April 14, 2020

Please Don't Feed the Spammers

Dear readers,

(This post will remain on top for a long while.)

The Aviary is under attack from a blizzard of spammers. We ask all readers in the strongest terms not to click on any suspicious link in the comments section, or any commercial link therein. Links in posts themselves are fine. The Aviary staff and management are in no way responsible for these ads and encourage everyone to avoid them in the strongest terms.

These people are despicable weasels. Please do not feed the animals.

BTW we are going to report have reported spammers to the DOJ, especially those trying to illegally sell narcotics. We are working with the authorities to stamp out this behavior.

Tim, Dana, Jack and the Aviary team.

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September 19, 2020

More Voter Mischief at Facebook

Timothy Birdnow

Facebook did it again, this time to my wife:

Cathy, There's Still Time to Register to Vote
National Voter Registration Day is coming up this Tuesday. Register now to make sure your vote is counted.

To register online in Georgia, the deadline is Oct 5. To register in person, the deadline is Oct 5.
Showing info for Georgia ·

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CNN Host "Burn This F Down" If GOP Tries to Rplace RBG

Timothy Birdnow

American journalists are unbiased? Uh, right.

If They Even Try to Replace RBG We Burn the Entire F-Ing Thing Down" Former CNN Host Raza Alsan Todd Starnes

Leftists are threatening violence if Senate Republicans confirm President Trump’s nominee to replaceIf they even TRY to replace RBG we burn the entire f***ing thing down,” former CNN host
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. " Reza Aslan wrote on Twitter.

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On the Death of RBG

Timothy Birdnow

Now that Ruth Bader Ginsburg has assumed room temperature and is prepping for a worm banquet, we must look to the prospects of her replacement.

What should be done?

Trump and McConnell need to move quickly and decisively.

There was a guy who took the throne of England named Harold Harefoot. They called him that because he moved so fast to make himself king that nobody had time to lay an alternative claim. We need that now.

Trump needs to nominate a rock-ribbed conservative jurist. Now is not the time to send up a lukewarmer. Why? First, a number of Senate Republicans are going to want to wait until after the election; that cedes the field to the Donkeys. This has enormous political leverage if it is handled properly. It will dominate the news cycle. A quick nomination of a solid Conservative will set Democrat heads to explode, and in the process help reveal them to the public as the radicals and hate-mongers they are. The public has forgotten, and this will be a good refresher. The Democrats don't want this fight now. They don't want to remind the public that the Supreme Court is up for grabs. They also don't want to drown out Hidin' Biden's carefully crafted message. This will do all of that. This will make Biden disappear into the woodwork even further, while it will bring Trump to the fore. Trump will be in the middle of this fight. Biden will either have to remain silent or get drawn out of the attic he's inhabiting with his rocking chair.

Frankly, the nastier this fight is the better.

The Democrats won't be able to control this. And it will expose their radicalism in a new and fundamental way.

I don't see any way Trump will get a pick through the RINO Senate, not with Susan Collins, Mitt Romney, and perhaps Lindsay Graham not wanting to vote before the election. But Trump ought to make the nomination and fight.

And then if he gets it before the election so much the better.

RBG wouldn't retire when she had the chance. She waited too long and now may have cost her party the election.

That is, if the Republicans don't screw this up, which I have every reason to believe they will.

One final thought; this election is going to be hotly contested and likely will wind up in SCOTUS. This loss was absolutely critical for the Democrats. But if the Sups remain tied at 4 to 4? We need a conservative justice and a majority to prevent the Left from stealing this election. Right now, with Mr. Roberts riding that fence like a rodeo cowboy, there is real danger they will succeed at stealing America. Replace Dr. Ruth Bader Ginsberg is God's gift to this nation.

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RBG Meddles with the Selection of Her Replacement

Willis Eschenbach makes the following observation:

I just found out that Justice Ginsburg dictated the following statement before her death: "My most fervent wish is that I will not be replaced until a new president is installed."

BZZZT!

