United States, North-West of the River Ohio, it was passed on July 13, 1787, under the authority of the precursor to the Constitution, the Articles of Confederation, by the Congress of the Confederation of the United States. The primary effect of the ordinance was the creation of the Northwest Territory as the first organized territory of the United States out of the region south of the Great Lakes, north and west of the Ohio River, and east of the Mississippi River.

On August 7, 1789, the newly created U.S. Congress affirmed the Ordinance with only slight modifications. The Ordinance purported to be not merely legislation that could later be amended by Congress, but rather "the following articles shall be considered as Articles of compact between the original States and the people and states in the said territory, and forever remain unalterable, unless by common consent….”, in effect making the Northwest Ordinance part of the Constitution.

An important aspect of that last statement is that the Northwest Ordinance cemented the concept of Natural Rights into American law, foreshadowing the Bill of Rights. Many of the concepts and guarantees of the Ordinance of 1787 were incorporated in the U.S. Constitution and the Bill of Rights. Various legal and property rights were enshrined, religious tolerance was proclaimed, and it was enunciated that since "Religion, morality, and knowledge, being necessary to good government and the happiness of mankind, schools and the means of education shall forever be encouraged.” The right of habeas corpus was written into the charter, as was freedom of religious worship and bans on excessive fines and cruel and unusual punishment. Trial by jury and a ban on ex post facto laws were also rights granted.

This statement effectively solidifies religion as part of the educational curriculum and demands that government encourage it, not ban it. There is no hint of secular humanism in this statement:

"Religion, morality, and knowledge, being necessary to good government and the happiness of mankind, schools and the means of education shall forever be encouraged.”

There is significance in that this statement equates religion and morality with knowledge and, in what to me seems especially important, notes that religion and morality are two thirds of what is necessary for "good government”. They clearly saw worldly knowledge as being incomplete without God (religion and morality flowing directly from Him).

It seems to me that if life can be construed to have no meaning or worth, then liberty also has no meaning or worth. A secular humanist view has a very selfish and self-righteous perspective that presupposes that there is only what we can accumulate during our limited lives and there is nothing that we should leave behind for those who come after us.

I cannot reconcile the idea that a person can understand and believe in the concepts of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness without a belief in God. Secular humanism is a mechanism for the destruction of the American Republic and by extension, freedom and liberty.

God was necessary for the creation of the United States and is still necessary for its survival. A belief in the eternal life promised by God is necessary for the survival of liberty and people who love it.

Belief in God is necessary for liberty to exist.

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June 20, 2022

The Next War -- that we're not hearing about

Dana Mathewson


Steven Hayward writes in Power Line:

It is very likely the case that the next major war has started. No—I don’t mean the Russia-Ukraine War, which could yet spread to the rest of Europe if we’re unlucky. I mean the Israel-Iran War.

It has been said that Israel and Iran have been at open war for some time now. (Actually, Iran and the U.S. have likewise been at war since 1979, though don’t tell John Kerry.) As is well known, Israel has carried out audacious raids on Iran over the last few years. It has assassinated key figures in Iran’s nuclear weapons program in the streets of Tehran, successfully extracted an intelligence cache on the nuclear program, and in recent months assassinated senior Iranian military figures beyond the nuclear arms circle. For their part, we know Iran is supplying Hezbollah in Lebanon, Syria, and elsewhere with enormous amounts of munitions to use against Israel.

There’s a telling detail in the report we linked to in our "Picks” section today about the latest drone attack on an Iranian missile site: "According to a report by Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Qabas, the alleged attack overnight Friday was carried out by drones that took off from an area a mere 6.2 miles from the targeted base.” If this report is true, it means the Israelis (or someone) have been able once again to penetrate deep inside Iranian territory, or it means U.S. and other nations are perhaps backing an insurgency inside Iran. I rate this latter possibility extremely unlikely. In either case, any effective actions inside Iranian territory can only be happening with the blessing, and likely active cooperation and support, of the Saudis.

The low-intensity Israel-Iran War may be about to break wide open. Which makes me wonder about President Biden’s upcoming Middle East trip.

