September 18, 2018
Winners don't think themselves losers
Timothy Birdnow
Rick Moran, the American Thinker house RINO, is throwing water on the confidence of our side with predictions of doom culled from a Bloomberg article. According to Moran we should be very afraid!
He quotes the Bloomberg article: " President Trump's boasts that a "red wave" could increase Republican majorities appear to have lulled GOP voters into complacency, raising the question of whether they'll turn up at the polls.
While most election forecasters, as well as strategists in both parties, believe Democrats are likely to win the 23 seats necessary to take control of the House of Representatives, Republican voters aren't convinced, the survey shows.
According to the RNC study, completed on Sept. 2 by the polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, most voters believe Democrats will win back the House – just not Republican voters. Fully half of self-identified Republicans don't believe Democrats are likely to win back the House. And within that group, 57 percent of people who describe themselves as strong Trump supporters don't believe Democrats have a chance (37 percent believe they do).
If overconfident Republican voters stay home, Democrats could win a landslide. The report urges GOP officials to yank their voters back to reality: "We need to make real the threat that Democrats have a good shot of winning control of Congress.
The president instead has delivered the opposite message. At rallies and on Twitter, Trump has claimed that – contrary to conventional wisdom and polling – Republicans might actually increase their margin in November.
The internal RNC study finds that complacency among GOP voters is tied directly to their trust in the president – and their distrust of traditional polling. "
End excerpt.
Yes, this is an RNC study, but how is it that Bloomberg wound up with it? Some Nevertrumper leaked it to them, no doubt. And remember, this same RNC had polling data showing that Hillary was going to win and it was held as Gospel. It was wrong.
Just because the RNC commissioned the poll doesn't mean it is accurate.
And if the RNC is worried about apathy, why don't they do something about it? The most effective thing they could do is to move the agenda forward. Congress is in danger because the Republicans in Congress have, at best, done little. They continue to thwart the President, who was elected on a popular agenda and has tried to move that agenda forward. But Paul Ryan and his homeboys, as well as Mitch McConnell and his posse, have sat on their thumbs so as not to make the President look good. Well, if you fail to do anything you will eventually face voter apathy. Success breeds success, failure failure, and apathy apathy. The GOP has offered little in the way of reasons to vote for their continued control of Congress.
As Sun Tzu said, opportunities multiply as they are seized. The GOP has refused to seize multiple opportunities. As a result, they have been the "go along to get along" boys, and it appears they are more interested in helping themselves than in accomplishing anything.
They need to force Brett Kavanagh through, for instance. If they fail to do so they will throw away a lot of good will and energy going into this election. They need to avoid another government spend-a-thon, something that appears likely just before the election. Paul Ryan had better understand that Donald Trump said, when he signed the last appropriations bill, it would be the last time and he means it. Another spend-a-thon will wreck the GOP chances in November.
Fund the damned wall!
The GOP needs to learn to fight, needs to learn the basics of warfare. The Democrats do not see this as a gentleman's disagreement but as war, and there has been an asymmetric war for a long time. We may wish for good manners, but it is not going to happen. At this juncture our side needs to fight to win.
It does no good to pour cold water on any Republican enthusiasm. I know why Moran wrote this; he doesn't want us overconfident. But neither should we be underconfident. Underconfidence is more likely to get our side to stay home, to think it hopeless. All day, every day, we are bombarded with efforts to disspirit us, courtesy of a radically left-wing media. It is entirely too easy to just stay home and let them have their way.
Winners do not start by thinking of themselves as losers.
Rick Moran, the American Thinker house RINO, is throwing water on the confidence of our side with predictions of doom culled from a Bloomberg article. According to Moran we should be very afraid!
He quotes the Bloomberg article: " President Trump's boasts that a "red wave" could increase Republican majorities appear to have lulled GOP voters into complacency, raising the question of whether they'll turn up at the polls.
While most election forecasters, as well as strategists in both parties, believe Democrats are likely to win the 23 seats necessary to take control of the House of Representatives, Republican voters aren't convinced, the survey shows.
According to the RNC study, completed on Sept. 2 by the polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, most voters believe Democrats will win back the House – just not Republican voters. Fully half of self-identified Republicans don't believe Democrats are likely to win back the House. And within that group, 57 percent of people who describe themselves as strong Trump supporters don't believe Democrats have a chance (37 percent believe they do).
If overconfident Republican voters stay home, Democrats could win a landslide. The report urges GOP officials to yank their voters back to reality: "We need to make real the threat that Democrats have a good shot of winning control of Congress.
The president instead has delivered the opposite message. At rallies and on Twitter, Trump has claimed that – contrary to conventional wisdom and polling – Republicans might actually increase their margin in November.
The internal RNC study finds that complacency among GOP voters is tied directly to their trust in the president – and their distrust of traditional polling. "
End excerpt.
Yes, this is an RNC study, but how is it that Bloomberg wound up with it? Some Nevertrumper leaked it to them, no doubt. And remember, this same RNC had polling data showing that Hillary was going to win and it was held as Gospel. It was wrong.
Just because the RNC commissioned the poll doesn't mean it is accurate.
And if the RNC is worried about apathy, why don't they do something about it? The most effective thing they could do is to move the agenda forward. Congress is in danger because the Republicans in Congress have, at best, done little. They continue to thwart the President, who was elected on a popular agenda and has tried to move that agenda forward. But Paul Ryan and his homeboys, as well as Mitch McConnell and his posse, have sat on their thumbs so as not to make the President look good. Well, if you fail to do anything you will eventually face voter apathy. Success breeds success, failure failure, and apathy apathy. The GOP has offered little in the way of reasons to vote for their continued control of Congress.
As Sun Tzu said, opportunities multiply as they are seized. The GOP has refused to seize multiple opportunities. As a result, they have been the "go along to get along" boys, and it appears they are more interested in helping themselves than in accomplishing anything.
They need to force Brett Kavanagh through, for instance. If they fail to do so they will throw away a lot of good will and energy going into this election. They need to avoid another government spend-a-thon, something that appears likely just before the election. Paul Ryan had better understand that Donald Trump said, when he signed the last appropriations bill, it would be the last time and he means it. Another spend-a-thon will wreck the GOP chances in November.
Fund the damned wall!
The GOP needs to learn to fight, needs to learn the basics of warfare. The Democrats do not see this as a gentleman's disagreement but as war, and there has been an asymmetric war for a long time. We may wish for good manners, but it is not going to happen. At this juncture our side needs to fight to win.
It does no good to pour cold water on any Republican enthusiasm. I know why Moran wrote this; he doesn't want us overconfident. But neither should we be underconfident. Underconfidence is more likely to get our side to stay home, to think it hopeless. All day, every day, we are bombarded with efforts to disspirit us, courtesy of a radically left-wing media. It is entirely too easy to just stay home and let them have their way.
Winners do not start by thinking of themselves as losers.
Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at
10:20 AM
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