That is most improper and underhanded. Sorry, RBG. You got to be a Supreme Court Justice ... but by all that is holy, you do NOT get to have a say in the choice of your successor.

Be satisfied with what you achieved, Madam. Such political greed on your part is unseemly. You led a good life. You don't get to push people around after you are dead.

I especially don't like making it as a dying plea, playing on everyone's heartstrings ... that's dirty pool.

Sorry, good Lady, but I defy and totally reject your dying request. It is most unworthy of you. You were better than that. That is our choice to make, not yours.

In order to not stain your memory, I think I'll just pretend you didn't attempt such an ugly power play as to try to leverage your own death for crass political gain.

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Mostly Peaceful

Timothy Birdnow

So, the "protesters" were "mostly peaceful". Well, the Coronavirus is mostly benign too, but they still locked the country down in response.

Jeffrey Dahmer and John Wayne Gayce were "mostly peaceful" too, except when they weren't.

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"Nudging" Americans

Timothy Birdnow

Here  is an article from Natural News from back in August. It is about how the government will force compliance with a vaccination order for the new Covid 19 vaccine and, based on research by Harvard, how to market the "too big to fail" drug to the public.

I thought it worth repeating now as they are using many of the tactics suggested by the University of record.

For example:

Personal freedom message

This tactic tried to convince participants that COVID-19 is limiting people's personal freedom (even though government and institutional leaders are the ones restricting freedoms and imposing arbitrary controls). By working together to get enough people vaccinated, society can preserve its personal freedom, according to the message.

Economic freedom message

This tactic tried to convince participants that COVID-19 is limiting people’s economic freedom and instructed that all people work together by vaccinating.

Self-interest message

This message is about convincing people that COVID-19 presents a real danger to one's health, that their immune system is incapable and there’s nothing anyone can do to stop it, no matter if they are young and healthy. Getting the vaccine is the best thing you can do to keep yourself safe.

Community interest message

This message tried to manipulate participants into feeling false guilt for spreading covid-19 infections they don’t have - infections that would most definitely kill their loved ones and the elderly in the community.

Economic benefit message

This message tried to convince people that the only way to boost the economy is to get vaccinated.

Guilt message

This message appealed to one’s guilt, stating that the health of one's family and community is at risk as long as the majority are not vaccinated. Without the vaccine, everyone spreads infections they do not have. The vaccine science will only work if everyone complies.

Anger message

This message teaches the participant to be angry at those who do not vaccinate because they are putting the health of the community at risk. Anyone who doesn’t comply is an enemy, killing others.

We are now seeing almost all of this put into practice.

At any rate, take what you will from this.

A while back Progressive Cass Sunstein (Samantha Powers' husband) wrote a book called "Nudge" in which he said the government should nudge people in the way they should go (because he figures people are too stupid to know what is best for themselves). Of course, if nudging doesn't work then they have to take sterner measures.

This is clearly the nudging stage.

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The Simple Life

Timothy Birdnow

It was a strange experience.

I haven't been to the Ozark Hilton, that fabled place of\ mystery and intrigue hidden in the mists of the Ozark Mountains. When the white man first arrived in this most ancient of mountains there were Native Americans who would hunt in this area - but they wouldn't live here. Why? They said it was haunted.

Perhaps they had better sense; certainly they had better sense than a particularly pasty white guy who is trying to live part-time in a house made of junk in those woods.

On the way down I made my regular stop. It's not a matter of choice; my body insists. That stop is an outhouse in St. Froicois State Park. I mean outhouse; big hole, bad smell, campers with very poor aiming skills. For reasons beyond my comprehension I have to go BAD whenever I pass this accursed place. I want to start a petition to name the outhouse in my honor; I am far and away it's best customer. The trip down was no exception. I know that outhouse like the back of my hand at this point.