The main reason for Biden’s forthcoming trip to Saudi Arabia, we are told, is to suck up to the Saudis to pump more oil to relieve pump prices here in the U.S. This is simply not credible if you think about for a while. The Saudis conduct their oil policy strictly in accord with their own self-interest. Even if they think it is in their own self-interest to pump more oil now (or not—the Saudis are savvy on oil price theory), they don’t need a presidential visit to reach that decision. In fact the opposite may be the case—they may prefer, given Biden’s moral preening about the the awfulness of the Saudis on human rights (quite correct) that they’d rather not be seen knuckling under to public pressure from our doddering president. Most likely they’d prefer Trump or another Republican back in the White House, so why help this fool? If the Saudis were amenable to an American plea to reduce oil prices by increasing output, they’d prefer a quiet message about this—as Reagan did in the 1980s with very quiet missions from key confidantes—rather than a high profile visit from a clown president like Biden.

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Apologies for Light Blogging

Timothy Birdnow

The next two days are going to be quite busy. Blogging will be hit-or-miss.

Thanks.

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June 19, 2022

My Father

Timothy Birdnow

Happy fathers day to all my friends!

There are few things more important than fathers.

My first memory was of my dad. The oldest thing I can remember was being in my cradle and my dad giving me a choice of which pacifier I wanted. I remember his smiling face and pleasure and my happiness when I got the one I pointed at. I don't remember it well; it is a vague, vague thing. But it was dad and no one else who looms large over my first memories.

And it was dad who I knew protected me when I was a boy.

I suffered with the unfortunate misnamed Night Terrors when I was little. Horrible! For those who do not know Night Terrors are not bad dreams (they are far worse) but rather are visions that afflict you just as you are dozing off. Visions of horrible things. I used to get them fairly regularly and feared going to bed. On a number of occasions dad showed up when I was screaming, and put my fears to rest.

One time I jumped out of bed, broke the window in the french doors of my bedroom, and jumped on him, pummeling the poor man, who held me tightly until I fully awoke.

Dad was the guy I could always count on when I was in some sort of trouble. If my car broke down or I had some other trouble I always knew he was on his way.

He put food on my plate, a roof over my head, clothes on my back, an education (a very good one), and never a complaint from him. He worked every weekend moonlighting as a security guard to see to it we had enough. We never did without.

He taught me so many things. He taught me to drive, to shave, how to play sports. My love of the country comes from our trips to his grandmothers out in the sticks. I loved those visits more than I can say. While he wasn't a fisherman or hunter, he liked to go out into the woods sometimes.

He was rarely angry with me or my brothers, and while there was sometimes threats of "wait until your father gets home" he rarely punished with any heat. He did spank us on occasion, but it was a pure ritual, not designed to hurt but to make us realize the consequences of our actions.

I owe him for that; he never caused us to lose heart, even while making sure we understood right and wrong. So many people hate their fathers because they were too strict, or have no respect for them because they were too lenient.

Dad was so important to my moral and spiritual development. He was a non-practicing Methodist but he converted to Catholicism. I suspect it was to provide us with a good example. My mother was devout and it helped; he wanted to please her. But I suspect it was as much about us kids as anything. As a Methodist he never attended church; he never missed as a Catholic.

And now he's getting up there in years and I am beginning to repay him for all the things he did so cheerfully for me.I am so very grateful to have had him as my father. I hope he lives a lot longer. I will surely miss him when he's gone.

A Godly father is a true blessing, and his role is so very important to a child.

That's why this one parent family business is so heartbreaking; children grow up without fathers because we not live in a society that is matriarchal in nature and does not value fathers. The feminists have everyone believing men are superfluous, mere sperm donors. But it is not true. I would be just half a man had I not had my dad to teach me. So many things about relating to others (particularly to women) came from him.

I love you pop!  Thank you for everything! I am who I am in no small part because of you!

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 11:34 AM | Comments (8) | Add Comment
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Red Hot Economy?

Timothy Birdnow

I caught the beginning of Fox News Sunday. Bah!  That dimwitted host talked about the "red hot economy" while teasing her segment with a Biden Secretary of Silly Walks or whatever he was.

"Red hot economy"?

This is purest Keynsianism; the high inflation must be caused, the Keynsians say, by high demand for consumer goods. They believe the economy is driven entirely by demand. This is spectacularly wrong.