At any rate, I arrived at the turnoff to my cabin but couldn't find the drive. Apparently MODOT decided that putting a cutoff from their road to my property obligated me to maintain the strip of land which they still own. It was all overgrown with weeds, and I couldn't see where the turn came in. This was critical because if I turned at the wrong place I'd drive into the ditch and get stuck.I had to make a full stop on the state highway and inch along. While the road isn't very busy at all (this is the backwoods) still cars drive sixty miles an hour along this road. One fellow coming the other way slowed up and blared his horn. Eventually I found my entrance and didn't fall into a deep ditch, so what the heck.

I'll tell you what the heck; two thirds of the way down the logging trail I use as a driveway a massive tree had fallen, completely blocking the road. There was no way around it. I had just had a tree fall and block the end of the road a short while back, but I could detour around it. This was different; I'll either have to try to cut it up (a major chore) or remove a bunch of young saplings.

At any rate, I did have enough room to turn the pickup around, so I wasn't in danger of being stuck. I had to huff it with all my stuff the rest of the way, not an easy feat considering I had to walk around the fallen tree and a bunch of brush.

I was just taking my stuff (I can't call beer and Cheetos gear exactly) up the path onto the porch when I noticed THINGS on my barbeque pit. They were wasps...HUGE wasps! I mean these things were the size of my thumb at a minimum. And there were at least ten sitting on the top of that pit.

Now I haven't seen any wasps at all there this season. None. Now I have a bunch of mutants right there on the approach to the cabin. Several of them turned and gave me the stink-eye, and I knew if I approached to closely they would buzz me in warning, and if I persisted I would get stung up. I didn't have the safety of the truck to rely on either. Sadly, I am not at the top of the food chain in this place.

So I had to detour around to come in from the other side,stepping in a hole and twisting my ankle at one point. It wasn't too bad but I had to stay off of it as much as possible for the rest of my stay. And there was no leaving the porch lest my friends become upset.

I was lucky; they were black wasps, ugly thoguh they be; red wasps would have attacked me the minute I got too close. Black wasps are better-natured. I don't know about these ugly mutants though.

So that ruined my plan to work on the porch (or much of anything else.) I wound up sitting on said porch the rest of the day.

There was something surreal about the place. I can't put my finger on it, but for the first time I felt I shouldn't be there.

Then my cell phone disappeared. I was servicing my kerosene lights, getting ready for nightfall when I received a robocall from a doctor's office confirming Cathy's appointment. I set the phone down and it was gone when I looked for it later. Just gone. I spent the rest of the night and the next morning tearing the cabin apart looking for it. No dice. Either some critter toted it away (and they're probably ordering gift platters from Hickory Farms, or at least getting from Grub Hub) or it fell off the table (which is a bit wobbly) and managed a million to one shot, falling in a crack between the porch and the cabin. I can't imagine it happened, but it is the only possibility.

At any rate, the wasps were gone the next morning, which was a pleasant surprise. I still had to bushwhack my stuff to the truck. I didn't pick up a single tick, fortunately! That is truly amazing in that place. But I don't know about chiggers; I'll find out in a day or so. I usually hit at least one bad patch of chiggers whenever I bushwhack.

I was glad to get up onto the state road, and even happier to get home, where I took a long, needed nap. In the summer I usually close up the "inner cabin" and inhabit the add-on, which is brighter and has better bathroom access (just open the door) but the downside is I sleep in a chair with no foot rest. It does not make for restful sleep.

Anyway, I had to go to Target and buy a new phone. Fortunately for me I have simple tastes (well, I can't see well enough up close to use all the gadgets on an I-phone) so it was relatively inexpensive. I hope the critters don't run up a bunch of long-distance charges on my old one.

Oh, I forgot to mention the alarm went off on my Ford F150 at six a.m.; had to go out and turn it off. I hadnt set it and can't for the life of me figure out how it happened (it never goes off). As I say, it was a wierd trip.

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September 17, 2020

Less Fire, Not More

This from Frank Lasee:

A long, thoughtful read. There are less, not more acres burned now than in many past years. CA has suffered droughts that lasted decades, long before the supposed expensive climate change religion.

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Where are the Police?