Inflation is driven by the money supply. That's why it's  called inflation int he first place; the money supply inflates. More money without an increase in productivity and the price of goods and services go up. Inflation is not rising prices but rising currency.

The Federal Reserve has massively expanded the nation's money supply in the last two years. They have increased the supply by trillions of dollars.

This article states:

During the economic downturn in March and April of 2020, the Fed began its massive monetary expansion by purchasing $2 trillion in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. Since then, it has continued its open market purchases but at a slower pace of $160 billion per month.

And in fact the Federal Reserve has increased the M2 supply by 33%  between January of 2020  and May of 2021 alone. 

This kind of increase has happened every few months since.

In fact, as of February of this year the M2 supply was up over $21.6 TRILLION ! That is a sea of bad paper.
Every new dollar waters down the old. It's a way of stealing wealth.

Government loves this; it allows them to spend money that they do not have without obviously raising taxes. They can pay with pretend money.

Now the Fed wants to rein in the money, and that means "qualitative tightening" or destroying money as it is paid back. This sounds reasonable and it would be if done slowly and deliberately during a good economic period, but we have none of that.

The Federal Reserve did this very thing in 1929, and it precipitated the Stock Market Crash that led to the Great Depression. for a decade they had expanded the money supply then pulled out the rug from under the economy. See here, and here. Milton Freeman proved inarguably that it was a case of bad monetary policy that triggered the Depression in his book A Monetary History of the United States.

You cannot increase the money supply by one third and not expect high inflation.

I would like to know how staggering inflation is a sign of an "overheated economy"?

What is happening in the economy? Investments have been struggling, for instance; the stock market isn't making a whole lot of money. How is that overheating?

As of May consumer spending had FALLEN when adjusted for inflation - by 0.4%. This in the post-lockdown period, I might add. Now that consumers are free to move about spending should be up. See also this.

Used car sales are down. But that's o.k. because new car sales are down too; nobody can afford them, or the gas to drive them.

U.S. manufacturing was unexpectedly weak in May.

Sales of new homes has been steadily declining.

And according to Trading Economics:

New home sales in the United States sank 16.6% mom to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 591,000 in April of 2022, the lowest since April of 2020 and well below forecasts of 750,000, as rising construction and mortgage costs weigh on buyers' affordability. Sales fell in all regions: the South (-19.8%), the Midwest (-15.1%), the West (-13.8%) and the Northeast (-5.9%). Meanwhile, the median sales price of new houses sold last month was USD 450,600, much higher than USD 376,600 a year earlier, while the average sales price was USD 570,300, up from USD 434,800. There are now 8.3 months of supply in inventory, almost twice 4.3 months a year earlier. source: U.S. Census Bureau

But not to worry! Sales of existing homes fell by even more.

And the commercial market, after rising once the pandemic restrictions were removed, is back in decline. In fact, the Green Street Price Index showed a decline of 1%since the start of the year, in a "red hot economy".

How does any of this translate to a "red hot economy"? If it gets any hotter it will freeze up completely.

The only thing anyone can point to is the employment numbers. But does that surprise anyone? With the economy reopening  and peopole going back to their jobs the unemployment numbers will by necessity drop.

But it does not mean we have actually added new jobs, just restored jobs that used to be there.

In other words it's a mirage.

The unemployment also suggests something more sinister; many people did not return to their jobs after the pandemic ended and are living on government assistance or on their savings. Those chickens will come home to roost.

Oh, and unemployment rates rose to a rate not seen in a year, according to Bloomberg News.  It had already risen by 5.5% in March, according to Investapedia.

So it is appearing that the "red hot" unemployment is not even a real thing.

No, there are signs of serious illness with this economy. Inflation is but one problem; the type of inflation is another. Energy is sky high right now thanks to the Biden Administration's environmentalist policies and adherence to the Paris Accord and his bumbling of the world energy market. That affects EVERYTHING, because everything moves by some conveyance. Electricity is going through the roof too. There is talk of both gas rationing and blackoouts this summer, and we are out of fertilizer for our farms because of the insistence on limiting fuel - particularly diesel - and the feckless response to Russia in Ukraine which has done nothing but dry up Russian diesel (needed to make urea, a critical component in fertilizer.)

And now, with the Fed spiking interest rates and promising more of the same and at the same time contracting the money supply, we are in peril of total economic disaster.

Look, we NEED to tighten the money supply, but the economy is wobbling like a drunken fool right now and this is no time for it. But the Keynsian dimbulbs there think this is the way to go to stabilize things. It's not.

We are going to want to maintain the money supply and deal with the  inflation (which will stop if we just stop spending huge amounts and printing money to cover it.) It will plateau. What the Fed is doing is ushering in Deflation, which can be horribly destructive; it freezes up credity, for example, because nobody wants to lend money out that will be worth less when they are paid back. Freeze up credit and the economy grinds to a halt.

Or we can have stagflation - something the Keynsians said was impossible until Jimmy Carter made it so.

Stagflation occurs when the Fed prints money to avoid deflation and at the same time heavy regulatioins lead people away from investments and towards wealth protection.  The wage and price controls of the '70's led directly to stagflation as the Fed kept printing money to stimulate an economy that couldn't be stimulated by more dollars. It was overregulated and people were sheltering money overseas or burying it in the back yard. Keynsians believed it was impossible, since they believe the economy is driven by consumption and that investment has nothing to do with it. Mo money mo spending! Carter proved that the investors are a critical component of the economic health of a country. Ronald Reagan's whole economic policy was "supply side" meaning he looked to the manufacturers and investors to ramp up the economy. Mocked by George H.W. Bush and others as "voodoo economics" supply side worked spectacularly and has worked every time it has been tried.

But it is not popular with the ruling class because there are no strings attached as in other economic theories, particularly Keynsianism, which says the way to jumpstart the economy is to "prime the pump" by government spending - a true politicians dream.

Supply siders say cut taxes, cut regulations, and encourage investors. Sound monetary policy is critical to all this too; money has to have real value or investors go to things that wont depreciate.

I would add the Housing Bubble which burst in 2008 was an attempt by investors to put their money into something real, substantial. The tech bubble scared them (people were investing in all sorts of internet stupidity that had no real value). BUT the government used Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as their private piggy banks, and they imposed draconian regulations regarding things like redlining, and they pushed for "affordable housing". Banks couldn't say no to most borrowers, no matter how credit-unworthy. They wound up finding a solution; bundling bad loans with good as part of an package deal. It was a game of Old Maid; someone was going to get stuck with the bad debt eventually. This created the "subprime market". But it was a game of Old Maid, and by 2008 the market was horribly overspeculated, with janitors and fruit pickers buying property to flip or for investment. They had no business getting loans, but the government was pushing, pushing, pushing! Eventually we saw such venerable old institutions as Bear Stearns go belly up and the bailouts bailed in a peculiar way; they bailed out some companies but let others collapse. In fact, sometimes they stopped buyouts which would have saved a company.

They let Countrywide collapse, for instance. And J.P. Morgan bought out Bear Stearns for bargain basement rates.

The result was the Great Recession which gave us Barack Hussein Obama, "Government motors", and a host of other catastrophic events.

One wonders if the current economic policy of the Fed and the Biden Junta are not aimed at another such "Great Recession".

At any rate, our "red hot economy" is anything but and we are in great peril right now.

How a host on Fox can be such a dullard as to not understand that is beyond me!





Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 11:09 AM | Comments (4) | Add Comment
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June 18, 2022

The Hair Whisperer

Timothy Birdnow

Tucker Carlson tears into Joe Biden, whose own daughter makes some disturbing accusations against "hairsniffer Joe".

Biden Diary Update; Tucker Carlson's Epic Takedown of President Joe Biden "Resign!"

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NASCAR's Nadir

This from Gaetano Catelli:

NASCAR: Another Theater in Globalism's War on Working Class Americans.

The Decline and Fall of NASCAR

"Darlington, SC, was a textile town with a track known as "The Track Too Tough to Tame.” It had two big races every year, including one on Labor Day weekend. But in 2005, it lost one of its races and was poised to lose the other. This would have been the final blow to a town already reeling from globalization and the closure of local mills.

"This was not lost on Bennet Deane, president of the county’s Chamber of Commerce. "We have felt the effect of NAFTA. It’s kind of like getting hit when we’re already down,” he told the New York Times. "We felt like we were a victim of NASCAR’s success. We were a part of the success growing it and getting it to this point, and we’re kind of getting left behind.”