Timothy Birdnow

We all know Progressives lack self-awareness, but this is ridiculous.

Minneapolis City Council asks "where are the police?” – just months after calling to defund them

According to MPD crime statistics, the amount of recorded violent crimes such as assaults, thefts and homicides is up relative to 2019. In the first nine months of 2020, more people have been killed in the area than killed in all of last year.

But it’s not just crimes akin to violence that are on the rise – property crimes have increased as well in the vain of car thefts and residential burglaries. With little surprise, cases of arson have increased by 55% when looking at the number of arson reports in 2019 up to this point.

pic.twitter.com/2ScpINjvOS

— JB0304 (@jbooth304) September 16, 2020

Chief Arradondo did respond to the inquiries levied by the council, noting that the MPD is working to shift more officers onto patrol duties and investigations as well as trying to crack down on the robberies being reported.

But Council President Lisa Bender implied that officers from the MPD are basically intentionally ignoring calls for assistance when crimes are being reported.

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I've Always Thought So

Timothy Birdnow

Well, I've always suspected as much...

New Report Confirms: Recycling is B.S.

Logic has always told me that was the case; trash companies don't separate the trash at the fill site. If there was any benefit to recycling to them they would have a guy pick through the arrivals. That they don't said it was not profitable.

Why not incinerate? We could burn plastic to run generators and kill two birds with one stone.

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The Mark of the Covid

Timothy Birdnow

Does this bother anybody else?

From El Zoro:

The Department of Defense and federal health agencies have outlined plans for a coronavirus vaccine, which include having them available for free for all Americans.

The DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE?

But wait! There's more!

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’splaybook, the vaccination campaign will be "much larger in scope and complexity than seasonal influenza or other previous outbreak-related vaccination responses.”

How? That can only be if they plan to make it mandatory.

Folks, you probably ain't getting no dern choice on the matter. And the DOD? What are they putting in this thing?

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Viva La Thirst and Filth!

This from David Nabhan

Here’s one that has GOT to make you laugh. The million inhabitants of Rome in Augustus’ day two thousand years ago enjoyed a comfortable, civilized and refreshing 200 gallons of water a day per capita, free of charge for almost everyone. Juxtapose that with the parched, burned-out, electricity-less residents of Los Angeles, eking by on 78 gallons per day and paying through the nose for it. Don’t feel too bad for them though; here’s the real joke. I published an article about them today—they’re out in the streets protesting again in LA, but not because they want more water, they’re complaining because they want LESS. Indeed, they're the first people on Earth ever to have come down on the side of thirst, filth, dehydration and death.

Click the link if you find that too hard to believe.

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Decadent America

On Facebook Andrei Piriutko writes:

How will our descendants name this period of time?!! 🤔

"The word decadence, which at first meant simply "decline" in an abstract sense, is now most often used to refer to a perceived decay in standards, morals, dignity, religious faith, honor, discipline, or skill at governing among the members of the elite of a very large social structure, such as an empire or nation state. By extension, it may refer to a decline in art, literature, science, technology, and work ethics, or (very loosely) to self-indulgent behavior...”

P.S. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decadence

A word from Tim:

A world where men can dress as women and a sizable portion of the country will join in their make-believe is a a decadent society clearly reaching a trough. When Donald Trump suggested purchasing Greenland he was roundly mocked; it was simply unthinkable to consider expanding the U.S. That is a classic symptom of a decadent society. Pleasure and amusement become all that matters. Doing something, growing, expanding are unthinkable.

We are actively hostile to Christianity and religion in general. We glorify sex in the most debauched way. We promote women who behave like men as heroes. We promote men who surrender their masculinity as the ideal (and American men are subsequently losing testosterone as a result.) The highest ideal is to not judge bad behavior.

And everyone wants a living out of someone else's pocket. There was a time when people were too proud to take charity; in his shame the boxer James Braddock accepted public assistance and when he fought for the heavyweight title against Max Baer he paid all the money he had received back. Now someone would try to find a way to keep the government money coming in while making a big purse like that. Everyone takes what the Democrats offer. Why not?  If you don't take it someone else will, and are they any more deserving than you? This has changed the way we think, altering us from independent people who take care of themselves to parasites.