"What was true of Darlington was true of many other towns across the Southeast. Kannapolis, Dale Earnhardt’s hometown, was at one point in time home to the largest textile factory in the world. Its No. 1 Mill was a massive complex, larger than the Pentagon. The neighborhood where Dale grew up was known as Car Town, with streets named "Chrysler,” "Ford,” and "Chevrolet.” People there loved to tinker with cars and race them.

"Then the company that owned the biggest mill, Pillowtex, started feeling competitive pressure from Mexico. Unwilling to save itself by offshoring, Pillowtex filed for bankruptcy in 2003 and caused the largest layoffs in the history of the state of North Carolina. It was bought up by a conglomerate and shuttered."

Tim adds:

AND NASCAR has started adopting this "woke" nonsense and promoting "social justice" issues. They are pissing off their fans with it. This at a time when they are being squeezed from economic pressures outside of their control. I don't know how these Progs get in positions of authority in every organization but they do. (Look at the Boy Scouts for another example). NASCAR has sliced it's own jugular.

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Subsidizing Cancelling the Second Amendment

Steven Chase

Just be advised the so-called 'Red Flag' law considered now in congress SENDS FEDERAL MONEY to States for denying gun permits. Proportionately .
In other words, Fla has used our Red Flag law 8,000 times. If they denied 16,000 applicants, the Feds give them twice as much.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 11:30 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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The "Great Switch" is a Lie

Timothy Birdnow

On Facebook a guy named Jeff Robinette repeats the tired, exploded claim of "the Great Switch" where the racist Democrats supposedly became Republicans.

Jeff says:

So you do realize the two platforms changed during the 60s. It’s about platform and not the name of the party. If you don’t know what I mean, Google it.

End.

He's going to take quite a spanking in this thread.

Al Moscowitz Responds:

Oh believe me, I know EXACTLY what you mean...

Can you imagine a democrat today making Kennedy's inaugural speech.

"Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country..."

The other democrats would stone him/her/it to death.

But... if you somehow mean that the Republicans today are like the democrats of old (as when the democrats supported continuing slavery, founded the KKK, etc.), then I couldn't disagree with you more. And I'm sure you are not suggesting that democrats are no longer racist... Joe Biden is the most racist politician in the history of politics. And remember, under my mantra, "Direction" is not important when calling out racism.

Although there are many, many RINOs these days who profess to be Republicans but support the democrat mainline instead, the fundamentals of the Republican party remain consistent - especially when it comes to supporting the constitution, championing self-sufficiency and freedom, etc. The problem is that it's hard to find a true republican these days... Ron DeSantis is a good example of a solid, conservative republican. Mitt Romney is a perfect example of an immoral, spineless traitor to his party.


BTW - you do understand that Google regurgitates OPINIONS, right? It's not a replacement for critical analysis...

In any case, I think we both agree that ending slavery was a good thing. I just wish more people realized that creating total dependency on government for subsistence is nearly as bad as forced servitude. And that means that the democrats haven't changed their goals, they have only gotten more stealthy in the means of achieving those goals.
more...

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Happy Junteenth!

Al Moscowitz

This weekend we celebrate the new federal holiday JUNETEENTH... The official end of slavery in America.

Anyone who knows me personally knows that I support the men and women of our military. Without them and their sacrifice NONE of us would be free.

But on this particular holiday, I like to remember and pay tribute to the men who are responsible for ending slavery - the men of the newly formed Republican party (formed in 1854) who strove for this goal and those who made it a reality - the soldiers who fought and died in the American Civil War.

In the early 1850s, in Ripon, Wisconsin, former members of the Whig Party met to establish a new party to oppose the spread of slavery into the western territories. Officially formed on March 20, 1854, they called this new party the Republican party. Abraham Lincoln, elected in 1860 was the first president of this new party. Shortly after his inauguration, South Carolina announced secession from the United States setting in motion the events that would lead to the American Civil War.

Of the 2,130,000 men who served in the Union Army, over 230,000 lost their lives. That's roughly 11 out of every 100 that served. It was a very heavy price to pay, but clearly worth it...

So, if you would, please take a moment this weekend to contemplate the sacrifice of these brave men and the AWESOME outcome that their sacrifice was able to accomplish.

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 10:13 AM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
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