So we have criminals and thugs who still have some testosterone out looting and pillaging and we call that "mostly peaceful" so as to absolve us from doing anything about it and say we can do nothing to stop it.

Now the government in California, after having won the quest for homosexual marriage, wants to decriminalize pedophilia. So you will be able to rape a child but not discipline him (unless that is what you are into) in the Golden State.

Decadent? We make Rome look like Puritans.

BTW, in the decline of any great nation there comes a backlash to this which usually culminates in a strong leader who fights a futile battle. The Romans had Diocletian and we have Trump. Whatever you think of Trump he is certainly a reactionary force to the headlong drive to the precipice. Oh, I know he has lowered the level of conversation in this country, thus adding to the decline (remember when he talked about how well-endowed he is?) But overall Trump has sought to be the Dutch boy with his finger in the dike (as opposed to Bill Clinton whose finger was in a whole different place.)

If history is any guide the Trump Presidency will be a hiccup in our rush to the Void. Diocletian's reforms created serfdom and were the direct cause of the Medievalism. What will come to replace the American Republic is anyone's guess but what is happening right now is setting that future dark age in motion.

And it will be a mother of a dark age. Science has become corrupted to the point it now is primarily a tool for the Ruling Class. Technology is still progressing at a strong pace, but that will slow in time. Worse, the technology is becoming more dangerous and destructive. CRISPR technology will eventually allow people to design diseases to attack others. How many BLM types would love to have a disease that kills white people but leaves other races unaffected? It's coming.

And computers and VR technology is separating people, who increasingly live in an artificial reality disassociated from the real world. It's part of why Millenials are so out there; they grew up online and think Twitter represent real life.

So the public grows more confused, more divided, more disassociated as technology blooms into a kind of electronic red tide. And the old values have been lost and probably will remain so for a long time as the new electronic gods busily scrub the old America away.

It took centuries to get out of the Dark Ages last time, and that was in an era when people actually faced concrete dangers and problems. In a make-believe world like ours it will be a long, long time before we wake up.

A "Woke" America is a slumbering America, a land of dreams and illusions. We need to face reality; it won't go away.



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The Real Unemployment rate

This from James Doogue, our friend from Down Under:

The Real Underlying Unemployment Rate is Double What We Are Told.

Headline unemployment rates are illusory. But the media and public don't understand that.

Reduced workforce participation rate effectively reduces the unemployment rate. When people give up, or don't bother looking for work, the unemployment rate reduces.

When taking that into account, the effective unemployment rate is 9.3%. But even that rate is hiding the true figure.

Currently there are about 6.5 million people having their salary subsidised by the $1,500 pfn of JobKeeper payment. That's almost half the entire workforce. The rate of payment will reduce from the end of September, but is guaranteed until March next year.

How many of those subsidised jobs will evaporate when the JobKeeper rate reduces, and eventually cuts out, is anyone's guess. My guess is at the very minimum 10%.

That alone would grow the effective unemployment rate to just under 15%, a number I forecast for the end of the year, back in April.

But there are other ways of hiding our real unemployment rate. The more obvious, are the growth in part-time jobs versus full-time, and the reduction in hours worked per employee on average, or under-employmen t.

There's also been a surge in public service jobs in the State and Federal Government's which are pandemic related. But I guess the chances of getting rid of them after this pandemic nonsense is over, is highly unlikely.

So taking all things into account, it's likely our real underlying unemployment rate is close to 15%, about double the headline rate announced at 6.8%.

The government's propoganda mill continues!

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September 16, 2020

Massive Arms Shortage

Timothy Birdnow

Question; is the shortage in arms and ammunition being caused by people worried about civil war in November, or is it being bought out by those seeking to deny patriots arms? Remember; we had a big shortage of affordable weapons and ammunition during the Obama era too. I believe back then it was done to keep it out of the hands of the public and get it into the hands of the radicals.

The Sales Boom

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NASA - Global Wildfires Down by a Quarter

This from Anthony Watts:

I guess those climate change zealots will have to label NASA a "climate denier" now. Facts, they are stubborn things.

This NASA satellite data is irrefutable.


https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/09/16/irrefutable-nasa-data-global-wildfire-down-by-25-percent

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Culture of Coercive Compliance

Timothy Birdnow

A brilliant essay on the tyranny of Covid 19.

A brief snippet:

Do not speculate that it is dangerous to allow this curtailment of our liberties, to set this precedent, or remind us of the words etched in history: the only thing we have to fear is fear itself. Do not ask why, if the virus will explode exponentially should we cease to live in this shadow world, cases and deaths have only declined inStockholm, and do not suggest that our media, politicians and even experts seem to have forgotten that correlation does not imply causation.

Do not ask aboutt-cell cross immunity— are you crazy? Have you been watching Fox News? Do not ask: might it all unravel, sooner rather than later?

And certainly do not ask: should we, perhaps, accept the existence of this pathogen without tearing apart the foundations of our society?

Do read it all.

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What's Wrong with C.A. Power?

This courtesy of Stephen Heins:
What’s Ailing California’s Electric System?

California made headlines for all the wrong reasons recently with widespread rolling power outages in the middle of a heat wave and a pandemic. These blackouts were not an accident—they were intentionally scheduled by the grid operator, the California Independent System Operator (CAISO), due to a shortage of resources available to keep the lights on.

The California blackouts led to a frenzy of hot takes and finger-pointing based on instant diagnoses of the problems. The situation is like a Rorschach test on which people superimpose their preconceptions about energy. Opponents of renewable energy, including President Donald Trump, blame the outages on California’s use of solar and wind to decarbonize their power supply. Others have jumped to the conclusion that this must be a recurrence of Enron-type market manipulation as in the 2001 energy crisis. Still others have offered silver bullets based on whatever they are selling....

[...]

1. Lack of clear accountability for having the resources to keep the lights on.

In some regions of the country, electric distribution companies directly invest in power plants under the supervision of state regulators. In others, regional markets use an auction system to buy enough resources to keep the lights on. I personally prefer market structures, but either system can work if it is clear who has the responsibility.

In California, the roles of the CAISO and the state regulators to keep the lights on are quite tangled. CAISO has the job of dispatching power plants but has little authority to ensure they get built. Lining up enough resources is largely under the supervision of state regulators. In other words, the buck stops nowhere. This should be remedied through the actions of the California legislature and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which regulates CAISO.

2. Lack of resources to balance solar and wind power.

California leads the nation in solar generation, and also uses a lot of wind generation. These carbon-free resources help reduce the climate impacts of burning fossil fuels. But unlike conventional power plants, they cannot be turned on and off as needed. By design, their availability depends on the sun and wind at any given moment. They can work well in conjunction with resources that can be turned on as needed, especially in the evening when the sun goes down. These "balancing” resources can be gas-fired plants, pumped water or battery storage, hydroelectric power, or the collective actions of homes and businesses to move their consumption to different times of the day. California does not have enough of these resources. See problem #1—someone needs to be in charge.

3. Closing disfavored resources before opening the new ones.

It is hard to site and build new energy resources, including carbon-free resources, anywhere in the country. Even in regions where there is strong political support for clean energy to fight climate change, it often doesn’t translate to people allowing wind turbines or a high-voltage transmission line to be built anywhere near them.

California has been decisive about what resources it doesn’t want anymore, including many of its gas-fired power plants and its last nuclear power plant. It has been much slower to actually construct resources to take their place. In the past three years, California has closed 5,000 megawatts (MW) of gas generation in anticipation of building 3,000 MW of battery storage that is still on the drawing board. In a heat wave, when every resource is needed, this gap in resources came home to roost.

4. Operating in a silo.

California is a large state, but it is not an island. It is part of a larger region whose resources could help to balance those available in the state, helping both California and the West as a whole. While CAISO and its neighbors have shared resources when they have extra, this does not help when resources are scarce. California would benefit from a regional market that took advantage of different weather, time zones, and resources to keep the lights on at least cost. California legislators have repeatedly considered legislation to change CAISO to allow regional operation, but have preferred in-state control. I believe that decision should be reexamined to take California into the future.


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September 15, 2020

Trump Middle East peace approach was not conventional

Dana Mathewson

As if the Left hasn't enough to drive it nuts these days, Our Mr. Trump has gone and begun a successful peace initiative in the Middle East. Why, the nerve of that man, succeeding where every Democrat (and even every other Republican) head of state has failed! It makes you not want to get out of bed in the morning.

All kidding aside, why should anybody be surprised? After all, the man is not a politician, he's a businessman: a problem-solver. He thinks in terms of solutions, not processes. And here's an excellent Fox News article that describes it.

To the consternation of the foreign policy establishment, President Trump has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize, not just once, but twice. To their amazement, he tackled the world’s one seemingly unsolvable problem– Arab-Israeli peace – and seems to be succeeding.

For decades, American presidents had tried to achieve Middle East peace. They all failed.

Why? Because the oil-rich Gulf Arab states refused to deal with Israel until the Palestinian problem was solved.

As a result, their starting point was always the thorniest problem in the region – and Middle East peace was always a non-starter.

President Trump took a different approach. Rather than starting with the Palestinians, he decided to work from the outside in, beginning with the Gulf Arab countries.

To make that a viable option, he had to first force changes in the underlying reality of the region, by maneuvering circumstances so the Arabs came to realize it was in their self-interest to make peace with Israel.

It is the same approach President Richard Nixon and his Secretary of State Henry Kissinger took 50 years ago.

Nixon’s first term was a flurry of diplomatic negotiations and foreign policy achievements – the opening to China, détente and arms control agreements with the USSR, along with the Paris Accords designed to end the Vietnam War. The one area of the world they avoided was the Middle East.

Nixon and Kissinger realized the conditions weren’t right for negotiations between Israel and its Arab neighbors, much less agreement.

In the early 1970s, no Arab leader would dare even contemplate peace with Israel. Their countries had been humiliated in the Six-Day Arab-Israeli war in 1967 after suffering disastrous losses in land and prestige at the hands of the Israeli military.

The October 1973 Arab-Israeli war changed the dynamic in the region. Egypt regained some of the lands it had lost in the 1967 war, and with it its national pride.

Nixon sent Kissinger to the Middle East to broker an end to the October war, and start a process that would eventually lead to peace between Israel, Egypt and Jordan.

But the Palestinian problem remained and festered. Over the years Islamic movements grew, and violence between Israel and the Palestinians continued, in some cases supported by the oil-rich Gulf Arabs.

Like Nixon and Kissinger before him, President Trump understood any effort at making peace between Israel and the Palestinians was doomed unless the underlying realities of the region changed.So he set about changing them.

First, Trump pushed for American energy independence. Not only did it accelerate America’s economic recovery, but it has also weaned us off Arab oil and the political and military entanglements that came with it.

Second, American energy production drove oil prices down. Arab leaders realized they could no longer count on lucrative oil exports alone to fund their governments and societies. They needed to diversify their economies and modernize their societies, which required regional peace.

Third, Iran’s nuclear program, its sponsorship of terrorism and regional hegemonic ambitions were a threat not just to Israel, but also to Iran’s Sunni Arab neighbors in the Gulf. There is a saying in the Middle East: the enemy of my enemy is my friend.

Please read the rest, found here https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/trump-middle-east-peace-kt-mcfarland It's very worth the time.

Incidentally, I am personally glad to see President Nixon receive some praise for the statesmanship practiced during his years in office. Those were not the Dark Ages, after all. Nixon deserves to be remembered for much more than Watergate!

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at 02:45 PM | No Comments | Add Comment
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